Major League Soccer · United States 🕒 Sunday 22nd February, 03:30 GMT

SJ Earthquakes vs Sporting KC Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

SJ Earthquakes Home · 9th 7W 1D 2L last 10 home
VS
Sporting KC Away · 10th 2W 0D 8L last 10 away
Win Probability
SJ Earthquakes 56% Draw 22% Sporting KC 22%
⭐ Our Prediction SJ Earthquakes to Win See why ↓

SJ Earthquakes vs Sporting KC Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

SJ Earthquakes to Win

High confidence

SJ Earthquakes have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Sporting KC have lost 8/10 away (80%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

What the model says
56% SJ Earthquakes win 22% Draw 22% Sporting KC win 58% BTTS 61% Over 2.5 Goals 2-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
81% Over 1.5 Goals 67% Over 8.5 Corners

SJ Earthquakes sit 9th in the table, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Sporting KC are 10th, averaging 0.6 scored and 3.2 conceded on the road. The home record backs SJ Earthquakes strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Sporting KC have lost 8/10 on the road (80%).

Sporting KC have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 100% of their away fixtures (10/10). SJ Earthquakes are lower at home (60%, 6/10), averaging 2.4 scored and 0.9 conceded.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — SJ Earthquakes at 50% in home games (5/10), Sporting KC at 40% away (4/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

SJ Earthquakes regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 90% of fixtures, 9/10). Sporting KC are lower on the road (40%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where SJ Earthquakes (9th) and Sporting KC (10th) sit in the Major League Soccer table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 SJ Earthquakes H 15 10 2 3 34:15 +19 32
29 Sporting KC A 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
View the full Major League Soccer 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 31:11 +20 33
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 34:12 +22 32
3 SJ Earthquakes H 15 10 2 3 34:15 +19 32
4 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 39:28 +11 31
5 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 27:16 +11 26
6 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 26:19 +7 26
7 Dallas 15 7 4 4 30:22 +8 25
8 New England 14 8 1 5 22:18 +4 25
9 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 24:17 +7 24
10 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 17:11 +6 24
11 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 19:23 -4 22
12 Minnesota United 15 6 4 5 18:22 -4 22
13 New York RB 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
14 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 24:23 +1 21
15 LA Galaxy 15 5 5 5 22:22 0 20
16 Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
17 New York City 15 5 4 6 25:21 +4 19
18 DC United 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
19 San Diego 15 4 5 6 30:27 +3 17
20 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 25:24 +1 16
21 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
22 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
23 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 22:28 -6 14
24 Toronto 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
25 CF Montréal 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
26 Austin 15 3 5 7 19:31 -12 14
27 Orlando City 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
28 Atlanta United 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
29 Sporting KC A 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
30 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7

Team Form

SJ Earthquakes have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Sporting KC's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H SJ Earthquakes — last 10 home A Sporting KC — last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

SJ Earthquakes have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Sporting KC in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H SJ Earthquakes — last 10 home A Sporting KC — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 58% · BTTS No 42%

Match Goals

Sporting KC regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 100%), while SJ Earthquakes are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H SJ Earthquakes — last 10 home A Sporting KC — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

SJ Earthquakes have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Sporting KC in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

SJ Earthquakes 2.4 scored · 0.9 conceded per home game Sporting KC 0.6 scored · 3.2 conceded per away game
H SJ Earthquakes — last 10 home A Sporting KC — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Season totals: SJ Earthquakes 24 scored / 9 conceded at home · Sporting KC 6 scored / 32 conceded away

Match Corners

SJ Earthquakes regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Sporting KC are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H SJ Earthquakes — last 10 home A Sporting KC — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

SJ Earthquakes win 7+ corners in 70% of home games, regularly creating set-piece pressure from wide areas, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Sporting KC have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H SJ Earthquakes — last 10 home A Sporting KC — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
9/10 (90%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
9/10 (90%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
9/10 (90%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between SJ Earthquakes and Sporting KC. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20 Apr 2025
SJ Earthquakes
3 – 5 HT: 2-3
Sporting KC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Mar 2025
Sporting KC
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
SJ Earthquakes
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Jul 2024
SJ Earthquakes
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Sporting KC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Mar 2024
Sporting KC
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
SJ Earthquakes
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
26 Oct 2023
Sporting KC
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
SJ Earthquakes
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Aug 2023
Sporting KC
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
SJ Earthquakes
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Apr 2023
SJ Earthquakes
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Sporting KC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Aug 2022
Sporting KC
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
SJ Earthquakes
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 May 2022
SJ Earthquakes
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Sporting KC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Jul 2021
Sporting KC
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
SJ Earthquakes
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for SJ Earthquakes vs Sporting KC across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

SJ Earthquakes 1.73 Model: 56%
Draw 4.1 Model: 22%
Sporting KC 4.2 Model: 22%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.43 Model: 58%
Value No 2.63 Model: 42%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.13 Model: 81%
Over 2.5 1.44 Model: 61%
Over 3.5 2.12 Model: 40%
Under 1.5 5.88 Model: 19%
Value Under 2.5 2.75 Model: 39%
Value Under 3.5 1.8 Model: 60%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.21 Model: 86%
Over 1.5 2.04

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.37 Model: 67%
Over 9.5 1.63 Model: 56%
Over 10.5 2 Model: 45%
Over 11.5 2.55 Model: 35%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

SJ Earthquakes 2.17 Model: 43%
Draw 2.63 Model: 35%
Sporting KC 4.1 Model: 22%

Double Chance

SJ Earthquakes or Draw 1.22 Model: 78%
SJ Earthquakes or Sporting KC 1.23 Model: 78%
Draw or Sporting KC 2.08 Model: 44%

SJ Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 1.09 Model: 84%
Over 1.5 1.5 Model: 57%

Sporting KC Goals

Over 0.5 1.29 Model: 59%
Over 1.5 2.56 Model: 29%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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SJ Earthquakes vs Sporting KC Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for SJ Earthquakes vs Sporting KC?

SJ Earthquakes to Win — SJ Earthquakes have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Sporting KC have lost 8/10 away (80%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, SJ Earthquakes or Sporting KC?

SJ Earthquakes hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Major League Soccer this season, while Sporting KC have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between SJ Earthquakes and Sporting KC?

Mixed — SJ Earthquakes have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Sporting KC in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Major League Soccer fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between SJ Earthquakes and Sporting KC?

Possibly — Sporting KC regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 100%), while SJ Earthquakes are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: SJ Earthquakes or Sporting KC?

SJ Earthquakes have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Sporting KC's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between SJ Earthquakes and Sporting KC?

Possibly — SJ Earthquakes regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Sporting KC are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

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