Virsliga · Latvia 🕒 Monday 6th July, 17:00 BST

Super Nova vs Ogre United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Super Nova Home 2W 2D 6L last 10 home
VS
Ogre United Away 2W 0D 8L last 10 away
Win Probability
Super Nova 41% Draw 24% Ogre United 35%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Super Nova vs Ogre United Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

Super Nova have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Ogre United in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
41% Super Nova win 24% Draw 35% Ogre United win 58% BTTS 60% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
81% Over 1.5 Goals 65% Over 8.5 Corners

Super Nova average 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per home match this season. Ogre United average 0.8 scored and 2.6 conceded in away fixtures. The form figures are level. Super Nova have won 20% of home games, Ogre United 20% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Super Nova have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Ogre United are lower on the road (60%, 6/10), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.6 conceded away from home.

Super Nova frequently see both teams score at home (80%, 8/10). Ogre United are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Super Nova regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 90% of fixtures, 9/10). Ogre United are lower on the road (40%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

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League Table

Where Super Nova and Ogre United sit in the Virsliga table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
6 Super Nova H 19 6 3 10 19:27 -8 21
10 Ogre United A 18 1 4 13 16:42 -26 7
View the full Virsliga 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Riga 19 15 3 1 60:19 +41 48
2 Rīgas FS 18 15 1 2 42:14 +28 46
3 Auda 19 12 2 5 36:23 +13 38
4 Liepāja 19 7 4 8 23:29 -6 25
5 FC Daugavpils 19 6 5 8 21:25 -4 23
6 Super Nova H 19 6 3 10 19:27 -8 21
7 FS Jelgava 19 4 7 8 17:34 -17 19
8 Tukums 19 3 8 8 33:36 -3 17
9 Grobiņa 19 3 7 9 12:30 -18 16
10 Ogre United A 18 1 4 13 16:42 -26 7

Team Form

Super Nova (20% home wins) and Ogre United (20% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Super Nova: last 10 home A Ogre United: last 10 away
Won
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Lost
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Super Nova frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Ogre United are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Super Nova: last 10 home A Ogre United: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 58% · BTTS No 42%

Match Goals

Super Nova frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Ogre United are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Super Nova: last 10 home A Ogre United: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Team Goals

Super Nova have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Ogre United in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Super Nova 1.3 scored · 1.8 conceded per home game Ogre United 0.8 scored · 2.6 conceded per away game
H Super Nova: last 10 home A Ogre United: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Season totals: Super Nova 13 scored / 18 conceded at home · Ogre United 8 scored / 26 conceded away

Match Corners

Super Nova regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Ogre United are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Super Nova: last 10 home A Ogre United: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Super Nova have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), but also concede 7+ corners in 70% of home matches, giving opponents significant set-piece opportunities.

Ogre United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Super Nova: last 10 home A Ogre United: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
9/10 (90%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Super Nova vs Ogre United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Super Nova vs Ogre United?

Over 2.5 Goals: Super Nova have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Ogre United in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Super Nova or Ogre United?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. Super Nova have won 20% of home games, Ogre United 20% away in Virsliga. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Super Nova and Ogre United?

Possibly. Super Nova frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Ogre United are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Super Nova and Ogre United?

Possibly. Super Nova frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Ogre United are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Super Nova or Ogre United?

Super Nova have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Ogre United's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Super Nova and Ogre United?

Possibly. Super Nova regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Ogre United are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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