Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

Leones del Norte vs Universidad Católica Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Leones del Norte Home 4W 4D 2L last 10 home

VS

Universidad Católica Away 4W 3D 3L last 10 away

Win Probability

Leones del Norte 31% Draw 29% Universidad Católica 40%

⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Leones del Norte vs Universidad Católica Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Leones del Norte have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Universidad Católica in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says

31% Leones del Norte win 29% Draw 40% Universidad Católica win 47% BTTS 38% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score

Also worth a look

82% Under 3.5 Goals 65% Over 1.5 Goals

Leones del Norte average 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Universidad Católica average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded in away fixtures. The form figures are level. Leones del Norte have won 40% of home games, Universidad Católica 40% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Leones del Norte have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Universidad Católica in 30% away. Leones del Norte average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Universidad Católica 1.2 and 0.8 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Leones del Norte at 40% in home games (4/10), Universidad Católica at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Leones del Norte see 8+ in 80% of home games, Universidad Católica in 90% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

League Table

Where Leones del Norte and Universidad Católica sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
3	Universidad Católica A	16	7	5	4	26:14	+12	26
13	Leones del Norte H	16	4	5	7	15:18	-3	17

View the full Liga Pro 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	16	12	1	3	32:18	+14	37
2	Deportivo Cuenca	16	8	3	5	18:17	+1	27
3	Universidad Católica A	16	7	5	4	26:14	+12	26
4	Barcelona Guayaquil	16	7	5	4	18:13	+5	26
5	Aucas	16	7	5	4	19:16	+3	26
6	LDU Quito	15	7	3	5	16:13	+3	24
7	Orense	15	6	4	5	21:19	+2	22
8	Emelec	16	6	4	6	13:16	-3	22
9	Técnico Universitario	16	6	2	8	17:16	+1	20
10	Macará	16	5	5	6	15:18	-3	20
11	Guayaquil City	16	5	4	7	14:19	-5	19
12	Mushuc Runa	16	4	6	6	19:21	-2	18
13	Leones del Norte H	16	4	5	7	15:18	-3	17
14	Libertad	16	4	5	7	16:22	-6	17
15	Delfin	16	4	4	8	8:15	-7	16
16	Manta	16	3	3	10	7:19	-12	12

Team Form

Leones del Norte (40% home wins) and Universidad Católica (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Universidad Católica: last 10 away

Won

H

4/10 (40%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Drawn

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Lost

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Leones del Norte have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Universidad Católica in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Universidad Católica: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Scored Themselves

H

7/10 (70%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Conceded

H

6/10 (60%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 47% · BTTS No 53%

Match Goals

Leones del Norte (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Universidad Católica (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Universidad Católica: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

9/10 (90%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

8/10 (80%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

9/10 (90%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Leones del Norte have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Universidad Católica in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Leones del Norte 1.2 scored · 0.7 conceded per home game Universidad Católica 1.2 scored · 0.8 conceded per away game

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Universidad Católica: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

7/10 (70%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

3/10 (30%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

6/10 (60%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Leones del Norte 12 scored / 7 conceded at home · Universidad Católica 12 scored / 8 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Leones del Norte (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Universidad Católica (90% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Universidad Católica: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

8/10 (80%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Leones del Norte have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Universidad Católica have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Leones del Norte: last 10 home A Universidad Católica: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

4/10 (40%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

1/10 (10%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

6/10 (60%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Leones del Norte vs Universidad Católica Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Universidad Católica?

Under 2.5 Goals: Leones del Norte have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Universidad Católica in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Leones del Norte or Universidad Católica?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. Leones del Norte have won 40% of home games, Universidad Católica 40% away in Liga Pro. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Leones del Norte and Universidad Católica?

Mixed. Leones del Norte have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Universidad Católica in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Leones del Norte and Universidad Católica?

Unlikely. Leones del Norte (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Universidad Católica (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Liga Pro. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Leones del Norte or Universidad Católica?

Leones del Norte have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Universidad Católica's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Leones del Norte and Universidad Católica?

Leones del Norte have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Universidad Católica in 60% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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