USL League One · United States 🕒 Thursday 9th July, 00:00 BST

NY Cosmos vs Naples Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

NY Cosmos Home 2W 1D 4L last 7 home

VS

Naples Away 1W 1D 8L last 10 away

Win Probability

NY Cosmos 28% Draw 26% Naples 46%

⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

NY Cosmos vs Naples Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

NY Cosmos see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, Naples in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says

28% NY Cosmos win 26% Draw 46% Naples win 53% BTTS 52% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score

Also worth a look

71% Under 3.5 Goals

NY Cosmos average 1.4 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per home match this season. Naples average 0.8 scored and 1.9 conceded in away fixtures. NY Cosmos have won 2/7 home games (29%) this season; Naples have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

NY Cosmos have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 86% of their home fixtures (6/7). Naples are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home.

NY Cosmos frequently see both teams score at home (71%, 5/7). Naples are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. NY Cosmos see 9+ corners in 29% of home games, Naples in 50% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

League Table

Where NY Cosmos and Naples sit in the USL League One table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
9	Naples A	15	5	2	8	16:23	-7	17
17	NY Cosmos H	12	2	1	9	16:30	-14	7

View the full USL League One 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Union Omaha	15	9	1	5	22:17	+5	28
2	One Knoxville	13	8	3	2	24:11	+13	27
3	Charlotte Independence	12	8	2	2	31:16	+15	26
4	Alta	13	6	5	2	21:14	+7	23
5	Fort Wayne	13	5	6	2	17:12	+5	21
6	Athletic Club Boise	14	6	3	5	21:21	0	21
7	Forward Madison	12	6	2	4	21:14	+7	20
8	Spokane Velocity	12	6	2	4	15:16	-1	20
9	Naples A	15	5	2	8	16:23	-7	17
10	Chattanooga Red Wolves	10	5	1	4	19:13	+6	16
11	Sarasota Paradise	16	5	1	10	17:28	-11	16
12	Westchester SC	12	4	2	6	22:18	+4	14
13	Portland Hearts of Pine	13	3	5	5	16:21	-5	14
14	Corpus Christi	13	3	5	5	17:23	-6	14
15	Richmond Kickers	12	3	2	7	11:19	-8	11
16	Greenville Triumph	11	3	1	7	11:21	-10	10
17	NY Cosmos H	12	2	1	9	16:30	-14	7
18	Tormenta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Team Form

Naples have lost 80% of their away matches this season, while NY Cosmos have been more solid at home (57.14% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H NY Cosmos: last 7 home A Naples: last 10 away

Won

H

2/7 (28.57%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Drawn

H

1/7 (14.29%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Lost

H

4/7 (57.14%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

NY Cosmos frequently see both teams score at home (71.43%), while Naples are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H NY Cosmos: last 7 home A Naples: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

5/7 (71.43%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Scored Themselves

H

6/7 (85.71%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Conceded

H

6/7 (85.71%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 53% · BTTS No 47%

Match Goals

NY Cosmos frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 85.71%), while Naples are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H NY Cosmos: last 7 home A Naples: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

7/7 (100%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

6/7 (85.71%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

4/7 (57.14%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

7/7 (100%)

A

10/10 (100%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

0/7 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

0/7 (0%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

1/7 (14.29%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

3/7 (42.86%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

NY Cosmos have scored 2+ goals in 14.29% of home games this season, Naples in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

NY Cosmos 1.43 scored · 2.29 conceded per home game Naples 0.8 scored · 1.9 conceded per away game

H NY Cosmos: last 7 home A Naples: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

3/7 (42.86%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

6/7 (85.71%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

6/7 (85.71%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

3/7 (42.86%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

1/7 (14.29%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

0/7 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

6/7 (85.71%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

6/7 (85.71%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

3/7 (42.86%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

1/7 (14.29%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Season totals: NY Cosmos 10 scored / 16 conceded at home · Naples 8 scored / 19 conceded away

Match Corners

NY Cosmos regularly reach high corner counts at home (71.43%), while Naples are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H NY Cosmos: last 7 home A Naples: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

5/7 (71.43%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

2/7 (28.57%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

6/7 (85.71%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

2/7 (28.57%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

2/7 (28.57%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

1/7 (14.29%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

NY Cosmos have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 14.29% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 42.86% of home matches.

Naples have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H NY Cosmos: last 7 home A Naples: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

1/7 (14.29%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

4/7 (57.14%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

3/7 (42.86%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

1/7 (14.29%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

1/7 (14.29%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

1/7 (14.29%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

1/7 (14.29%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

5/7 (71.43%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

4/7 (57.14%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

3/7 (42.86%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

1/7 (14.29%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

1/7 (14.29%)

A

0/10 (0%)

NY Cosmos vs Naples Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for NY Cosmos vs Naples?

Over 1.5 Goals: NY Cosmos see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, Naples in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, NY Cosmos or Naples?

NY Cosmos have a slight form edge at home (28.57% wins) over Naples on the road (10% wins) in USL League One. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between NY Cosmos and Naples?

Possibly. NY Cosmos frequently see both teams score at home (71.43%), while Naples are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between NY Cosmos and Naples?

Possibly. NY Cosmos frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 85.71%), while Naples are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: NY Cosmos or Naples?

NY Cosmos have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 14.29% of home games compared to Naples's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between NY Cosmos and Naples?

Possibly. NY Cosmos regularly reach high corner counts at home (71.43%), while Naples are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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