Eerste Divisie ยท Netherlands ๐Ÿ•’ Friday 3rd October, 19:00 BST

Willem II vs Roda JC Kerkrade Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Willem II Home ยท 4th 5W 2D 3L last 10 home
VS
Roda JC Kerkrade Away ยท 5th 5W 4D 1L last 10 away
Win Probability
Willem II 46% Draw 24% Roda JC Kerkrade 30%
โญ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why โ†“

Willem II vs Roda JC Kerkrade Prediction

โญ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Willem II see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Roda JC Kerkrade in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
46% Willem II win 24% Draw 30% Roda JC Kerkrade win 61% BTTS 59% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
81% Over 1.5 Goals

Willem II sit 4th in the table after 6 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Roda JC Kerkrade are 5th after 5 games, averaging 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. The form figures are level. Willem II have won 50% of home games, Roda JC Kerkrade 50% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Roda JC Kerkrade have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Willem II are lower at home (40%, 4/10), averaging 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Roda JC Kerkrade regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (80%, 8/10). Willem II are lower at home (40%, 4/10). They've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

High corner counts are a feature of both teams' games this season. Willem II have seen 10+ corners in 70% of home fixtures (7/10), Roda JC Kerkrade in 70% away (7/10). Over 9.5 Corners looks well supported.

Todayโ€™s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for todayโ€™s games.

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League Table

Where Willem II (4th) and Roda JC Kerkrade (5th) sit in the Eerste Divisie table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Willem II H 38 20 8 10 59:42 +17 68
9 Roda JC Kerkrade A 38 14 13 11 59:54 +5 55
View the full Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 ADO Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 +53 89
2 SC Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 +27 78
3 Willem II H 38 20 8 10 59:42 +17 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 +16 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 +15 58
6 RKC Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 +12 58
7 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 +9 56
8 Jong PSV 38 17 5 16 66:64 +2 56
9 Roda JC Kerkrade A 38 14 13 11 59:54 +5 55
10 FC Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 -4 51
11 FC Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 -8 47
12 FC Eindhoven 38 14 5 19 51:69 -18 47
13 Jong FC Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 -4 46
14 VVV-Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 -8 45
15 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 -14 45
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 -10 44
17 Jong AZ 38 12 4 22 61:76 -15 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 -20 39
19 MVV Maastricht 38 9 11 18 41:73 -32 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 -23 35

Team Form

Willem II (50% home wins) and Roda JC Kerkrade (50% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Willem II: last 10 home A Roda JC Kerkrade: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Roda JC Kerkrade regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while Willem II are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Willem II: last 10 home A Roda JC Kerkrade: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 61% ยท BTTS No 39%

Match Goals

Roda JC Kerkrade regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Willem II are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Willem II: last 10 home A Roda JC Kerkrade: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Willem II have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Roda JC Kerkrade in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Willem II 1.4 scored ยท 0.8 conceded per home game Roda JC Kerkrade 1.9 scored ยท 1.2 conceded per away game
H Willem II: last 10 home A Roda JC Kerkrade: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Willem II 14 scored / 8 conceded at home ยท Roda JC Kerkrade 19 scored / 12 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Willem II (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Roda JC Kerkrade (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Willem II: last 10 home A Roda JC Kerkrade: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 โ€“ 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Willem II have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Roda JC Kerkrade have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Willem II: last 10 home A Roda JC Kerkrade: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Willem II and Roda JC Kerkrade. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23rd Feb, 2024
Willem II
2 โ€“ 3 HT: 2-1
Roda JC Kerkrade
Corners 7โ€“3 Cards 1โ€“1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Oct, 2023
Roda JC Kerkrade
0 โ€“ 1 HT: 0-1
Willem II
Corners 10โ€“5 Cards 1โ€“4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th May, 2023
Roda JC Kerkrade
2 โ€“ 2 HT: 1-1
Willem II
Corners 3โ€“8 Cards 2โ€“1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Jan, 2023
Willem II
1 โ€“ 0 HT: 1-0
Roda JC Kerkrade
Corners 8โ€“0 Cards 0โ€“2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
25th Feb, 2018
Willem II
1 โ€“ 0 HT: 1-0
Roda JC Kerkrade
Corners 3โ€“2 Cards 1โ€“1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Feb, 2018
Willem II
2 โ€“ 2 HT: 1-1
Roda JC Kerkrade
Corners 8โ€“3 Cards 3โ€“3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Sep, 2017
Roda JC Kerkrade
1 โ€“ 3 HT: 1-3
Willem II
Corners 5โ€“3 Cards 2โ€“2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th May, 2017
Roda JC Kerkrade
1 โ€“ 0 HT: 0-0
Willem II
Corners 3โ€“6 Cards 0โ€“0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Aug, 2016
Willem II
0 โ€“ 0 HT: 0-0
Roda JC Kerkrade
Corners 6โ€“8 Cards 1โ€“2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th May, 2016
Roda JC Kerkrade
2 โ€“ 3 HT: 2-1
Willem II
Corners โ€“ Cards 0โ€“0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Willem II vs Roda JC Kerkrade across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Willem II 2.1 Model: 46%
Draw 3.95 Model: 24%
Value Roda JC Kerkrade 3.55 Model: 30%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.63 Model: 61%
No 2.41 Model: 39%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2 Model: 81%
Over 2.5 1.69 Model: 59%
Over 3.5 2.8 Model: 37%
Under 1.5 4.64 Model: 19%
Under 2.5 2.28 Model: 41%
Under 3.5 1.54 Model: 63%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.46

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.29 Model: 68%
Over 9.5 1.53 Model: 57%
Over 10.5 2.15 Model: 46%
Over 11.5 2.31 Model: 35%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Willem II 2.72 Model: 36%
Draw 2.45 Model: 37%
Roda JC Kerkrade 3.71 Model: 26%

Double Chance

Willem II or Draw 1.37 Model: 70%
Willem II or Roda JC Kerkrade 1.29 Model: 76%
Draw or Roda JC Kerkrade 1.75 Model: 54%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 1.18 Model: 78%
Over 1.5 1.92 Model: 49%
Over 2.5 4.1

Roda JC Kerkrade Goals

Over 0.5 1.3 Model: 67%
Over 1.5 2.5 Model: 36%
Over 2.5 5.55

Willem II vs Roda JC Kerkrade Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Willem II vs Roda JC Kerkrade?

Over 8.5 Corners: Willem II see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Roda JC Kerkrade in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Willem II or Roda JC Kerkrade?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. Willem II have won 50% of home games, Roda JC Kerkrade 50% away in Eerste Divisie. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Willem II and Roda JC Kerkrade?

Possibly. Roda JC Kerkrade regularly see both teams score away (80%), while Willem II are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Willem II and Roda JC Kerkrade?

Possibly. Roda JC Kerkrade regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Willem II are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Willem II or Roda JC Kerkrade?

Roda JC Kerkrade have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Willem II's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Willem II and Roda JC Kerkrade?

Yes. Both Willem II (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Roda JC Kerkrade (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Eerste Divisie. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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