Copa Libertadores · South America 🕒 Tuesday 5th May, 23:00 BST

Rosario Central vs Libertad Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Rosario Central Home · 1st 7W 2D 1L last 10 home
VS
Libertad Away · 4th 3W 0D 7L last 10 away
Win Probability
Rosario Central 43% Draw 28% Libertad 29%
⭐ Our Prediction Rosario Central to Win See why ↓

Rosario Central vs Libertad Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Rosario Central to Win

High confidence

Rosario Central have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Libertad have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

What the model says
43% Rosario Central win 28% Draw 29% Libertad win 44% BTTS 39% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
82% Under 3.5 Goals 65% Over 1.5 Goals

Rosario Central sit 1st in the table after 1 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Libertad are 4th after 1 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. The home record backs Rosario Central strongly. They've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Libertad have lost 7/10 on the road (70%).

Rosario Central have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Libertad in 60% away (6/10). Rosario Central average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Libertad 1.5 and 1.8 on the road.

Rosario Central frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Libertad are lower on the road (40%, 4/10). They've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Rosario Central see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Libertad in 60% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Rosario Central (1st) and Libertad (4th) sit in the Copa Libertadores table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Rosario Central H 6 4 1 1 9:1 +8 13
47 Libertad A 6 0 0 6 4:13 -9 0
View the full Copa Libertadores 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 15:6 +9 16
2 Independiente Medellín 9 4 3 2 11:11 0 15
3 Deportes Tolima 10 4 2 4 10:8 +2 14
4 Flamengo 5 4 1 0 11:2 +9 13
5 Rosario Central H 6 4 1 1 9:1 +8 13
6 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 11:6 +5 13
7 Universidad Católica 6 4 1 1 8:4 +4 13
8 Cerro Porteño 6 4 1 1 6:2 +4 13
9 LDU Quito 6 4 0 2 8:5 +3 12
10 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 7:4 +3 12
11 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 10:5 +5 11
12 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 8:3 +5 11
13 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 8:4 +4 11
14 Sporting Cristal 10 3 2 5 10:13 -3 11
15 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 8:6 +2 10
16 Platense 6 3 1 2 8:7 +1 10
17 Barcelona Guayaquil 10 3 1 6 5:14 -9 10
18 Carabobo 4 3 0 1 5:3 +2 9
19 Estudiantes 6 2 3 1 6:5 +1 9
20 UCV 6 3 0 3 7:11 -4 9
21 Lanús 6 3 0 3 3:7 -4 9
22 Juventud 6 2 2 2 8:8 0 8
23 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 7:7 0 8
24 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
25 Nacional 6 2 2 2 7:9 -2 8
26 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 6:5 +1 7
27 2 de Mayo 4 1 3 0 4:3 +1 6
28 Deportivo Táchira 4 2 0 2 3:3 0 6
29 Universitario 6 1 3 2 5:6 -1 6
30 O'Higgins 4 2 0 2 3:4 -1 6
31 Club Bolívar 6 1 2 3 6:8 -2 5
32 Botafogo 4 1 1 2 3:3 0 4
33 Junior FC 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
34 Universidad Católica 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
35 Bahia 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
36 The Strongest 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
37 Argentinos Juniors 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
38 Nacional Potosí 2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
39 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 7:9 -2 3
40 Peñarol 6 0 3 3 4:8 -4 3
41 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 6:13 -7 3
42 Alianza Lima 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
43 Liverpool 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
44 Guaraní 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
45 Cusco FC 6 0 1 5 4:12 -8 1
46 Huachipato 2 0 0 2 1:3 -2 0
47 Libertad A 6 0 0 6 4:13 -9 0

Team Form

Rosario Central have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Libertad's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Rosario Central: last 10 home A Libertad: last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Rosario Central frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Libertad are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Rosario Central: last 10 home A Libertad: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 44% · BTTS No 56%

Match Goals

Rosario Central have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Libertad in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Rosario Central: last 10 home A Libertad: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Rosario Central have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Libertad in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Rosario Central 1.7 scored · 0.7 conceded per home game Libertad 1.5 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Rosario Central: last 10 home A Libertad: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Rosario Central 17 scored / 7 conceded at home · Libertad 15 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Rosario Central have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Libertad in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Rosario Central: last 10 home A Libertad: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Rosario Central have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Libertad have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Rosario Central: last 10 home A Libertad: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Rosario Central and Libertad. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

15 Apr 2026
Libertad
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Rosario Central
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 May 2019
Rosario Central
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Libertad
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Apr 2019
Libertad
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Rosario Central
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Rosario Central vs Libertad across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Rosario Central 1.38 Model: 43%
Value Draw 5 Model: 28%
Value Libertad 7.5 Model: 29%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.22 Model: 44%
No 1.61 Model: 56%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.29 Model: 65%
Over 2.5 1.75 Model: 39%
Over 3.5 3.2 Model: 18%
Value Under 1.5 4.3 Model: 35%
Value Under 2.5 2.05 Model: 61%
Value Under 3.5 1.44 Model: 82%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33 Model: 74%
Over 1.5 2.68

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.34 Model: 44%
Over 9.5 1.62 Model: 33%
Over 10.5 2.62 Model: 23%
Over 11.5 2.84 Model: 16%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Rosario Central 1.85 Model: 31%
Value Draw 2.3 Model: 47%
Value Libertad 7 Model: 23%

Double Chance

Rosario Central or Draw 1.07 Model: 71%
Rosario Central or Libertad 1.17 Model: 72%
Value Draw or Libertad 3.1 Model: 57%

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5 1.1 Model: 70%
Over 1.5 1.55 Model: 35%

Libertad Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.97 Model: 60%
Value Over 1.5 6.55 Model: 25%

Rosario Central vs Libertad Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Rosario Central vs Libertad?

Rosario Central to Win: Rosario Central have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Libertad have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Rosario Central or Libertad?

Rosario Central hold a clear form advantage. They've won 70% of home games in Copa Libertadores this season, while Libertad have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Rosario Central and Libertad?

Mixed. Rosario Central have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Libertad in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Copa Libertadores fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Rosario Central and Libertad?

Uncertain. Rosario Central have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Libertad in 60% of away games in Copa Libertadores. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Rosario Central or Libertad?

Libertad have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Rosario Central's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Rosario Central and Libertad?

Rosario Central have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Libertad in 60% of away games in Copa Libertadores. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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