Racing vs Peñarol — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Sunday 31st August, 22:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Peñarol have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Racing are less dominant at home (5/10, 50%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Racing 50% Over 2.5 at home, Peñarol 20% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

Racing often see both teams score at home (60%), while Peñarol are less consistent on the road (30%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Racing have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Peñarol in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2025 season, with Racing (7th) and Peñarol (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nacional 40 25 12 3 79:35 +44 87
2 Peñarol A 41 25 8 8 70:38 +32 83
3 Liverpool 38 18 11 9 52:39 +13 65
4 Defensor Sporting 37 18 7 12 42:38 +4 61
5 Juventud 37 18 7 12 45:39 +6 61
6 Boston River 37 14 13 10 50:39 +11 55
7 Racing H 37 14 11 12 39:38 +1 53
8 Montevideo City Torque 37 13 10 14 54:51 +3 49
9 Cerro Largo 37 12 13 12 41:41 0 49
10 Cerro 37 12 11 14 33:42 -9 47
11 Danubio 37 10 13 14 41:41 0 43
12 Atlético Progreso 37 10 9 18 38:60 -22 39
13 Plaza Colonia 37 8 11 18 28:46 -18 35
14 Wanderers 37 6 13 18 25:47 -22 31
15 River Plate 37 6 11 20 28:48 -20 29
16 Miramar Misiones 37 7 8 22 35:58 -23 29

Team Form

Peñarol have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Racing have been less dominant at home (50%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Racing (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Racing frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Peñarol are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Racing (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Racing have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Racing (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Racing (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Racing have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Peñarol in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Racing (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Racing (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Racing (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Both Racing (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Peñarol (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Racing (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Racing have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Peñarol have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Racing (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Racing (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Racing and Peñarol. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

9th Mar, 2025
Peñarol
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Racing
30th Sep, 2024
Peñarol
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Racing
16th Jun, 2024
Peñarol
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Racing
16th Mar, 2024
Racing
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
Peñarol
2nd Dec, 2023
Peñarol
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Racing
8th May, 2023
Racing
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
17th Oct, 2019
Racing
3 – 3 HT: 1-1
Peñarol
23rd Mar, 2019
Peñarol
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Racing
21st Jul, 2018
Peñarol
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Racing
4th Feb, 2018
Racing
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Peñarol

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Racing vs Peñarol across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Racing 4.9
Draw 3.68
Peñarol 1.76

Half Time Result

Racing 5.78
Draw 2.1
Peñarol 2.44

Double Chance

Racing or Draw 2.1
Racing or Peñarol 1.29
Draw or Peñarol 1.22

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.17
No 1.66

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.41
Over 2.5 2.37
Over 3.5 4.41
Under 1.5 2.85
Under 2.5 1.62
Under 3.5 1.22

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.4

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.2
Over 9.5 1.6
Over 10.5 2.28
Over 11.5 2.54

Racing Goals

Over 0.5 1.74
Over 1.5 4.2
Over 2.5 17

Peñarol Goals

Over 0.5 1.23
Over 1.5 2.12
Over 2.5 4.3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined

Racing vs Peñarol Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Racing vs Peñarol?

Under 3.5 Goals — Racing have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Peñarol in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Racing or Peñarol?

Peñarol hold a slight form advantage away (60% wins) over Racing at home (50% wins) in Primera Division. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Racing and Peñarol?

Mixed — Racing have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Peñarol in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Racing and Peñarol?

Uncertain — Racing have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 20% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Racing or Peñarol?

Racing have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Peñarol's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Racing and Peñarol?

Racing have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 50% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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