Eliteserien · Norway 🕒 Saturday 11th July, 17:00 BST

Tromsø vs Vålerenga Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Tromsø Home 7W 2D 1L last 10 home
VS
Vålerenga Away 1W 1D 8L last 10 away
Win Probability
Tromsø 57% Draw 23% Vålerenga 20%
⭐ Our Prediction Tromsø to Win See why ↓

Tromsø vs Vålerenga Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Tromsø to Win

High confidence

Tromsø have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Vålerenga have lost 8/10 away (80%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

What the model says
57% Tromsø win 23% Draw 20% Vålerenga win 51% BTTS 51% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Over 1.5 Goals 71% Under 3.5 Goals

Tromsø average 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Vålerenga average 0.9 scored and 2.4 conceded in away fixtures. The home record backs Tromsø strongly. They've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Vålerenga have lost 8/10 on the road (80%).

Tromsø have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games this season (3/10); Vålerenga in 50% away (5/10). Tromsø average 1.6 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Vålerenga 0.9 and 2.4 on the road.

Vålerenga regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Tromsø are lower at home (20%, 2/10). They've conceded in 30% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Tromsø see 8+ in 70% of home games, Vålerenga in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Tromsø and Vålerenga sit in the Eliteserien table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 Tromsø H 13 7 4 2 18:14 +4 25
9 Vålerenga A 11 4 2 5 13:17 -4 14
View the full Eliteserien 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Viking 10 9 0 1 29:10 +19 27
2 Tromsø H 13 7 4 2 18:14 +4 25
3 Bodø / Glimt 11 7 2 2 28:11 +17 23
4 Lillestrøm 11 6 1 4 17:11 +6 19
5 Molde 11 6 1 4 18:13 +5 19
6 HamKam 10 5 2 3 17:16 +1 17
7 Sarpsborg 08 11 4 2 5 13:16 -3 14
8 Sandefjord 11 4 2 5 10:13 -3 14
9 Vålerenga A 11 4 2 5 13:17 -4 14
10 Fredrikstad 11 4 2 5 15:20 -5 14
11 Brann 12 4 1 7 24:20 +4 13
12 KFUM 11 3 3 5 12:17 -5 12
13 Aalesund 11 2 5 4 15:20 -5 11
14 Kristiansund 11 3 2 6 11:18 -7 11
15 Rosenborg 11 2 3 6 9:18 -9 9
16 Start 12 1 4 7 13:28 -15 7

Team Form

Tromsø have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Vålerenga's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Tromsø: last 10 home A Vålerenga: last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Vålerenga regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Tromsø are lower at home (20%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Tromsø: last 10 home A Vålerenga: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 51% · BTTS No 49%

Match Goals

Tromsø have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Vålerenga in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Tromsø: last 10 home A Vålerenga: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Tromsø have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Vålerenga in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Tromsø 1.6 scored · 0.7 conceded per home game Vålerenga 0.9 scored · 2.4 conceded per away game
H Tromsø: last 10 home A Vålerenga: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Season totals: Tromsø 16 scored / 7 conceded at home · Vålerenga 9 scored / 24 conceded away

Match Corners

Vålerenga frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Tromsø are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Tromsø: last 10 home A Vålerenga: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Corners

Tromsø have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Vålerenga have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Tromsø: last 10 home A Vålerenga: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tromsø and Vålerenga. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Feb 2026
Vålerenga
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tromsø
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Oct 2025
Vålerenga
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tromsø
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 May 2025
Tromsø
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Vålerenga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Mar 2025
Vålerenga
1 – 4 HT: 0-1
Tromsø
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
01 May 2024
Vålerenga
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tromsø
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Mar 2024
Vålerenga
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Tromsø
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Dec 2023
Vålerenga
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Tromsø
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Jul 2023
Tromsø
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Vålerenga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Aug 2022
Vålerenga
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tromsø
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 May 2022
Tromsø
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Vålerenga
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tromsø vs Vålerenga across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Tromsø 1.8 Model: 57%
Draw 3.5 Model: 23%
Vålerenga 4 Model: 20%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.7 Model: 51%
No 2.05 Model: 49%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.25 Model: 76%
Over 2.5 1.75 Model: 51%
Over 3.5 2.75 Model: 29%
Under 1.5 3.75 Model: 24%
Under 2.5 2.02 Model: 49%
Under 3.5 1.42 Model: 71%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.33 Model: 82%
Over 1.5 2.62
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Tromsø 2.4 Model: 43%
Draw 2.3 Model: 37%
Vålerenga 4.33 Model: 19%

Double Chance

Tromsø or Draw 1.22 Model: 80%
Tromsø or Vålerenga 1.28 Model: 77%
Draw or Vålerenga 1.95 Model: 43%

Tromsø Goals

Over 0.5 1.16 Model: 82%
Over 1.5 1.8 Model: 52%

Vålerenga Goals

Over 0.5 1.4 Model: 55%
Over 1.5 3 Model: 22%

Tromsø vs Vålerenga Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tromsø vs Vålerenga?

Tromsø to Win: Tromsø have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Vålerenga have lost 8/10 away (80%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Tromsø or Vålerenga?

Tromsø hold a clear form advantage. They've won 70% of home games in Eliteserien this season, while Vålerenga have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Tromsø and Vålerenga?

Mixed. Tromsø have seen BTTS in 20% of home games, Vålerenga in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Eliteserien fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tromsø and Vålerenga?

Uncertain. Tromsø have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Vålerenga in 50% of away games in Eliteserien. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tromsø or Vålerenga?

Tromsø have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Vålerenga's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tromsø and Vålerenga?

Possibly. Vålerenga frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Tromsø are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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