Major League Soccer · United States 🕒 Friday 17th July, 01:30 BST

St. Louis City vs Sporting KC Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

St. Louis City Home 4W 3D 3L last 10 home
VS
Sporting KC Away 2W 0D 8L last 10 away
Win Probability
St. Louis City 64% Draw 19% Sporting KC 17%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

St. Louis City vs Sporting KC Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

St. Louis City have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Sporting KC in 100% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
64% St. Louis City win 19% Draw 17% Sporting KC win 55% BTTS 64% Over 2.5 Goals 2-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
83% Over 1.5 Goals 67% Over 8.5 Corners

St. Louis City average 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Sporting KC average 0.6 scored and 3.2 conceded in away fixtures. St. Louis City have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Sporting KC have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Goals look likely from both ends. St. Louis City have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home fixtures this season (8/10), and Sporting KC in 100% of away games (10/10). St. Louis City average 1.9 scored and 1.4 conceded at home; Sporting KC 0.6 and 3.2 on the road.

St. Louis City frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Sporting KC are lower on the road (40%, 4/10). They've scored in 40% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. St. Louis City see 8+ in 70% of home games, Sporting KC in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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League Table

Where St. Louis City and Sporting KC sit in the Major League Soccer table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
22 St. Louis City H 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
29 Sporting KC A 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
View the full Major League Soccer 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 31:11 +20 33
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 34:12 +22 32
3 SJ Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 34:15 +19 32
4 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 39:28 +11 31
5 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 27:16 +11 26
6 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 26:19 +7 26
7 Dallas 15 7 4 4 30:22 +8 25
8 New England 14 8 1 5 22:18 +4 25
9 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 24:17 +7 24
10 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 17:11 +6 24
11 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 19:23 -4 22
12 Minnesota United 15 6 4 5 18:22 -4 22
13 New York RB 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
14 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 24:23 +1 21
15 LA Galaxy 15 5 5 5 22:22 0 20
16 Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
17 New York City 15 5 4 6 25:21 +4 19
18 DC United 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
19 San Diego 15 4 5 6 30:27 +3 17
20 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 25:24 +1 16
21 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
22 St. Louis City H 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
23 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 22:28 -6 14
24 Toronto 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
25 CF Montréal 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
26 Austin 15 3 5 7 19:31 -12 14
27 Orlando City 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
28 Atlanta United 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
29 Sporting KC A 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
30 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7

Team Form

Sporting KC have lost 80% of their away matches this season, while St. Louis City have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H St. Louis City: last 10 home A Sporting KC: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

St. Louis City frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Sporting KC are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H St. Louis City: last 10 home A Sporting KC: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 55% · BTTS No 45%

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of St. Louis City's home games and 100% of Sporting KC's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

H St. Louis City: last 10 home A Sporting KC: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

St. Louis City have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Sporting KC in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

St. Louis City 1.9 scored · 1.4 conceded per home game Sporting KC 0.6 scored · 3.2 conceded per away game
H St. Louis City: last 10 home A Sporting KC: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Season totals: St. Louis City 19 scored / 14 conceded at home · Sporting KC 6 scored / 32 conceded away

Match Corners

Both St. Louis City (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Sporting KC (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H St. Louis City: last 10 home A Sporting KC: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

St. Louis City have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Sporting KC have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H St. Louis City: last 10 home A Sporting KC: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for St. Louis City vs Sporting KC across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

St. Louis City 1.39 Model: 64%
Draw 5.1 Model: 19%
Value Sporting KC 7.4 Model: 17%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.6 Model: 55%
No 2.25 Model: 45%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.14 Model: 83%
Over 2.5 1.42 Model: 64%
Over 3.5 2.02 Model: 40%
Under 1.5 5.6 Model: 17%
Under 2.5 2.8 Model: 36%
Value Under 3.5 1.78 Model: 60%

St. Louis City vs Sporting KC Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs Sporting KC?

Over 2.5 Goals: St. Louis City have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Sporting KC in 100% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, St. Louis City or Sporting KC?

St. Louis City have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Sporting KC on the road (20% wins) in Major League Soccer. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between St. Louis City and Sporting KC?

Mixed. St. Louis City have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Sporting KC in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Major League Soccer fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between St. Louis City and Sporting KC?

Yes, likely. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of St. Louis City's home games and 100% of Sporting KC's away games in Major League Soccer. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: St. Louis City or Sporting KC?

St. Louis City have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Sporting KC's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between St. Louis City and Sporting KC?

St. Louis City have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Sporting KC in 50% of away games in Major League Soccer. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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