USL Championship · United States 🕒 Thursday 16th July, 00:00 BST

Lexington vs New Mexico United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Lexington Home 5W 2D 3L last 10 home

VS

New Mexico United Away 3W 1D 6L last 10 away

Win Probability

Lexington 66% Draw 21% New Mexico United 13%

⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No See why ↓

Lexington vs New Mexico United Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Medium confidence

At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Lexington at 40% BTTS in home games and New Mexico United at 10% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

What the model says

66% Lexington win 21% Draw 13% New Mexico United win 50% BTTS 56% Over 2.5 Goals 2-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

79% Over 1.5 Goals 67% Under 3.5 Goals

Lexington average 2.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. New Mexico United average 0.4 scored and 1.6 conceded in away fixtures. Lexington have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; New Mexico United have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Lexington have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); New Mexico United in 50% away (5/10). Lexington average 2.3 scored and 1 conceded at home, New Mexico United 0.4 and 1.6 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Lexington have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); New Mexico United in 10% away (1/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Lexington see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, New Mexico United in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

League Table

Where Lexington and New Mexico United sit in the USL Championship table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
11	New Mexico United A	12	5	3	4	13:13	0	18
19	Lexington H	12	4	3	5	17:15	+2	15

View the full USL Championship 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	14	9	4	1	23:8	+15	31
2	Charleston Battery	14	8	2	4	30:19	+11	26
3	Orange County	14	7	5	2	22:15	+7	26
4	San Antonio	14	6	6	2	20:17	+3	24
5	Detroit City	13	6	3	4	19:13	+6	21
6	Oakland Roots	14	5	6	3	23:20	+3	21
7	Louisville City	14	6	3	5	24:22	+2	21
8	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	12	6	2	4	15:13	+2	20
9	Tulsa Roughnecks	13	5	4	4	17:16	+1	19
10	Indy Eleven	11	5	3	3	16:12	+4	18
11	New Mexico United A	12	5	3	4	13:13	0	18
12	Hartford Athletic	12	4	6	2	10:10	0	18
13	Phoenix Rising	14	4	5	5	19:19	0	17
14	Miami FC II	14	4	5	5	17:23	-6	17
15	Sacramento Republic	12	4	4	4	13:12	+1	16
16	El Paso Locomotive	13	4	4	5	23:23	0	16
17	Colorado Springs	13	4	4	5	21:21	0	16
18	Rhode Island	11	4	3	4	21:15	+6	15
19	Lexington H	12	4	3	5	17:15	+2	15
20	Las Vegas Lights	13	4	3	6	20:23	-3	15
21	Monterey Bay	14	4	2	8	14:22	-8	14
22	Birmingham Legion	13	2	7	4	14:16	-2	13
23	Loudoun United	13	1	7	5	15:26	-11	10
24	Brooklyn FC	13	2	3	8	13:24	-11	9
25	Sporting JAX	14	0	3	11	17:39	-22	3

Team Form

New Mexico United have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Lexington have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Lexington: last 10 home A New Mexico United: last 10 away

Won

H

5/10 (50%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Drawn

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Lost

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lexington (40% BTTS at home) and New Mexico United (10% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Lexington: last 10 home A New Mexico United: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Scored Themselves

H

7/10 (70%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Conceded

H

5/10 (50%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 50% · BTTS No 50%

Match Goals

Lexington have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, New Mexico United in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Lexington: last 10 home A New Mexico United: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

8/10 (80%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

8/10 (80%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Lexington have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, New Mexico United in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Lexington 2.3 scored · 1 conceded per home game New Mexico United 0.4 scored · 1.6 conceded per away game

H Lexington: last 10 home A New Mexico United: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

5/10 (50%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

7/10 (70%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

5/10 (50%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

5/10 (50%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

4/10 (40%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

1/10 (10%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Lexington 23 scored / 10 conceded at home · New Mexico United 4 scored / 16 conceded away

Match Corners

Lexington have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, New Mexico United in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Lexington: last 10 home A New Mexico United: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Lexington have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

New Mexico United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Lexington: last 10 home A New Mexico United: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

5/10 (50%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

3/10 (30%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Lexington vs New Mexico United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Lexington vs New Mexico United?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No: At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Lexington at 40% BTTS in home games and New Mexico United at 10% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Lexington or New Mexico United?

Lexington have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over New Mexico United on the road (30% wins) in USL Championship. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Lexington and New Mexico United?

Unlikely. Lexington (40% BTTS at home) and New Mexico United (10% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in USL Championship. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Lexington and New Mexico United?

Uncertain. Lexington have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, New Mexico United in 50% of away games in USL Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Lexington or New Mexico United?

Lexington have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to New Mexico United's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Lexington and New Mexico United?

Lexington have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, New Mexico United in 40% of away games in USL Championship. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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