Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Argentina 🕒 Monday 2nd February, 00:30 GMT

Rosario Central vs River Plate Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Rosario Central Home · 6th 7W 2D 1L last 10 home
VS
River Plate Away · 1st 5W 3D 2L last 10 away
Win Probability
Rosario Central 34% Draw 30% River Plate 36%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Rosario Central vs River Plate Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Rosario Central have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, River Plate in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
34% Rosario Central win 30% Draw 36% River Plate win 43% BTTS 36% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score

Rosario Central sit 6th in the table, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. River Plate are 1st, averaging 1.1 scored and 0.6 conceded on the road. Rosario Central have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a River Plate side who've won 5/10 away (50%).

Rosario Central have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); River Plate in 20% away (2/10). Rosario Central average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, River Plate 1.1 and 0.6 on the road.

Rosario Central frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). River Plate are lower on the road (40%, 4/10). They've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Rosario Central see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, River Plate in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Rosario Central (6th) and River Plate (1st) sit in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 River Plate A 20 11 3 6 29:17 +12 36
5 Rosario Central H 19 10 4 5 25:19 +6 34
View the full Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 River Plate A 20 11 3 6 29:17 +12 36
2 Belgrano 20 10 6 4 24:16 +8 36
3 Argentinos Juniors 19 10 6 3 21:14 +7 36
4 Independiente Rivadavia 17 10 4 3 30:17 +13 34
5 Rosario Central H 19 10 4 5 25:19 +6 34
6 Estudiantes 17 9 4 4 19:8 +11 31
7 Boca Juniors 17 8 6 3 24:12 +12 30
8 Gimnasia La Plata 18 9 2 7 20:21 -1 29
9 Vélez Sarsfield 17 7 7 3 18:13 +5 28
10 Talleres Córdoba 17 7 5 5 17:14 +3 26
11 Huracán 18 6 7 5 20:16 +4 25
12 Unión Santa Fe 18 6 6 6 26:23 +3 24
13 Independiente 17 6 6 5 25:23 +2 24
14 Racing Club 18 6 6 6 19:17 +2 24
15 Lanús 17 6 6 5 18:17 +1 24
16 San Lorenzo 17 5 8 4 16:16 0 23
17 Instituto 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 18:15 +3 20
20 Defensa y Justicia 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
21 Sarmiento 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
22 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
25 Central Cordoba SdE 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
26 Newell's Old Boys 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
27 Atlético Tucumán 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
30 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5

Team Form

Rosario Central hold a clear edge in home form this season (70% wins), while River Plate have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Rosario Central: last 10 home A River Plate: last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Rosario Central frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while River Plate are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Rosario Central: last 10 home A River Plate: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 43% · BTTS No 57%

Match Goals

Rosario Central have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, River Plate in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Rosario Central: last 10 home A River Plate: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Team Goals

Rosario Central have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, River Plate in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Rosario Central 1.7 scored · 0.7 conceded per home game River Plate 1.1 scored · 0.6 conceded per away game
H Rosario Central: last 10 home A River Plate: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Rosario Central 17 scored / 7 conceded at home · River Plate 11 scored / 6 conceded away

Match Corners

Rosario Central have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, River Plate in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Rosario Central: last 10 home A River Plate: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Rosario Central have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

River Plate have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Rosario Central: last 10 home A River Plate: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Rosario Central and River Plate. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

06 Oct 2025
Rosario Central
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
River Plate
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Mar 2025
River Plate
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Rosario Central
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Dec 2024
River Plate
4 – 0 HT: 1-0
Rosario Central
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Apr 2024
River Plate
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Rosario Central
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
23 Dec 2023
Rosario Central
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
River Plate
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Dec 2023
River Plate
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Rosario Central
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Dec 2023
River Plate
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Rosario Central
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Nov 2023
Rosario Central
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
River Plate
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Jul 2023
Rosario Central
3 – 3 HT: 1-0
River Plate
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Oct 2022
River Plate
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Rosario Central
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Rosario Central vs River Plate across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Rosario Central 2.86 Model: 34%
Draw 2.92 Model: 30%
Value River Plate 3.01 Model: 36%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.08 Model: 43%
No 1.67 Model: 57%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.58 Model: 62%
Over 2.5 2.8 Model: 36%
Over 3.5 5.68 Model: 17%
Under 1.5 2.68 Model: 38%
Under 2.5 1.47 Model: 64%
Under 3.5 1.19 Model: 83%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.6 Model: 71%
Over 1.5 3.55

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.33 Model: 46%
Over 9.5 1.77 Model: 35%
Over 10.5 2.6 Model: 25%
Over 11.5 2.95 Model: 17%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Rosario Central 3.61 Model: 24%
Draw 1.9 Model: 49%
River Plate 3.8 Model: 27%

Double Chance

Rosario Central or Draw 1.42 Model: 64%
Rosario Central or River Plate 1.44 Model: 70%
Draw or River Plate 1.48 Model: 66%

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5 1.47 Model: 63%
Over 1.5 3.2 Model: 27%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 1.5 Model: 64%
Over 1.5 3.05 Model: 29%

Rosario Central vs River Plate Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Rosario Central vs River Plate?

Under 3.5 Goals: Rosario Central have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, River Plate in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Rosario Central or River Plate?

Rosario Central have a slight form edge at home (70% wins) over River Plate on the road (50% wins) in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Rosario Central and River Plate?

Mixed. Rosario Central have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, River Plate in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Rosario Central and River Plate?

Uncertain. Rosario Central have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, River Plate in 20% of away games in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Rosario Central or River Plate?

Rosario Central have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to River Plate's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Rosario Central and River Plate?

Rosario Central have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, River Plate in 50% of away games in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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