Bundesliga · Germany 🕒 Saturday 31st January, 14:30 GMT

RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

RB Leipzig Home · 4th 6W 2D 2L last 10 home
VS
FSV Mainz 05 Away · 16th 5W 3D 2L last 10 away
Win Probability
RB Leipzig 56% Draw 22% FSV Mainz 05 22%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

RB Leipzig see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
56% RB Leipzig win 22% Draw 22% FSV Mainz 05 win 58% BTTS 59% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
81% Over 1.5 Goals

RB Leipzig sit 4th in the table after 15 games, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th after 16 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. RB Leipzig have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a FSV Mainz 05 side who've won 5/10 away (50%).

RB Leipzig have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). FSV Mainz 05 are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home.

RB Leipzig frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). FSV Mainz 05 are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — RB Leipzig see 8+ in 90% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where RB Leipzig (4th) and FSV Mainz 05 (16th) sit in the Bundesliga table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 RB Leipzig H 34 20 5 9 66:47 +19 65
10 FSV Mainz 05 A 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
View the full Bundesliga 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 28 5 1 122:36 +86 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 22 7 5 70:34 +36 73
3 RB Leipzig H 34 20 5 9 66:47 +19 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 18 8 8 71:49 +22 62
5 TSG Hoffenheim 34 18 7 9 65:52 +13 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 17 8 9 68:47 +21 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 A 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
11 FC Union Berlin 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
14 FC Köln 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
15 Werder Bremen 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
17 Heidenheim 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
18 St. Pauli 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26

Team Form

RB Leipzig hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while FSV Mainz 05 have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H RB Leipzig — last 10 home A FSV Mainz 05 — last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

RB Leipzig frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while FSV Mainz 05 are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H RB Leipzig — last 10 home A FSV Mainz 05 — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 58% · BTTS No 42%

Match Goals

RB Leipzig frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H RB Leipzig — last 10 home A FSV Mainz 05 — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

RB Leipzig have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, FSV Mainz 05 in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

RB Leipzig 2.1 scored · 1.4 conceded per home game FSV Mainz 05 1.2 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H RB Leipzig — last 10 home A FSV Mainz 05 — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: RB Leipzig 21 scored / 14 conceded at home · FSV Mainz 05 12 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

FSV Mainz 05 frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while RB Leipzig are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H RB Leipzig — last 10 home A FSV Mainz 05 — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

RB Leipzig have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

FSV Mainz 05 have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H RB Leipzig — last 10 home A FSV Mainz 05 — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between RB Leipzig and FSV Mainz 05. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

13 Sep 2025
FSV Mainz 05
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
RB Leipzig
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Mar 2025
RB Leipzig
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Oct 2024
FSV Mainz 05
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
RB Leipzig
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Mar 2024
RB Leipzig
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
04 Nov 2023
FSV Mainz 05
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
RB Leipzig
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Apr 2023
RB Leipzig
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Oct 2022
FSV Mainz 05
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
RB Leipzig
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Jan 2022
RB Leipzig
4 – 1 HT: 1-0
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Aug 2021
FSV Mainz 05
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
RB Leipzig
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Jan 2021
FSV Mainz 05
3 – 2 HT: 2-2
RB Leipzig
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

RB Leipzig 1.57 Model: 56%
Draw 4.51 Model: 22%
Value FSV Mainz 05 6.2 Model: 22%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.59 Model: 58%
Value No 2.6 Model: 42%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.15 Model: 81%
Over 2.5 1.48 Model: 59%
Over 3.5 2.2 Model: 37%
Value Under 1.5 7.25 Model: 19%
Value Under 2.5 3.04 Model: 41%
Value Under 3.5 1.81 Model: 63%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.28 Model: 85%
Over 1.5 2.33

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23 Model: 64%
Over 9.5 1.55 Model: 53%
Over 10.5 1.89 Model: 42%
Over 11.5 2 Model: 32%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

RB Leipzig 2.08 Model: 42%
Draw 2.66 Model: 35%
Value FSV Mainz 05 5.58 Model: 23%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw 1.17 Model: 78%
RB Leipzig or FSV Mainz 05 1.24 Model: 78%
Value Draw or FSV Mainz 05 2.55 Model: 44%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 1.1 Model: 83%
Over 1.5 1.54 Model: 56%

FSV Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 1.51 Model: 59%
Over 1.5 3.36 Model: 28%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05?

Over 8.5 Corners — RB Leipzig see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, RB Leipzig or FSV Mainz 05?

RB Leipzig have a slight form edge at home (60% wins) over FSV Mainz 05 on the road (50% wins) in Bundesliga. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between RB Leipzig and FSV Mainz 05?

Possibly — RB Leipzig frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between RB Leipzig and FSV Mainz 05?

Possibly — RB Leipzig frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: RB Leipzig or FSV Mainz 05?

RB Leipzig have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to FSV Mainz 05's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between RB Leipzig and FSV Mainz 05?

Possibly — FSV Mainz 05 frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while RB Leipzig are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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