Primera Division · Peru 🕒 Saturday 18th July, 02:00 BST

Cienciano vs Melgar Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Cienciano Home 8W 1D 1L last 10 home
VS
Melgar Away 2W 4D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Cienciano 46% Draw 27% Melgar 27%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Cienciano vs Melgar Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Cienciano see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Melgar in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
46% Cienciano win 27% Draw 27% Melgar win 53% BTTS 49% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
73% Under 3.5 Goals

Cienciano average 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Melgar average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded in away fixtures. Cienciano have the stronger home record this season (8/10, 80%) against a Melgar side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Cienciano have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Melgar in 50% away (5/10). Cienciano average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Melgar 1.3 and 1.6 on the road.

Melgar regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (90%, 9/10). Cienciano are lower at home (50%, 5/10). They've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Cienciano see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Melgar in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Cienciano and Melgar sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Cienciano H 17 10 3 4 34:22 +12 33
5 Melgar A 17 8 4 5 29:20 +9 28
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 +22 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 +4 34
3 Cienciano H 17 10 3 4 34:22 +12 33
4 Universitario 17 8 5 4 24:15 +9 29
5 Melgar A 17 8 4 5 29:20 +9 28
6 Cusco FC 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 +3 26
8 Alianza Atlético 17 5 6 6 20:18 +2 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
10 ADT 17 5 5 7 22:21 +1 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
13 UTC Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
14 UCV Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
16 Atlético Grau 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
18 ADC Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16

Team Form

Cienciano have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to Melgar's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Cienciano: last 10 home A Melgar: last 10 away
Won
H
8/10 (80%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Melgar regularly see both teams score in away matches (90%), while Cienciano are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Cienciano: last 10 home A Melgar: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 53% · BTTS No 47%

Match Goals

Cienciano have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Melgar in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Cienciano: last 10 home A Melgar: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Cienciano have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Melgar in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Cienciano 1.8 scored · 0.8 conceded per home game Melgar 1.3 scored · 1.6 conceded per away game
H Cienciano: last 10 home A Melgar: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Cienciano 18 scored / 8 conceded at home · Melgar 13 scored / 16 conceded away

Match Corners

Cienciano have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Melgar in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Cienciano: last 10 home A Melgar: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Cienciano have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Melgar have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Cienciano: last 10 home A Melgar: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Cienciano vs Melgar across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Cienciano 2.1 Model: 46%
Draw 3.3 Model: 27%
Melgar 3.2 Model: 27%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.61 Model: 53%
No 2.2 Model: 47%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.24 Model: 74%
Over 2.5 1.72 Model: 49%
Over 3.5 2.72 Model: 27%
Under 1.5 3.6 Model: 26%
Under 2.5 2 Model: 51%
Under 3.5 1.4 Model: 73%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.33 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 2.62
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Cienciano 2.75 Model: 33%
Draw 2.3 Model: 44%
Melgar 3.6 Model: 24%

Double Chance

Cienciano or Draw 1.36 Model: 73%
Cienciano or Melgar 1.33 Model: 73%
Draw or Melgar 1.7 Model: 53%

Cienciano Goals

Over 0.5 1.2 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 1.9 Model: 44%

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5 1.33 Model: 63%
Over 1.5 2.62 Model: 28%

Cienciano vs Melgar Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cienciano vs Melgar?

Over 1.5 Goals: Cienciano see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Melgar in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Cienciano or Melgar?

Cienciano hold a clear form advantage. They've won 80% of home games in Primera Division this season, while Melgar have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Cienciano and Melgar?

Possibly. Melgar regularly see both teams score away (90%), while Cienciano are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cienciano and Melgar?

Uncertain. Cienciano have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Melgar in 50% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cienciano or Melgar?

Cienciano have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Melgar's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cienciano and Melgar?

Cienciano have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Melgar in 50% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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