Championship · England 🕒 Monday 15th December, 20:00 GMT

Sheffield Wednesday vs Derby County Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Sheffield Wednesday Home · 24th 1W 3D 6L last 10 home
VS
Derby County Away · 16th 4W 0D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Sheffield Wednesday 29% Draw 26% Derby County 45%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Sheffield Wednesday vs Derby County Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Sheffield Wednesday see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Derby County in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
29% Sheffield Wednesday win 26% Draw 45% Derby County win 52% BTTS 50% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
72% Under 3.5 Goals

Sheffield Wednesday sit 24th in the table after 16 games, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Derby County are 16th after 16 games, averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. Sheffield Wednesday have won 1/10 home games (10%) this season; Derby County have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Derby County have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Sheffield Wednesday are lower at home (30%, 3/10), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: Sheffield Wednesday in 60% of home games (6/10), Derby County in 60% away (6/10). Sheffield Wednesday have scored in 60% of home fixtures; Derby County in 80% of away games.

Sheffield Wednesday regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Derby County are lower on the road (30%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Sheffield Wednesday (24th) and Derby County (16th) sit in the Championship table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
8 Derby County A 46 20 9 17 67:59 +8 69
24 Sheffield Wednesday H 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 18
View the full Championship 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coventry City 46 28 11 7 97:45 +52 95
2 Ipswich Town 46 23 15 8 80:47 +33 84
3 Southampton 48 23 15 10 84:57 +27 84
4 Millwall 48 24 12 12 64:51 +13 84
5 Middlesbrough 49 22 15 12 73:50 +23 81
6 Hull City 49 23 11 15 73:66 +7 80
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 +4 71
8 Derby County A 46 20 9 17 67:59 +8 69
9 Norwich City 46 19 8 19 63:56 +7 65
10 Birmingham City 46 17 13 16 57:56 +1 64
11 Swansea City 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
13 Sheffield United 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
14 Preston North End 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
15 Queens Park Rangers 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
19 West Bromwich Albion 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 53
20 Charlton Athletic 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
21 Leicester City 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 52
22 Blackburn Rovers 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
23 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
24 Sheffield Wednesday H 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 18

Team Form

Sheffield Wednesday have won 10% of home games this season, Derby County 40% away. The breakdown below gives the full picture heading into this match.

H Sheffield Wednesday: last 10 home A Derby County: last 10 away
Won
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Lost
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Sheffield Wednesday have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Derby County in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H Sheffield Wednesday: last 10 home A Derby County: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 52% · BTTS No 48%

Match Goals

Derby County regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Sheffield Wednesday are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Sheffield Wednesday: last 10 home A Derby County: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Sheffield Wednesday have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Derby County in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Sheffield Wednesday 0.7 scored · 1.5 conceded per home game Derby County 1.7 scored · 1.7 conceded per away game
H Sheffield Wednesday: last 10 home A Derby County: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Sheffield Wednesday 7 scored / 15 conceded at home · Derby County 17 scored / 17 conceded away

Match Corners

Sheffield Wednesday regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Derby County are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Sheffield Wednesday: last 10 home A Derby County: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Sheffield Wednesday have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Derby County have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Sheffield Wednesday: last 10 home A Derby County: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

1st Jan, 2025
Sheffield Wednesday
4 – 2 HT: 1-0
Derby County
Corners 4–11 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Dec, 2024
Derby County
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Sheffield Wednesday
Corners 7–5 Cards 5–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th May, 2023
Sheffield Wednesday
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Derby County
Corners 2–6 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Dec, 2022
Derby County
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Sheffield Wednesday
Corners 4–2 Cards 2–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
8th May, 2021
Derby County
3 – 3 HT: 0-1
Sheffield Wednesday
Corners 6–10 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Jan, 2021
Sheffield Wednesday
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Derby County
Corners 0–7 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Feb, 2020
Sheffield Wednesday
1 – 3 HT: 0-3
Derby County
Corners 9–3 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Dec, 2019
Derby County
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Sheffield Wednesday
Corners 5–12 Cards 3–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Mar, 2019
Derby County
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Sheffield Wednesday
Corners 6–2 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Nov, 2018
Sheffield Wednesday
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
Derby County
Corners 6–9 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Sheffield Wednesday vs Derby County across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Sheffield Wednesday 3.58 Model: 29%
Draw 3.44 Model: 26%
Derby County 2.16 Model: 45%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.83 Model: 52%
No 1.91 Model: 48%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.35 Model: 74%
Value Over 2.5 2.13 Model: 50%
Over 3.5 3.62 Model: 28%
Under 1.5 3.32 Model: 26%
Under 2.5 1.78 Model: 50%
Under 3.5 1.21 Model: 72%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 81%
Over 1.5 3.1

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21 Model: 56%
Over 9.5 1.51 Model: 45%
Over 10.5 1.92 Model: 35%
Over 11.5 2.18 Model: 26%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Sheffield Wednesday 4 Model: 28%
Draw 1.98 Model: 42%
Derby County 2.87 Model: 31%

Double Chance

Sheffield Wednesday or Draw 1.75 Model: 55%
Sheffield Wednesday or Derby County 1.34 Model: 74%
Draw or Derby County 1.33 Model: 71%

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5 1.45 Model: 64%
Over 1.5 3 Model: 30%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 1.23 Model: 75%
Over 1.5 2.29 Model: 43%

Sheffield Wednesday vs Derby County Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sheffield Wednesday vs Derby County?

Over 1.5 Goals: Sheffield Wednesday see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Derby County in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Sheffield Wednesday or Derby County?

Derby County hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Sheffield Wednesday at home (10% wins) in Championship. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County?

Mixed. Sheffield Wednesday have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Derby County in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County?

Possibly. Derby County regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Sheffield Wednesday are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sheffield Wednesday or Derby County?

Derby County have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Sheffield Wednesday's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County?

Possibly. Sheffield Wednesday regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Derby County are lower on the road (30%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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