Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Wednesday 1st July, 01:00 BST

Independiente del Valle vs Manta Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Independiente del Valle Home 7W 1D 2L last 10 home

Manta Away 2W 3D 5L last 10 away

Win Probability

Independiente del Valle 77% Draw 16% Manta 7%

⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Independiente del Valle vs Manta Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Independiente del Valle see 9+ corners in 100% of home games, Manta in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says

77% Independiente del Valle win 16% Draw 7% Manta win 38% BTTS 52% Over 2.5 Goals 2-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

76% Over 1.5 Goals 71% Under 3.5 Goals

Independiente del Valle average 2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Manta average 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded in away fixtures. Independiente del Valle have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Manta side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Independiente del Valle have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Manta in 30% away (3/10). Independiente del Valle average 2 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, Manta 0.7 and 1.3 on the road.

Independiente del Valle frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Manta are lower on the road (40%, 4/10). They've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

High corner counts are a feature of both teams' games this season. Independiente del Valle have seen 10+ corners in 80% of home fixtures (8/10), Manta in 70% away (7/10). Over 9.5 Corners looks well supported.

League Table

Where Independiente del Valle and Manta sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle H	16	12	1	3	32:18	+14	37
16	Manta A	16	3	3	10	7:19	-12	12

View the full Liga Pro 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle H	16	12	1	3	32:18	+14	37
2	Deportivo Cuenca	16	8	3	5	18:17	+1	27
3	Universidad Católica	16	7	5	4	26:14	+12	26
4	Barcelona Guayaquil	16	7	5	4	18:13	+5	26
5	Aucas	16	7	5	4	19:16	+3	26
6	LDU Quito	15	7	3	5	16:13	+3	24
7	Orense	15	6	4	5	21:19	+2	22
8	Emelec	16	6	4	6	13:16	-3	22
9	Técnico Universitario	16	6	2	8	17:16	+1	20
10	Macará	16	5	5	6	15:18	-3	20
11	Guayaquil City	16	5	4	7	14:19	-5	19
12	Mushuc Runa	16	4	6	6	19:21	-2	18
13	Leones del Norte	16	4	5	7	15:18	-3	17
14	Libertad	16	4	5	7	16:22	-6	17
15	Delfin	16	4	4	8	8:15	-7	16
16	Manta A	16	3	3	10	7:19	-12	12

Team Form

Independiente del Valle have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Manta's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Independiente del Valle: last 10 home A Manta: last 10 away

Won

7/10 (70%)

2/10 (20%)

Drawn

1/10 (10%)

3/10 (30%)

Lost

2/10 (20%)

5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Independiente del Valle frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Manta are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Independiente del Valle: last 10 home A Manta: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

6/10 (60%)

4/10 (40%)

Scored Themselves

9/10 (90%)

5/10 (50%)

Conceded

7/10 (70%)

8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 38% · BTTS No 62%

Match Goals

Independiente del Valle have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Manta in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Independiente del Valle: last 10 home A Manta: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

8/10 (80%)

5/10 (50%)

Over 2.5 Goals

6/10 (60%)

3/10 (30%)

Over 3.5 Goals

5/10 (50%)

2/10 (20%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

10/10 (100%)

9/10 (90%)

Under 0.5 Goals

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Under 1.5 Goals

2/10 (20%)

5/10 (50%)

Under 2.5 Goals

4/10 (40%)

7/10 (70%)

Under 3.5 Goals

5/10 (50%)

8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Independiente del Valle have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Manta in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Independiente del Valle 2 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Manta 0.7 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game

H Independiente del Valle: last 10 home A Manta: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

7/10 (70%)

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

3/10 (30%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

9/10 (90%)

5/10 (50%)

Over 1.5 Scored

7/10 (70%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 2.5 Scored

3/10 (30%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Scored

1/10 (10%)

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

7/10 (70%)

8/10 (80%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

3/10 (30%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

1/10 (10%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Independiente del Valle 20 scored / 11 conceded at home · Manta 7 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Independiente del Valle (100% Over 8.5 at home) and Manta (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Independiente del Valle: last 10 home A Manta: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

10/10 (100%)

7/10 (70%)

Over 9.5 Corners

8/10 (80%)

7/10 (70%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

10/10 (100%)

8/10 (80%)

Over 10.5 Corners

6/10 (60%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 11.5 Corners

5/10 (50%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 12.5 Corners

2/10 (20%)

1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Independiente del Valle win 6+ corners in 70% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Manta have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Independiente del Valle: last 10 home A Manta: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

8/10 (80%)

2/10 (20%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

1/10 (10%)

6/10 (60%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

10/10 (100%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

8/10 (80%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

7/10 (70%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

5/10 (50%)

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

4/10 (40%)

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

2/10 (20%)

7/10 (70%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

1/10 (10%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

1/10 (10%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

0/10 (0%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Independiente del Valle vs Manta across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Independiente del Valle 1.19 Model: 77%

Draw 6.28 Model: 16%

Manta 13.7 Model: 7%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.2 Model: 38%

No 1.61 Model: 62%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.16 Model: 76%

Over 2.5 1.57 Model: 52%

Over 3.5 2.37 Model: 29%

Value Under 1.5 5 Model: 24%

Value Under 2.5 2.35 Model: 48%

Value Under 3.5 1.53 Model: 71%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.28 Model: 81%

Over 1.5 2.25

More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Independiente del Valle 1.61 Model: 57%

Draw 2.75 Model: 34%

Manta 11 Model: 9%

Double Chance

Independiente del Valle or Draw 1.04 Model: 93%

Independiente del Valle or Manta 1.14 Model: 84%

Draw or Manta 4.33 Model: 23%

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 1.06 Model: 90%

Over 1.5 1.33 Model: 65%

Manta Goals

Over 0.5 2 Model: 35%

Over 1.5 7 Model: 8%

Independiente del Valle vs Manta Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Manta?

Over 8.5 Corners: Independiente del Valle see 9+ corners in 100% of home games, Manta in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Independiente del Valle or Manta?

Independiente del Valle hold a clear form advantage. They've won 70% of home games in Liga Pro this season, while Manta have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Independiente del Valle and Manta?

Mixed. Independiente del Valle have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Manta in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Independiente del Valle and Manta?

Uncertain. Independiente del Valle have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Manta in 30% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Independiente del Valle or Manta?

Independiente del Valle have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Manta's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Independiente del Valle and Manta?

Yes. Both Independiente del Valle (100% Over 8.5 at home) and Manta (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga Pro. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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