Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Argentina 🕒 Wednesday 28th January, 23:00 GMT

River Plate vs Gimnasia La Plata Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

River Plate Home · 5th 5W 2D 3L last 10 home
VS
Gimnasia La Plata Away · 4th 6W 1D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
River Plate 57% Draw 26% Gimnasia La Plata 17%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No See why ↓

River Plate vs Gimnasia La Plata Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Medium confidence

At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with River Plate at 40% BTTS in home games and Gimnasia La Plata at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

What the model says
57% River Plate win 26% Draw 17% Gimnasia La Plata win 40% BTTS 39% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
80% Under 3.5 Goals 66% Over 1.5 Goals

River Plate sit 5th in the table, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Gimnasia La Plata are 4th, averaging 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded on the road. Gimnasia La Plata carry the better away form into this fixture (6/10, 60%), while River Plate have won 5/10 at home (50%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. River Plate have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Gimnasia La Plata in 40% away. River Plate average 1.5 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Gimnasia La Plata 1.2 and 0.9 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. River Plate have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Gimnasia La Plata in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Gimnasia La Plata are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). River Plate are lower at home (20%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where River Plate (5th) and Gimnasia La Plata (4th) sit in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 River Plate H 20 11 3 6 29:17 +12 36
8 Gimnasia La Plata A 18 9 2 7 20:21 -1 29
View the full Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 River Plate H 20 11 3 6 29:17 +12 36
2 Belgrano 20 10 6 4 24:16 +8 36
3 Argentinos Juniors 19 10 6 3 21:14 +7 36
4 Independiente Rivadavia 17 10 4 3 30:17 +13 34
5 Rosario Central 19 10 4 5 25:19 +6 34
6 Estudiantes 17 9 4 4 19:8 +11 31
7 Boca Juniors 17 8 6 3 24:12 +12 30
8 Gimnasia La Plata A 18 9 2 7 20:21 -1 29
9 Vélez Sarsfield 17 7 7 3 18:13 +5 28
10 Talleres Córdoba 17 7 5 5 17:14 +3 26
11 Huracán 18 6 7 5 20:16 +4 25
12 Unión Santa Fe 18 6 6 6 26:23 +3 24
13 Independiente 17 6 6 5 25:23 +2 24
14 Racing Club 18 6 6 6 19:17 +2 24
15 Lanús 17 6 6 5 18:17 +1 24
16 San Lorenzo 17 5 8 4 16:16 0 23
17 Instituto 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 18:15 +3 20
20 Defensa y Justicia 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
21 Sarmiento 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
22 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
25 Central Cordoba SdE 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
26 Newell's Old Boys 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
27 Atlético Tucumán 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
30 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5

Team Form

Gimnasia La Plata have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while River Plate have been less dominant at home (50%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

H River Plate: last 10 home A Gimnasia La Plata: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

River Plate (40% BTTS at home) and Gimnasia La Plata (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H River Plate: last 10 home A Gimnasia La Plata: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 40% · BTTS No 60%

Match Goals

River Plate have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Gimnasia La Plata in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H River Plate: last 10 home A Gimnasia La Plata: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

River Plate have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Gimnasia La Plata in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

River Plate 1.5 scored · 0.9 conceded per home game Gimnasia La Plata 1.2 scored · 0.9 conceded per away game
H River Plate: last 10 home A Gimnasia La Plata: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: River Plate 15 scored / 9 conceded at home · Gimnasia La Plata 12 scored / 9 conceded away

Match Corners

Gimnasia La Plata frequently reach high corner counts away from home (90%), while River Plate are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H River Plate: last 10 home A Gimnasia La Plata: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

River Plate have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Gimnasia La Plata have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

H River Plate: last 10 home A Gimnasia La Plata: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between River Plate and Gimnasia La Plata. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

02 Nov 2025
River Plate
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Gimnasia La Plata
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Apr 2025
Gimnasia La Plata
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
River Plate
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Aug 2024
Gimnasia La Plata
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
River Plate
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Mar 2024
River Plate
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Gimnasia La Plata
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
29 Oct 2023
Gimnasia La Plata
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
River Plate
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Apr 2023
River Plate
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Gimnasia La Plata
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Jul 2022
River Plate
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Gimnasia La Plata
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Mar 2022
River Plate
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Gimnasia La Plata
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Aug 2021
Gimnasia La Plata
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
River Plate
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2019
Gimnasia La Plata
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
River Plate
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for River Plate vs Gimnasia La Plata across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

River Plate 1.61 Model: 57%
Draw 3.88 Model: 26%
Value Gimnasia La Plata 7.6 Model: 17%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.36 Model: 40%
No 1.68 Model: 60%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.45 Model: 66%
Over 2.5 2.14 Model: 39%
Over 3.5 4.7 Model: 20%
Under 1.5 3.05 Model: 34%
Under 2.5 1.7 Model: 61%
Under 3.5 1.22 Model: 80%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.48 Model: 74%
Over 1.5 3.22

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.34 Model: 56%
Over 9.5 1.57 Model: 45%
Over 10.5 1.92 Model: 35%
Over 11.5 2.4 Model: 26%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

River Plate 2.26 Model: 36%
Draw 2.21 Model: 47%
Value Gimnasia La Plata 6.88 Model: 17%

Double Chance

River Plate or Draw 1.14 Model: 83%
River Plate or Gimnasia La Plata 1.29 Model: 74%
Value Draw or Gimnasia La Plata 2.45 Model: 43%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 1.12 Model: 79%
Over 1.5 1.72 Model: 45%

Gimnasia La Plata Goals

Over 0.5 1.87 Model: 48%
Over 1.5 5.8 Model: 16%

River Plate vs Gimnasia La Plata Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for River Plate vs Gimnasia La Plata?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No: At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with River Plate at 40% BTTS in home games and Gimnasia La Plata at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, River Plate or Gimnasia La Plata?

Gimnasia La Plata hold a slight form advantage away (60% wins) over River Plate at home (50% wins) in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between River Plate and Gimnasia La Plata?

Unlikely. River Plate (40% BTTS at home) and Gimnasia La Plata (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between River Plate and Gimnasia La Plata?

Uncertain. River Plate have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Gimnasia La Plata in 40% of away games in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: River Plate or Gimnasia La Plata?

River Plate have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Gimnasia La Plata's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between River Plate and Gimnasia La Plata?

Possibly. Gimnasia La Plata frequently reach high corner counts away (90%), while River Plate are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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James T. (London, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

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