Virsliga · Latvia 🕒 Wednesday 1st July, 16:00 BST

Tukums vs Super Nova Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Tukums Home 3W 4D 3L last 10 home
VS
Super Nova Away 5W 1D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Tukums 35% Draw 26% Super Nova 40%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No See why ↓

Tukums vs Super Nova Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Medium confidence

At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Tukums at 90% BTTS in home games and Super Nova at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

What the model says
35% Tukums win 26% Draw 40% Super Nova win 57% BTTS 53% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
77% Over 1.5 Goals 68% Under 3.5 Goals

Tukums average 2.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Super Nova average 0.9 scored and 1 conceded in away fixtures. Tukums have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Super Nova have won 5/10 on the road (50%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Tukums have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Super Nova are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 0.9 scored and 1 conceded away from home.

Tukums frequently see both teams score at home (90%, 9/10). Super Nova are lower on the road (30%, 3/10). They've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Tukums see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Super Nova in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

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League Table

Where Tukums and Super Nova sit in the Virsliga table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Super Nova A 18 6 3 9 19:25 -6 21
7 Tukums H 18 3 8 7 32:32 0 17
View the full Virsliga 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Rīgas FS 18 15 1 2 42:14 +28 46
2 Riga 18 14 3 1 56:19 +37 45
3 Auda 18 11 2 5 34:23 +11 35
4 Liepāja 18 7 4 7 23:25 -2 25
5 Super Nova A 18 6 3 9 19:25 -6 21
6 FC Daugavpils 18 5 5 8 20:25 -5 20
7 Tukums H 18 3 8 7 32:32 0 17
8 Grobiņa 18 3 7 8 12:29 -17 16
9 FS Jelgava 18 3 7 8 13:33 -20 16
10 Ogre United 18 1 4 13 16:42 -26 7

Team Form

Super Nova have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Tukums have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Tukums: last 10 home A Super Nova: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tukums frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Super Nova are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Tukums: last 10 home A Super Nova: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 57% · BTTS No 43%

Match Goals

Tukums frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Super Nova are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Tukums: last 10 home A Super Nova: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Team Goals

Tukums have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Super Nova in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Tukums 2.1 scored · 1.4 conceded per home game Super Nova 0.9 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H Tukums: last 10 home A Super Nova: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Tukums 21 scored / 14 conceded at home · Super Nova 9 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

Tukums have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Super Nova in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Tukums: last 10 home A Super Nova: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Tukums have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Super Nova have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Tukums: last 10 home A Super Nova: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Tukums vs Super Nova Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tukums vs Super Nova?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No: At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Tukums at 90% BTTS in home games and Super Nova at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Tukums or Super Nova?

Super Nova hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Tukums at home (30% wins) in Virsliga. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Tukums and Super Nova?

Possibly. Tukums frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Super Nova are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tukums and Super Nova?

Possibly. Tukums frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Super Nova are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tukums or Super Nova?

Tukums have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Super Nova's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tukums and Super Nova?

Tukums have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Super Nova in 60% of away games in Virsliga. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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