World Cup · World 🕒 Monday 6th July, 20:00 BST

Portugal vs Spain Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal Home · 1st 7W 3D 0L last 10 home
VS
Spain Away · 2nd 6W 3D 0L last 9 away
Win Probability
Portugal 34% Draw 24% Spain 42%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Portugal vs Spain Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

Portugal have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Spain in 77.78% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
34% Portugal win 24% Draw 42% Spain win 62% BTTS 60% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
81% Over 1.5 Goals

Portugal sit 1st in the table, averaging 3.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Spain are 2nd, averaging 2.7 scored and 0.7 conceded on the road. Portugal have won 7/10 home games (70%) this season; Spain have won 6/9 on the road (67%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Goals look likely from both ends. Portugal have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home fixtures this season (8/10), and Spain in 78% of away games (7/9). Portugal average 3.4 scored and 1.1 conceded at home; Spain 2.7 and 0.7 on the road.

Portugal frequently see both teams score at home (80%, 8/10). Spain are lower on the road (44%, 4/9). They've scored in 89% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Portugal see 8+ in 70% of home games, Spain in 56% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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Team Form

Portugal have won 70% of home games this season, Spain 66.67% away. The breakdown below gives the full picture heading into this match.

H Portugal: last 10 home A Spain: last 9 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/9 (66.67%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/9 (33.33%)
Lost
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/9 (0%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Portugal frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Spain are less consistent on the road (44.44%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Portugal: last 10 home A Spain: last 9 away
Both Teams Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/9 (88.89%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 62% · BTTS No 38%

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of Portugal's home games and 77.78% of Spain's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

H Portugal: last 10 home A Spain: last 9 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/9 (77.78%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/9 (77.78%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/9 (55.56%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/9 (88.89%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/9 (11.11%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/9 (22.22%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/9 (22.22%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)

Team Goals

Both sides regularly get on the scoresheet. Portugal have scored 1+ in 80% of home games, Spain in 77.78% of away games. Goals from both sides look likely even if the totals stay modest.

Portugal 3.4 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Spain 2.67 scored · 0.67 conceded per away game
H Portugal: last 10 home A Spain: last 9 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/9 (77.78%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/9 (22.22%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/9 (88.89%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/9 (77.78%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/9 (33.33%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/9 (22.22%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/9 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/9 (0%)

Season totals: Portugal 34 scored / 11 conceded at home · Spain 24 scored / 6 conceded away

Match Corners

Portugal have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Spain in 55.56% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Portugal: last 10 home A Spain: last 9 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/9 (55.56%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/9 (55.56%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/9 (55.56%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/9 (33.33%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/9 (11.11%)

Team Corners

Portugal have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Spain have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 22.22% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 33.33% of away matches.

H Portugal: last 10 home A Spain: last 9 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/9 (55.56%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/9 (33.33%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/9 (55.56%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/9 (55.56%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/9 (22.22%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/9 (11.11%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/9 (11.11%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/9 (33.33%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/9 (33.33%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/9 (33.33%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/9 (22.22%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/9 (11.11%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Portugal and Spain. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

08 Jun 2025
Portugal
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Spain
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Sep 2022
Portugal
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Spain
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Jun 2022
Spain
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Portugal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Jun 2021
Spain
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Portugal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
07 Oct 2020
Portugal
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Spain
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Jun 2018
Portugal
3 – 3 HT: 2-1
Spain
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Jun 2012
Portugal
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Spain
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Nov 2010
Portugal
4 – 0 HT: 1-0
Spain
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Jun 2010
Spain
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Portugal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jun 2004
Spain
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Portugal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Portugal vs Spain across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Portugal 4.3 Model: 34%
Draw 3.75 Model: 24%
Spain 1.96 Model: 42%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 1.8 Model: 62%
No 2.2 Model: 38%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.3 Model: 81%
Value Over 2.5 1.9 Model: 60%
Value Over 3.5 3.27 Model: 38%
Under 1.5 4.1 Model: 19%
Under 2.5 2.07 Model: 40%
Under 3.5 1.42 Model: 62%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.62
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Portugal 4.33
Draw 2.25
Spain 2.4

Double Chance

Value Portugal or Draw 1.9 Model: 58%
Portugal or Spain 1.28 Model: 76%
Draw or Spain 1.22 Model: 66%

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 70%
Value Over 1.5 3.25 Model: 39%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 1.18 Model: 76%
Over 1.5 1.83 Model: 46%

Portugal vs Spain Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Portugal vs Spain?

Over 2.5 Goals: Portugal have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Spain in 77.78% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Portugal or Spain?

Portugal have a slight form edge at home (70% wins) over Spain on the road (66.67% wins) in World Cup. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Portugal and Spain?

Possibly. Portugal frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Spain are lower on the road (44.44%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Portugal and Spain?

Yes, likely. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of Portugal's home games and 77.78% of Spain's away games in World Cup. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Portugal or Spain?

Spain have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 44.44% of away games compared to Portugal's 40% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Portugal and Spain?

Portugal have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Spain in 55.56% of away games in World Cup. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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