Segunda Division · Uruguay 🕒 Sunday 5th July, 21:00 BST

Tacuarembó vs Cerrito Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Tacuarembó Home 5W 4D 1L last 10 home
VS
Cerrito Away 1W 5D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Tacuarembó 50% Draw 27% Cerrito 23%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Tacuarembó vs Cerrito Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Tacuarembó have stayed under 3 goals in 90% of home games, Cerrito in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
50% Tacuarembó win 27% Draw 23% Cerrito win 50% BTTS 45% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Under 3.5 Goals 70% Over 1.5 Goals

Tacuarembó average 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Cerrito average 1.2 scored and 1.9 conceded in away fixtures. Tacuarembó have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Cerrito have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Tacuarembó have seen 3+ goals in only 10% of home fixtures; Cerrito in 40% away. Tacuarembó average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Cerrito 1.2 and 1.9 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Cerrito regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Tacuarembó are lower at home (50%, 5/10). They've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Cerrito are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Tacuarembó are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

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League Table

Where Tacuarembó and Cerrito sit in the Segunda Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Cerrito A 13 5 5 3 21:21 0 20
9 Tacuarembó H 13 4 4 5 13:15 -2 16
View the full Segunda Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Fénix 14 6 6 2 24:15 +9 24
2 Oriental 14 6 5 3 20:15 +5 23
3 Plaza Colonia 13 6 4 3 16:9 +7 22
4 Huracán 13 5 7 1 16:12 +4 22
5 Cerrito A 13 5 5 3 21:21 0 20
6 Atenas 13 6 1 6 19:18 +1 19
7 Colón 13 4 5 4 14:13 +1 17
8 Rentistas 13 4 5 4 11:14 -3 17
9 Tacuarembó H 13 4 4 5 13:15 -2 16
10 La Luz 13 3 7 3 11:13 -2 16
11 Miramar Misiones 13 3 5 5 13:15 -2 14
12 River Plate 13 4 2 7 18:26 -8 14
13 Uruguay Montevideo 13 3 4 6 13:16 -3 13
14 Paysandu FC 13 2 2 9 11:18 -7 8

Team Form

Cerrito have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Tacuarembó have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Tacuarembó: last 10 home A Cerrito: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cerrito regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Tacuarembó are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Tacuarembó: last 10 home A Cerrito: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 50% · BTTS No 50%

Match Goals

Tacuarembó have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 10% of home games, Cerrito in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Tacuarembó: last 10 home A Cerrito: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Tacuarembó have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Cerrito in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Tacuarembó 1.3 scored · 0.7 conceded per home game Cerrito 1.2 scored · 1.9 conceded per away game
H Tacuarembó: last 10 home A Cerrito: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Tacuarembó 13 scored / 7 conceded at home · Cerrito 12 scored / 19 conceded away

Match Corners

Cerrito frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Tacuarembó are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Tacuarembó: last 10 home A Cerrito: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Tacuarembó have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Cerrito have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Tacuarembó: last 10 home A Cerrito: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Tacuarembó vs Cerrito Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tacuarembó vs Cerrito?

Under 2.5 Goals: Tacuarembó have stayed under 3 goals in 90% of home games, Cerrito in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Tacuarembó or Cerrito?

Tacuarembó have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Cerrito on the road (10% wins) in Segunda Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Tacuarembó and Cerrito?

Mixed. Tacuarembó have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Cerrito in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Segunda Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tacuarembó and Cerrito?

Uncertain. Tacuarembó have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 10% of home games, Cerrito in 40% of away games in Segunda Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tacuarembó or Cerrito?

Cerrito have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Tacuarembó's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tacuarembó and Cerrito?

Possibly. Cerrito frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Tacuarembó are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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