Segunda Division · Uruguay 🕒 Saturday 4th July, 21:00 BST

Plaza Colonia vs La Luz Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Plaza Colonia Home 3W 2D 5L last 10 home
VS
La Luz Away 2W 7D 1L last 10 away
Win Probability
Plaza Colonia 43% Draw 30% La Luz 27%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Plaza Colonia vs La Luz Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Plaza Colonia have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, La Luz in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
43% Plaza Colonia win 30% Draw 27% La Luz win 44% BTTS 39% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
81% Under 3.5 Goals

Plaza Colonia average 1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. La Luz average 0.8 scored and 0.9 conceded in away fixtures. Plaza Colonia have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; La Luz have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Plaza Colonia have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; La Luz in 20% away. Plaza Colonia average 1 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, La Luz 0.8 and 0.9 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Plaza Colonia have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); La Luz in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Plaza Colonia see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, La Luz in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

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League Table

Where Plaza Colonia and La Luz sit in the Segunda Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Plaza Colonia H 13 6 4 3 16:9 +7 22
10 La Luz A 13 3 7 3 11:13 -2 16
View the full Segunda Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Fénix 14 6 6 2 24:15 +9 24
2 Oriental 14 6 5 3 20:15 +5 23
3 Plaza Colonia H 13 6 4 3 16:9 +7 22
4 Huracán 13 5 7 1 16:12 +4 22
5 Cerrito 13 5 5 3 21:21 0 20
6 Atenas 13 6 1 6 19:18 +1 19
7 Colón 13 4 5 4 14:13 +1 17
8 Rentistas 13 4 5 4 11:14 -3 17
9 Tacuarembó 13 4 4 5 13:15 -2 16
10 La Luz A 13 3 7 3 11:13 -2 16
11 Miramar Misiones 13 3 5 5 13:15 -2 14
12 River Plate 13 4 2 7 18:26 -8 14
13 Uruguay Montevideo 13 3 4 6 13:16 -3 13
14 Paysandu FC 13 2 2 9 11:18 -7 8

Team Form

Plaza Colonia have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while La Luz have been more resilient on the road (10% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H Plaza Colonia: last 10 home A La Luz: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Plaza Colonia (30% BTTS at home) and La Luz (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Plaza Colonia: last 10 home A La Luz: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 44% · BTTS No 56%

Match Goals

Plaza Colonia (30% Over 2.5 at home) and La Luz (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H Plaza Colonia: last 10 home A La Luz: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Plaza Colonia have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, La Luz in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Plaza Colonia 1 scored · 0.9 conceded per home game La Luz 0.8 scored · 0.9 conceded per away game
H Plaza Colonia: last 10 home A La Luz: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Plaza Colonia 10 scored / 9 conceded at home · La Luz 8 scored / 9 conceded away

Match Corners

Plaza Colonia have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, La Luz in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Plaza Colonia: last 10 home A La Luz: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Plaza Colonia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

La Luz have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Plaza Colonia: last 10 home A La Luz: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Plaza Colonia vs La Luz Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia vs La Luz?

Under 2.5 Goals: Plaza Colonia have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, La Luz in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Plaza Colonia or La Luz?

Plaza Colonia have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over La Luz on the road (20% wins) in Segunda Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Plaza Colonia and La Luz?

Unlikely. Plaza Colonia (30% BTTS at home) and La Luz (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Segunda Division. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Plaza Colonia and La Luz?

Unlikely. Plaza Colonia (30% Over 2.5 at home) and La Luz (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Segunda Division. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Plaza Colonia or La Luz?

Plaza Colonia have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to La Luz's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Plaza Colonia and La Luz?

Plaza Colonia have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, La Luz in 50% of away games in Segunda Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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