Liga Portugal · Portugal 🕒 Sunday 22nd February, 20:30 GMT

Porto vs Rio Ave Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Porto Home · 1st 7W 3D 0L last 10 home
VS
Rio Ave Away · 15th 3W 2D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Porto 77% Draw 17% Rio Ave 7%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Porto vs Rio Ave Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Porto see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Rio Ave in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
77% Porto win 17% Draw 7% Rio Ave win 37% BTTS 53% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
74% Over 1.5 Goals 69% Under 3.5 Goals

Porto sit 1st in the table after 19 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. Rio Ave are 15th after 20 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Porto have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Rio Ave side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Porto have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games this season (3/10); Rio Ave in 50% away (5/10). Porto average 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded at home, Rio Ave 0.8 and 1.8 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Porto have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Rio Ave in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Porto see 8+ in 60% of home games, Rio Ave in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Porto (1st) and Rio Ave (15th) sit in the Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto H 34 28 4 2 66:18 +48 88
13 Rio Ave A 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
View the full Liga Portugal 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto H 34 28 4 2 66:18 +48 88
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89:24 +65 82
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74:25 +49 80
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64:36 +28 59
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42:29 +13 56
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47:38 +9 50
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
9 Arouca 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
12 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
13 Rio Ave A 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
15 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21

Team Form

Porto have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Rio Ave's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Porto: last 10 home A Rio Ave: last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Porto (30% BTTS at home) and Rio Ave (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Porto: last 10 home A Rio Ave: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 37% · BTTS No 63%

Match Goals

Porto have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Rio Ave in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Porto: last 10 home A Rio Ave: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Porto have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Rio Ave in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Porto 1.6 scored · 0.4 conceded per home game Rio Ave 0.8 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Porto: last 10 home A Rio Ave: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Porto 16 scored / 4 conceded at home · Rio Ave 8 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Rio Ave frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Porto are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Porto: last 10 home A Rio Ave: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Porto have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Rio Ave have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches. The home side can expect some set-piece chances.

H Porto: last 10 home A Rio Ave: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Porto and Rio Ave. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19 Sep 2025
Rio Ave
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Porto
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Feb 2025
Rio Ave
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Porto
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Aug 2024
Porto
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Rio Ave
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Feb 2024
Porto
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Rio Ave
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
28 Aug 2023
Rio Ave
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Porto
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Feb 2023
Porto
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Rio Ave
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Aug 2022
Rio Ave
3 – 1 HT: 3-0
Porto
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Dec 2021
Porto
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Rio Ave
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 May 2021
Rio Ave
0 – 3 HT: 0-0
Porto
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Feb 2021
Porto
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Rio Ave
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Porto vs Rio Ave across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Porto 1.11 Model: 77%
Value Draw 9 Model: 17%
Value Rio Ave 24.79 Model: 7%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.72 Model: 37%
No 1.47 Model: 63%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.12 Model: 74%
Over 2.5 1.44 Model: 53%
Over 3.5 2.24 Model: 31%
Value Under 1.5 6 Model: 26%
Value Under 2.5 2.51 Model: 47%
Value Under 3.5 1.7 Model: 69%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.22 Model: 85%
Over 1.5 2.15

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.19 Model: 62%
Over 9.5 1.3 Model: 51%
Over 10.5 1.77 Model: 40%
Over 11.5 1.9 Model: 30%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Porto 1.42 Model: 58%
Draw 3.1 Model: 30%
Value Rio Ave 15.95 Model: 12%

Double Chance

Porto or Draw 1.01 Model: 93%
Porto or Rio Ave 1.07 Model: 83%
Value Draw or Rio Ave 7.51 Model: 23%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 1.04 Model: 89%
Over 1.5 1.21 Model: 65%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5 2.55 Model: 31%
Over 1.5 7.3 Model: 8%

Porto vs Rio Ave Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Porto vs Rio Ave?

Over 8.5 Corners: Porto see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Rio Ave in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Porto or Rio Ave?

Porto hold a clear form advantage. They've won 70% of home games in Liga Portugal this season, while Rio Ave have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Porto and Rio Ave?

Unlikely. Porto (30% BTTS at home) and Rio Ave (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Portugal. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Porto and Rio Ave?

Uncertain. Porto have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Rio Ave in 50% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Porto or Rio Ave?

Porto have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Rio Ave's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Porto and Rio Ave?

Possibly. Rio Ave frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Porto are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Forward Madison vs Tormenta

📍 USL League One, United States

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 00:30 BST

Match Stats

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Sporting Kansas City II

📍 MLS Next Pro, United States

🕒 Wednesday 8th July, 03:00 BST

Match Stats

Kazma vs Al Salmiyah

📍 Zain Premier League, Kuwait

🕒 Monday 29th June, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Almagro vs Atlético Rafaela

📍 Primera B Nacional, Argentina

🕒 Saturday 4th July, 19:30 BST

Match Stats

Juventude vs Ceará

📍 Serie B, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 28th June, 20:00 BST

Match Stats

Leones del Norte vs Universidad Católica

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Técnico Universitario vs Macará

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Tre Fiori vs Larne

📍 Champions League, Europe

🕒 Wednesday 8th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →