Premier League · Malta 🕒 Tuesday 3rd February, 00:00 GMT

Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Sliema Wanderers Home · 1st 4W 3D 3L last 10 home
VS
Marsaxlokk Away · 2nd 3W 2D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Sliema Wanderers 36% Draw 28% Marsaxlokk 36%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Sliema Wanderers have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Marsaxlokk in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
36% Sliema Wanderers win 28% Draw 36% Marsaxlokk win 49% BTTS 45% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
70% Over 1.5 Goals

Sliema Wanderers sit 1st in the table after 16 games, averaging 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Marsaxlokk are 2nd after 16 games, averaging 0.6 scored and 1.1 conceded on the road. Sliema Wanderers have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Marsaxlokk have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Sliema Wanderers have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Marsaxlokk in 40% away. Sliema Wanderers average 1 scored and 1 conceded at home, Marsaxlokk 0.6 and 1.1 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Sliema Wanderers frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Marsaxlokk are lower on the road (30%, 3/10). They've scored in 40% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Sliema Wanderers see 8+ in 60% of home games, Marsaxlokk in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Sliema Wanderers (1st) and Marsaxlokk (2nd) sit in the Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Marsaxlokk A 34 17 8 9 45:39 +6 59
5 Sliema Wanderers H 32 12 12 8 37:36 +1 48
View the full Premier League 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Floriana 34 22 8 4 53:28 +25 74
2 Hamrun Spartans 34 19 8 7 55:23 +32 65
3 Marsaxlokk A 34 17 8 9 45:39 +6 59
4 Valletta 34 14 12 8 41:26 +15 54
5 Sliema Wanderers H 32 12 12 8 37:36 +1 48
6 Gzira United 32 12 7 13 38:43 -5 43
7 Hibernians 32 10 9 13 45:49 -4 39
8 Birkirkara 32 8 11 13 29:36 -7 35
9 Naxxar Lions 33 9 8 16 41:52 -11 35
10 St. Patrick 34 7 13 14 45:47 -2 34
11 Mosta 33 7 8 18 35:58 -23 29
12 Tarxien Rainbows 34 5 10 19 35:62 -27 25

Team Form

Marsaxlokk have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Sliema Wanderers have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Sliema Wanderers: last 10 home A Marsaxlokk: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Sliema Wanderers frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Marsaxlokk are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Sliema Wanderers: last 10 home A Marsaxlokk: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 49% · BTTS No 51%

Match Goals

Sliema Wanderers have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Marsaxlokk in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Sliema Wanderers: last 10 home A Marsaxlokk: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Team Goals

Sliema Wanderers have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Marsaxlokk in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Sliema Wanderers 1 scored · 1 conceded per home game Marsaxlokk 0.6 scored · 1.1 conceded per away game
H Sliema Wanderers: last 10 home A Marsaxlokk: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Sliema Wanderers 10 scored / 10 conceded at home · Marsaxlokk 6 scored / 11 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Sliema Wanderers (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Marsaxlokk (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Sliema Wanderers: last 10 home A Marsaxlokk: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Sliema Wanderers have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Marsaxlokk have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Sliema Wanderers: last 10 home A Marsaxlokk: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Sliema Wanderers and Marsaxlokk. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

06 Jan 2026
Sliema Wanderers
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Marsaxlokk
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Oct 2025
Sliema Wanderers
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Marsaxlokk
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Jul 2025
Marsaxlokk
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Sliema Wanderers
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Apr 2025
Marsaxlokk
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Sliema Wanderers
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
01 Mar 2025
Sliema Wanderers
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Marsaxlokk
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Sep 2024
Marsaxlokk
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Sliema Wanderers
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Feb 2024
Marsaxlokk
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Sliema Wanderers
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Oct 2023
Sliema Wanderers
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Marsaxlokk
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Sep 2023
Marsaxlokk
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Sliema Wanderers
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Mar 2022
Sliema Wanderers
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Marsaxlokk
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Sliema Wanderers 3.05 Model: 36%
Draw 3.2 Model: 28%
Marsaxlokk 2.62 Model: 36%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.89 Model: 49%
No 1.95 Model: 51%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.44 Model: 70%
Value Over 2.5 2.32 Model: 45%
Value Over 3.5 4.7 Model: 24%
Under 1.5 3.05 Model: 30%
Under 2.5 1.71 Model: 55%
Under 3.5 1.27 Model: 76%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.45 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 3.12
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Sliema Wanderers 3.2 Model: 27%
Draw 1.88 Model: 45%
Marsaxlokk 3.25 Model: 28%

Double Chance

Sliema Wanderers or Draw 1.44 Model: 64%
Sliema Wanderers or Marsaxlokk 1.26 Model: 72%
Draw or Marsaxlokk 1.36 Model: 64%

Sliema Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 1.35 Model: 68%
Over 1.5 2.78 Model: 34%

Marsaxlokk Goals

Over 0.5 1.38 Model: 68%
Over 1.5 2.85 Model: 34%

Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk?

Under 3.5 Goals: Sliema Wanderers have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Marsaxlokk in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Sliema Wanderers or Marsaxlokk?

Sliema Wanderers have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Marsaxlokk on the road (30% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Sliema Wanderers and Marsaxlokk?

Mixed. Sliema Wanderers have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Marsaxlokk in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sliema Wanderers and Marsaxlokk?

Uncertain. Sliema Wanderers have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Marsaxlokk in 40% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sliema Wanderers or Marsaxlokk?

Marsaxlokk have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Sliema Wanderers's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sliema Wanderers and Marsaxlokk?

Sliema Wanderers have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Marsaxlokk in 60% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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