Tercera - Group 7 · Spain 🕒 Sunday 1st February, 10:30 GMT

Trival Valderas vs Galapagar Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Trival Valderas Home · 11th 6W 3D 1L last 10 home
VS
Galapagar Away · 9th 3W 5D 2L last 10 away
Win Probability
Trival Valderas 39% Draw 30% Galapagar 31%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Trival Valderas vs Galapagar Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Trival Valderas see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Galapagar in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
39% Trival Valderas win 30% Draw 31% Galapagar win 45% BTTS 38% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
82% Under 3.5 Goals

Trival Valderas sit 11th in the table after 17 games, averaging 2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Galapagar are 9th after 17 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. Trival Valderas have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Galapagar side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Trival Valderas have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Galapagar are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Trival Valderas in 70% of home games (7/10), Galapagar in 60% away (6/10). Trival Valderas have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Galapagar in 80% of away games.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Trival Valderas see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Galapagar in 60% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Trival Valderas (11th) and Galapagar (9th) sit in the Tercera - Group 7 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 Trival Valderas H 34 18 6 10 50:36 +14 60
10 Galapagar A 34 11 13 10 42:47 -5 46
View the full Tercera - Group 7 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Atletico Madrid III 33 17 10 6 78:45 +33 61
2 Trival Valderas H 34 18 6 10 50:36 +14 60
3 Torrejón 33 17 8 8 54:43 +11 59
4 Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 +16 56
5 Leganés II 34 15 9 10 63:33 +30 54
6 Unión Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 +6 53
7 Móstoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 +6 51
8 SS Reyes II 33 12 13 8 44:30 +14 49
9 Pozuelo Alarcón 34 12 12 10 40:33 +7 48
10 Galapagar A 34 11 13 10 42:47 -5 46
11 Alcorcón II 34 11 11 12 37:34 +3 44
12 México 33 12 8 13 42:46 -4 44
13 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 -6 44
14 Villaverde-Boetticher 34 10 13 11 32:44 -12 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 -6 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 -25 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 -37 27
18 Racing Madrid City 34 5 7 22 31:76 -45 22

Team Form

Trival Valderas hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Galapagar have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Trival Valderas — last 10 home A Galapagar — last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Trival Valderas have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Galapagar in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

H Trival Valderas — last 10 home A Galapagar — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 45% · BTTS No 55%

Match Goals

Trival Valderas frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Galapagar are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Trival Valderas — last 10 home A Galapagar — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Team Goals

Trival Valderas have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Galapagar in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Trival Valderas 2 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game Galapagar 1.5 scored · 1.4 conceded per away game
H Trival Valderas — last 10 home A Galapagar — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Trival Valderas 20 scored / 13 conceded at home · Galapagar 15 scored / 14 conceded away

Match Corners

Trival Valderas have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Galapagar in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Trival Valderas — last 10 home A Galapagar — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Trival Valderas have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Galapagar have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Trival Valderas — last 10 home A Galapagar — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Trival Valderas and Galapagar. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Sep 2025
Galapagar
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Trival Valderas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Apr 2025
Galapagar
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Trival Valderas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Dec 2024
Trival Valderas
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Galapagar
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Mar 2024
Trival Valderas
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Galapagar
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 5 more meetings
29 Oct 2023
Galapagar
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Trival Valderas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Mar 2023
Galapagar
1 – 3 HT: 0-0
Trival Valderas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Nov 2022
Trival Valderas
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Galapagar
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Feb 2022
Galapagar
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Trival Valderas
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Oct 2021
Trival Valderas
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Galapagar
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Trival Valderas vs Galapagar across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Trival Valderas 2.18 Model: 39%
Draw 3.08 Model: 30%
Galapagar 3.33 Model: 31%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.83 Model: 45%
No 1.85 Model: 55%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.34 Model: 64%
Over 2.5 2.07 Model: 38%
Over 3.5 3.58 Model: 18%
Under 1.5 2.89 Model: 36%
Value Under 2.5 1.72 Model: 62%
Under 3.5 1.21 Model: 82%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.5 Model: 75%
Over 1.5 3.25
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Trival Valderas 2.85 Model: 29%
Draw 2.16 Model: 47%
Galapagar 3.2 Model: 24%

Double Chance

Trival Valderas or Draw 1.33 Model: 69%
Trival Valderas or Galapagar 1.36 Model: 70%
Draw or Galapagar 1.57 Model: 61%

Trival Valderas Goals

Over 0.5 1.25 Model: 69%
Over 1.5 2.35 Model: 32%

Galapagar Goals

Over 0.5 1.45 Model: 62%
Over 1.5 3.1 Model: 26%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II 21:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Chicago Fire II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Inter Miami II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.91
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Trival Valderas vs Galapagar Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Trival Valderas vs Galapagar?

Over 1.5 Goals — Trival Valderas see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Galapagar in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Trival Valderas or Galapagar?

Trival Valderas hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Tercera - Group 7 this season, while Galapagar have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Trival Valderas and Galapagar?

Possibly — Trival Valderas frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Galapagar are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Trival Valderas and Galapagar?

Possibly — Trival Valderas frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Galapagar are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Trival Valderas or Galapagar?

Galapagar have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Trival Valderas's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Trival Valderas and Galapagar?

Trival Valderas have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Galapagar in 60% of away games in Tercera - Group 7. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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