1. SNL · Slovenia 🕒 Saturday 23rd May, 01:00 BST

Maribor vs Aluminij Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Maribor Home · 5th 6W 3D 1L last 10 home
VS
Aluminij Away · 7th 4W 0D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Maribor 67% Draw 19% Aluminij 14%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Maribor vs Aluminij Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Maribor see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, Aluminij in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
67% Maribor win 19% Draw 14% Aluminij win 51% BTTS 59% Over 2.5 Goals 2-0 most likely score

Maribor sit 5th in the table after 30 games, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Aluminij are 7th after 31 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded on the road. Maribor have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Aluminij side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Maribor have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Aluminij in 60% away (6/10). Maribor average 2.4 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Aluminij 1.1 and 1.5 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Maribor have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Aluminij in 20% away (2/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Maribor see 8+ in 70% of home games, Aluminij in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where Maribor (5th) and Aluminij (7th) sit in the 1. SNL table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
4 Maribor H 33 15 8 10 57:40 +17 53
7 Aluminij A 34 10 6 18 42:61 -19 36
View the full 1. SNL 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Celje 34 23 5 6 85:32 +53 74
2 Koper 34 20 7 7 71:43 +28 67
3 Bravo 34 19 5 10 62:51 +11 62
4 Maribor H 33 15 8 10 57:40 +17 53
5 Olimpija 33 15 7 11 47:40 +7 52
6 Radomlje 34 13 6 15 50:63 -13 45
7 Aluminij A 34 10 6 18 42:61 -19 36
8 Mura 34 8 7 19 35:55 -20 31
9 Primorje 34 6 4 24 31:74 -43 22
10 Domžale 18 3 3 12 17:38 -21 12

Team Form

Maribor hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Aluminij have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Maribor: last 10 home A Aluminij: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Maribor (40% BTTS at home) and Aluminij (20% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Maribor: last 10 home A Aluminij: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 51% · BTTS No 49%

Match Goals

Maribor have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Aluminij in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Maribor: last 10 home A Aluminij: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Maribor have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Aluminij in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Maribor 2.4 scored · 0.9 conceded per home game Aluminij 1.1 scored · 1.5 conceded per away game
H Maribor: last 10 home A Aluminij: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Maribor 24 scored / 9 conceded at home · Aluminij 11 scored / 15 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Maribor (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Aluminij (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Maribor: last 10 home A Aluminij: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Maribor have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Aluminij have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Maribor: last 10 home A Aluminij: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Maribor and Aluminij. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20 Mar 2026
Aluminij
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Maribor
06 Dec 2025
Maribor
2 – 3 HT: 2-0
Aluminij
19 Sep 2025
Aluminij
2 – 3 HT: 1-2
Maribor
04 Mar 2025
Maribor
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Aluminij
Show 6 more meetings
05 Apr 2024
Aluminij
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Maribor
11 Feb 2024
Maribor
7 – 0 HT: 4-0
Aluminij
14 Oct 2023
Aluminij
1 – 5 HT: 0-0
Maribor
01 Oct 2023
Aluminij
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Maribor
30 Jul 2023
Maribor
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Aluminij
14 May 2022
Maribor
3 – 1 HT: 0-1
Aluminij

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Maribor vs Aluminij across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Maribor 1.75 Model: 67%
Draw 4.1 Model: 19%
Aluminij 3.7 Model: 14%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.51 Model: 51%
Value No 2.82 Model: 49%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.18 Model: 80%
Over 2.5 1.57 Model: 59%
Over 3.5 2.4 Model: 36%
Value Under 1.5 5.9 Model: 20%
Value Under 2.5 2.58 Model: 41%
Value Under 3.5 1.63 Model: 64%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.21 Model: 83%
Over 1.5 2.21

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.18 Model: 57%
Over 9.5 1.52 Model: 46%
Over 10.5 1.94 Model: 35%
Over 11.5 2.17 Model: 26%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Maribor 2.51 Model: 52%
Draw 2.45 Model: 35%
Aluminij 3.67 Model: 14%

Double Chance

Value Maribor or Draw 1.27 Model: 86%
Maribor or Aluminij 1.21 Model: 81%
Draw or Aluminij 1.75 Model: 33%

Maribor Goals

Over 0.5 1.11 Model: 88%
Value Over 1.5 1.74 Model: 63%

Aluminij Goals

Over 0.5 1.23 Model: 48%
Over 1.5 2.25 Model: 18%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • GIF Sundsvall vs Öster 18:00 BST | Superettan, Sweden GIF Sundsvall have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Öster have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    90% combined
  • Ranheim II vs Kvik Trondheim 18:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 2, Norway Ranheim II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Kvik Trondheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Staal Jørpeland vs Odd II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 4, Norway Staal Jørpeland have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Odd II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    80% combined
  • Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Herrestads have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    80% combined

Maribor vs Aluminij Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Maribor vs Aluminij?

Over 1.5 Goals: Maribor see 2+ goals in 100% of home games, Aluminij in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Maribor or Aluminij?

Maribor hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in 1. SNL this season, while Aluminij have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Maribor and Aluminij?

Unlikely. Maribor (40% BTTS at home) and Aluminij (20% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in 1. SNL. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Maribor and Aluminij?

Uncertain. Maribor have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Aluminij in 60% of away games in 1. SNL. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Maribor or Aluminij?

Maribor have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Aluminij's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Maribor and Aluminij?

Maribor have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Aluminij in 40% of away games in 1. SNL. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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