Primera Division · Peru 🕒 Saturday 18th July, 17:00 BST

UCV Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

UCV Moquegua Home 6W 2D 2L last 10 home
VS
Comerciantes Unidos Away 2W 2D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
UCV Moquegua 48% Draw 28% Comerciantes Unidos 24%
⭐ Our Prediction UCV Moquegua Over 1.5 Team Goals See why ↓

UCV Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

UCV Moquegua Over 1.5 Team Goals

Medium confidence

UCV Moquegua have scored 2+ goals in 70% of home games, while Comerciantes Unidos have conceded 2+ in 60% of away games. A strong case for the home side to score freely.

What the model says
48% UCV Moquegua win 28% Draw 24% Comerciantes Unidos win 48% BTTS 46% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Under 3.5 Goals 70% Over 1.5 Goals

UCV Moquegua average 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Comerciantes Unidos average 1 scored and 1.7 conceded in away fixtures. UCV Moquegua have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Comerciantes Unidos side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

UCV Moquegua have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). Comerciantes Unidos are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 1 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home.

UCV Moquegua frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Comerciantes Unidos are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. UCV Moquegua see 9+ corners in 10% of home games, Comerciantes Unidos in 60% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

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League Table

Where UCV Moquegua and Comerciantes Unidos sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
9 Comerciantes Unidos A 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
14 UCV Moquegua H 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 +22 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 +4 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34:22 +12 33
4 Universitario 17 8 5 4 24:15 +9 29
5 Melgar 17 8 4 5 29:20 +9 28
6 Cusco FC 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 +3 26
8 Alianza Atlético 17 5 6 6 20:18 +2 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos A 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
10 ADT 17 5 5 7 22:21 +1 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
13 UTC Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
14 UCV Moquegua H 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
16 Atlético Grau 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
18 ADC Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16

Team Form

UCV Moquegua hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Comerciantes Unidos have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H UCV Moquegua: last 10 home A Comerciantes Unidos: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

UCV Moquegua frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Comerciantes Unidos are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H UCV Moquegua: last 10 home A Comerciantes Unidos: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 48% · BTTS No 52%

Match Goals

UCV Moquegua frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Comerciantes Unidos are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H UCV Moquegua: last 10 home A Comerciantes Unidos: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

UCV Moquegua have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Comerciantes Unidos in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

UCV Moquegua 1.9 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game Comerciantes Unidos 1 scored · 1.7 conceded per away game
H UCV Moquegua: last 10 home A Comerciantes Unidos: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: UCV Moquegua 19 scored / 13 conceded at home · Comerciantes Unidos 10 scored / 17 conceded away

Match Corners

Comerciantes Unidos frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while UCV Moquegua are lower at home (10%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H UCV Moquegua: last 10 home A Comerciantes Unidos: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

UCV Moquegua have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Comerciantes Unidos have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H UCV Moquegua: last 10 home A Comerciantes Unidos: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for UCV Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

UCV Moquegua 1.8 Model: 48%
Draw 3.3 Model: 28%
Comerciantes Unidos 4.33 Model: 24%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.1 Model: 48%
No 1.67 Model: 52%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4 Model: 70%
Over 2.5 2.18 Model: 46%
Over 3.5 3.8 Model: 24%
Under 1.5 2.7 Model: 30%
Under 2.5 1.6 Model: 54%
Under 3.5 1.22 Model: 76%

UCV Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Comerciantes Unidos?

UCV Moquegua Over 1.5 Team Goals: UCV Moquegua have scored 2+ goals in 70% of home games, while Comerciantes Unidos have conceded 2+ in 60% of away games. A strong case for the home side to score freely.

Which team is likely to win, UCV Moquegua or Comerciantes Unidos?

UCV Moquegua hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Primera Division this season, while Comerciantes Unidos have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between UCV Moquegua and Comerciantes Unidos?

Possibly. UCV Moquegua frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Comerciantes Unidos are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between UCV Moquegua and Comerciantes Unidos?

Possibly. UCV Moquegua frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Comerciantes Unidos are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: UCV Moquegua or Comerciantes Unidos?

UCV Moquegua have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Comerciantes Unidos's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between UCV Moquegua and Comerciantes Unidos?

Possibly. Comerciantes Unidos frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while UCV Moquegua are lower at home (10%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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