Serie A · Italy 🕒 Sunday 17th May, 01:00 BST

Roma vs Lazio Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Roma Home · 5th 6W 3D 1L last 10 home
VS
Lazio Away · 9th 3W 4D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Roma 54% Draw 26% Lazio 20%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Roma vs Lazio Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Roma see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Lazio in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
54% Roma win 26% Draw 20% Lazio win 50% BTTS 48% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
74% Under 3.5 Goals 73% Over 1.5 Goals

Roma sit 5th in the table after 34 games, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Lazio are 9th after 33 games, averaging 1 scored and 1 conceded on the road. Roma have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Lazio side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals: Roma in 90% of home games, Lazio in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Roma have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Lazio in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Roma see 8+ in 80% of home games, Lazio in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Roma (5th) and Lazio (9th) sit in the Serie A table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Roma H 38 23 4 11 59:31 +28 73
9 Lazio A 38 14 12 12 41:40 +1 54
View the full Serie A 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 +54 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 +22 76
3 Roma H 38 23 4 11 59:31 +28 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 +36 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 +18 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 +27 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 +15 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 +3 56
9 Lazio A 38 14 12 12 41:40 +1 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
12 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
13 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
19 Hellas Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18

Team Form

Roma hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Lazio have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Roma: last 10 home A Lazio: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Roma (40% BTTS at home) and Lazio (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Roma: last 10 home A Lazio: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 50% · BTTS No 50%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Roma 90% at home, Lazio 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H Roma: last 10 home A Lazio: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Roma have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Lazio in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Roma 2.3 scored · 0.9 conceded per home game Lazio 1 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H Roma: last 10 home A Lazio: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Roma 23 scored / 9 conceded at home · Lazio 10 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

Lazio frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Roma are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Roma: last 10 home A Lazio: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Roma win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Lazio have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Roma: last 10 home A Lazio: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Roma and Lazio. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Sep 2025
Lazio
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Roma
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Apr 2025
Lazio
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Roma
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Jan 2025
Roma
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Lazio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2024
Roma
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Lazio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
10 Jan 2024
Lazio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Roma
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Nov 2023
Lazio
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Roma
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Mar 2023
Lazio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Roma
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Nov 2022
Roma
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Lazio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Mar 2022
Roma
3 – 0 HT: 3-0
Lazio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Sep 2021
Lazio
3 – 2 HT: 2-1
Roma
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Roma vs Lazio across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Roma 1.5 Model: 54%
Draw 4.1 Model: 26%
Value Lazio 6.5 Model: 20%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.96 Model: 50%
No 1.88 Model: 50%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.32 Model: 73%
Over 2.5 1.9 Model: 48%
Over 3.5 3.6 Model: 26%
Value Under 1.5 4.03 Model: 27%
Under 2.5 1.9 Model: 52%
Under 3.5 1.37 Model: 74%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.36 Model: 78%
Over 1.5 3.03

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.4 Model: 56%
Over 9.5 1.6 Model: 43%
Over 10.5 2.25 Model: 32%
Over 11.5 2.78 Model: 22%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Roma 2.11 Model: 42%
Draw 2.38 Model: 43%
Lazio 6.95 Model: 15%

Double Chance

Roma or Draw 1.12 Model: 80%
Roma or Lazio 1.23 Model: 74%
Value Draw or Lazio 2.48 Model: 46%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 1.13 Model: 81%
Over 1.5 1.74 Model: 49%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 1.81 Model: 55%
Over 1.5 4.5 Model: 22%

Roma vs Lazio Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Roma vs Lazio?

Over 8.5 Corners: Roma see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Lazio in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Roma or Lazio?

Roma hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Serie A this season, while Lazio have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Roma and Lazio?

Unlikely. Roma (40% BTTS at home) and Lazio (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Serie A. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Roma and Lazio?

Uncertain. Roma have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Lazio in 20% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Roma or Lazio?

Roma have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Lazio's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Roma and Lazio?

Possibly. Lazio frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Roma are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Meizhou Hakka vs Changchun Yatai

📍 League One, China

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 12:30 BST

Match Stats

Orense vs Técnico Universitario

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Wednesday 1st July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Londrina vs CRB

📍 Serie B, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 4th July, 20:00 BST

Match Stats

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Richmond Kickers

📍 USL League One, United States

🕒 Thursday 25th June, 00:00 BST

Match Stats

Džiugas Telšiai vs Žalgiris

📍 A Lyga, Lithuania

🕒 Sunday 28th June, 16:45 BST

Match Stats

Atlanta United II vs Crown Legacy

📍 MLS Next Pro, United States

🕒 Sunday 28th June, 00:00 BST

Match Stats

Leones del Norte vs Universidad Católica

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Elfsborg vs Hammarby

📍 Allsvenskan, Sweden

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 15:30 BST

Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →