Primera Division · Peru 🕒 Saturday 18th July, 21:30 BST

Atlético Grau vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Atlético Grau Home 4W 2D 4L last 10 home
VS
UTC Cajamarca Away 2W 3D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Atlético Grau 54% Draw 26% UTC Cajamarca 19%
⭐ Our Prediction No Standout Pick See why ↓

Atlético Grau vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

No Standout Pick

Low confidence

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

What the model says
54% Atlético Grau win 26% Draw 19% UTC Cajamarca win 48% BTTS 46% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Under 3.5 Goals 72% Over 1.5 Goals

Atlético Grau average 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. UTC Cajamarca average 1.4 scored and 2 conceded in away fixtures. Atlético Grau have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; UTC Cajamarca have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

UTC Cajamarca have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Atlético Grau are lower at home (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

UTC Cajamarca regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Atlético Grau are lower at home (50%, 5/10). They've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

UTC Cajamarca are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Atlético Grau are lower at home (20%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

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League Table

Where Atlético Grau and UTC Cajamarca sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
13 UTC Cajamarca A 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
16 Atlético Grau H 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 +22 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 +4 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34:22 +12 33
4 Universitario 17 8 5 4 24:15 +9 29
5 Melgar 17 8 4 5 29:20 +9 28
6 Cusco FC 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 +3 26
8 Alianza Atlético 17 5 6 6 20:18 +2 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
10 ADT 17 5 5 7 22:21 +1 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
13 UTC Cajamarca A 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
14 UCV Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
16 Atlético Grau H 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
18 ADC Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16

Team Form

UTC Cajamarca have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Atlético Grau have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Atlético Grau: last 10 home A UTC Cajamarca: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

UTC Cajamarca regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Atlético Grau are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Atlético Grau: last 10 home A UTC Cajamarca: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 48% · BTTS No 52%

Match Goals

UTC Cajamarca regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Atlético Grau are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Atlético Grau: last 10 home A UTC Cajamarca: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Team Goals

Atlético Grau have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, UTC Cajamarca in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Atlético Grau 1.2 scored · 1 conceded per home game UTC Cajamarca 1.4 scored · 2 conceded per away game
H Atlético Grau: last 10 home A UTC Cajamarca: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Atlético Grau 12 scored / 10 conceded at home · UTC Cajamarca 14 scored / 20 conceded away

Match Corners

UTC Cajamarca frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Atlético Grau are lower at home (20%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Atlético Grau: last 10 home A UTC Cajamarca: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Atlético Grau have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

UTC Cajamarca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Atlético Grau: last 10 home A UTC Cajamarca: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlético Grau vs UTC Cajamarca across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Atlético Grau 1.72 Model: 54%
Draw 3.4 Model: 26%
UTC Cajamarca 4.75 Model: 19%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2 Model: 48%
No 1.72 Model: 52%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.38 Model: 72%
Over 2.5 2.1 Model: 46%
Over 3.5 3.6 Model: 24%
Under 1.5 2.82 Model: 28%
Under 2.5 1.65 Model: 54%
Under 3.5 1.24 Model: 76%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 78%
Over 1.5 3.25
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Atlético Grau 2.4 Model: 40%
Draw 2.1 Model: 44%
UTC Cajamarca 5.5 Model: 16%

Double Chance

Atlético Grau or Draw 1.18 Model: 81%
Atlético Grau or UTC Cajamarca 1.3 Model: 74%
Draw or UTC Cajamarca 2.05 Model: 46%

Atlético Grau Goals

Over 0.5 1.2 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 2 Model: 48%

UTC Cajamarca Goals

Over 0.5 1.66 Model: 54%
Over 1.5 4.33 Model: 21%

Atlético Grau vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlético Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Atlético Grau or UTC Cajamarca?

Atlético Grau have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over UTC Cajamarca on the road (20% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlético Grau and UTC Cajamarca?

Possibly. UTC Cajamarca regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Atlético Grau are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Grau and UTC Cajamarca?

Possibly. UTC Cajamarca regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Atlético Grau are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlético Grau or UTC Cajamarca?

Atlético Grau have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to UTC Cajamarca's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlético Grau and UTC Cajamarca?

Possibly. UTC Cajamarca frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Atlético Grau are lower at home (20%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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