First League · Bulgaria 🕒 Saturday 18th July, 19:15 BST

Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Ludogorets Home 4W 4D 2L last 10 home
VS
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Away 3W 4D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Ludogorets 70% Draw 19% Lokomotiv Plovdiv 11%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Ludogorets have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Lokomotiv Plovdiv in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
70% Ludogorets win 19% Draw 11% Lokomotiv Plovdiv win 46% BTTS 53% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Over 1.5 Goals 71% Under 3.5 Goals

Ludogorets average 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Lokomotiv Plovdiv average 1 scored and 1 conceded in away fixtures. Ludogorets have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Ludogorets have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Lokomotiv Plovdiv in 30% away. Ludogorets average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 and 1 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Ludogorets have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Lokomotiv Plovdiv in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Ludogorets see 8+ in 60% of home games, Lokomotiv Plovdiv in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Ludogorets and Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit in the First League table for the 2026/2027 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Ludogorets H 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv A 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
View the full First League 2026/2027 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Septemvri Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
2 Arda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
3 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
4 Levski Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
5 Ludogorets H 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv A 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
7 Botev Vratsa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
8 CSKA Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
9 Botev Plovdiv 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
10 Dunav 2010 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
11 Slavia Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
12 CSKA 1948 Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
13 Cherno More 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
14 Spartak Varna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0

Team Form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Ludogorets have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Ludogorets: last 10 home A Lokomotiv Plovdiv: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Ludogorets (40% BTTS at home) and Lokomotiv Plovdiv (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Ludogorets: last 10 home A Lokomotiv Plovdiv: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 46% · BTTS No 54%

Match Goals

Ludogorets have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Lokomotiv Plovdiv in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Ludogorets: last 10 home A Lokomotiv Plovdiv: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Ludogorets have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Lokomotiv Plovdiv in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Ludogorets 1.2 scored · 0.6 conceded per home game Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H Ludogorets: last 10 home A Lokomotiv Plovdiv: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Ludogorets 12 scored / 6 conceded at home · Lokomotiv Plovdiv 10 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Ludogorets (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Lokomotiv Plovdiv (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Ludogorets: last 10 home A Lokomotiv Plovdiv: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Ludogorets have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Ludogorets: last 10 home A Lokomotiv Plovdiv: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Ludogorets and Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

29 May 2026
Ludogorets
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Mar 2026
Ludogorets
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Sep 2025
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Ludogorets
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Mar 2025
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Ludogorets
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
06 Oct 2024
Ludogorets
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 May 2024
Ludogorets
3 – 0 HT: 3-0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Mar 2024
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Ludogorets
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Dec 2023
Ludogorets
4 – 0 HT: 1-0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Sep 2023
Ludogorets
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Jun 2023
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Ludogorets
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Ludogorets 1.48 Model: 70%
Draw 4.1 Model: 19%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 5.5 Model: 11%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2 Model: 46%
No 1.73 Model: 54%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27 Model: 76%
Over 2.5 1.83 Model: 53%
Over 3.5 2.95 Model: 29%
Under 1.5 3.55 Model: 24%
Under 2.5 1.98 Model: 47%
Under 3.5 1.37 Model: 71%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.36 Model: 81%
Over 1.5 2.62
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Ludogorets 2 Model: 52%
Draw 2.37 Model: 36%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 6.5 Model: 12%

Double Chance

Ludogorets or Draw 1.12 Model: 89%
Ludogorets or Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.2 Model: 81%
Draw or Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2.5 Model: 30%

Ludogorets Goals

Over 0.5 1.12 Model: 87%
Over 1.5 1.61 Model: 61%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Goals

Over 0.5 1.72 Model: 43%
Over 1.5 4.5 Model: 13%

Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Under 2.5 Goals: Ludogorets have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Lokomotiv Plovdiv in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Ludogorets or Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Ludogorets have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Lokomotiv Plovdiv on the road (30% wins) in First League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Ludogorets and Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Unlikely. Ludogorets (40% BTTS at home) and Lokomotiv Plovdiv (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in First League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Ludogorets and Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Uncertain. Ludogorets have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Lokomotiv Plovdiv in 30% of away games in First League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Ludogorets or Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Ludogorets have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Ludogorets and Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Ludogorets have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Lokomotiv Plovdiv in 60% of away games in First League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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