Primera Division · Peru 🕒 Saturday 9th May, 19:00 BST

UCV Moquegua vs ADT Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

UCV Moquegua Home · 12th 6W 2D 2L last 10 home
VS
ADT Away · 9th 1W 5D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
UCV Moquegua 44% Draw 29% ADT 27%
⭐ Our Prediction No Standout Pick See why ↓

UCV Moquegua vs ADT Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

No Standout Pick

Low confidence

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

What the model says
44% UCV Moquegua win 29% Draw 27% ADT win 48% BTTS 44% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
78% Under 3.5 Goals 69% Over 1.5 Goals

UCV Moquegua sit 12th in the table after 10 games, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. ADT are 9th after 11 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. UCV Moquegua have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a ADT side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

UCV Moquegua have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). ADT are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home.

UCV Moquegua frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). ADT are lower on the road (40%, 4/10). They've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. UCV Moquegua see 9+ corners in 10% of home games, ADT in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where UCV Moquegua (12th) and ADT (9th) sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
10 ADT A 17 5 5 7 22:21 +1 20
14 UCV Moquegua H 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 +22 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 +4 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34:22 +12 33
4 Universitario 17 8 5 4 24:15 +9 29
5 Melgar 17 8 4 5 29:20 +9 28
6 Cusco FC 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 +3 26
8 Alianza Atlético 17 5 6 6 20:18 +2 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
10 ADT A 17 5 5 7 22:21 +1 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
13 UTC Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
14 UCV Moquegua H 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
16 Atlético Grau 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
18 ADC Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16

Team Form

UCV Moquegua hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while ADT have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H UCV Moquegua: last 10 home A ADT: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

UCV Moquegua frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while ADT are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H UCV Moquegua: last 10 home A ADT: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 48% · BTTS No 52%

Match Goals

UCV Moquegua frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while ADT are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H UCV Moquegua: last 10 home A ADT: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

UCV Moquegua have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, ADT in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

UCV Moquegua 1.9 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game ADT 0.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per away game
H UCV Moquegua: last 10 home A ADT: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: UCV Moquegua 19 scored / 13 conceded at home · ADT 8 scored / 12 conceded away

Match Corners

UCV Moquegua have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 10% of home games, ADT in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H UCV Moquegua: last 10 home A ADT: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

UCV Moquegua have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

ADT have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H UCV Moquegua: last 10 home A ADT: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for UCV Moquegua vs ADT across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

UCV Moquegua 2.34 Model: 44%
Draw 3.2 Model: 29%
ADT 3.15 Model: 27%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.05 Model: 48%
Value No 2.08 Model: 52%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.34 Model: 69%
Over 2.5 2.07 Model: 44%
Over 3.5 3.55 Model: 22%
Under 1.5 3.3 Model: 31%
Under 2.5 1.82 Model: 56%
Under 3.5 1.29 Model: 78%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 76%
Over 1.5 3.25

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.34 Model: 45%
Over 9.5 1.83 Model: 33%
Over 10.5 2.76 Model: 23%
Over 11.5 2.92 Model: 15%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

UCV Moquegua 2.88 Model: 33%
Draw 2.08 Model: 47%
ADT 3.63 Model: 21%

Double Chance

UCV Moquegua or Draw 1.33 Model: 73%
UCV Moquegua or ADT 1.34 Model: 71%
Draw or ADT 1.54 Model: 56%

UCV Moquegua Goals

Over 0.5 1.3 Model: 74%
Over 1.5 2.5 Model: 39%

ADT Goals

Over 0.5 1.39 Model: 62%
Over 1.5 3 Model: 27%

UCV Moquegua vs ADT Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs ADT?

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, UCV Moquegua or ADT?

UCV Moquegua hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Primera Division this season, while ADT have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between UCV Moquegua and ADT?

Possibly. UCV Moquegua frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while ADT are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between UCV Moquegua and ADT?

Possibly. UCV Moquegua frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while ADT are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: UCV Moquegua or ADT?

UCV Moquegua have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to ADT's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between UCV Moquegua and ADT?

UCV Moquegua have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 10% of home games, ADT in 40% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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