First League · Bulgaria 🕒 Saturday 18th July, 17:00 BST

Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Septemvri Sofia Home 3W 4D 3L last 10 home
VS
Arda Away 4W 3D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Septemvri Sofia 33% Draw 30% Arda 36%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Septemvri Sofia have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Arda in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
33% Septemvri Sofia win 30% Draw 36% Arda win 46% BTTS 39% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look

Septemvri Sofia average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Arda average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded in away fixtures. Septemvri Sofia have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Arda have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Septemvri Sofia have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Arda in 40% away. Septemvri Sofia average 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, Arda 1.3 and 1.1 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Septemvri Sofia at 40% in home games (4/10), Arda at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Septemvri Sofia see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Arda in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where Septemvri Sofia and Arda sit in the First League table for the 2026/2027 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Septemvri Sofia H 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
2 Arda A 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
View the full First League 2026/2027 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Septemvri Sofia H 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
2 Arda A 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
3 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
4 Levski Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
5 Ludogorets 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
7 Botev Vratsa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
8 CSKA Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
9 Botev Plovdiv 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
10 Dunav 2010 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
11 Slavia Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
12 CSKA 1948 Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
13 Cherno More 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
14 Spartak Varna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0

Team Form

Septemvri Sofia have won 30% of home games this season, Arda 40% away. The breakdown below gives the full picture heading into this match.

H Septemvri Sofia: last 10 home A Arda: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Septemvri Sofia have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Arda in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Septemvri Sofia: last 10 home A Arda: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 46% · BTTS No 54%

Match Goals

Septemvri Sofia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Arda in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Septemvri Sofia: last 10 home A Arda: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Septemvri Sofia have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Arda in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Septemvri Sofia 0.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per home game Arda 1.3 scored · 1.1 conceded per away game
H Septemvri Sofia: last 10 home A Arda: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Septemvri Sofia 8 scored / 12 conceded at home · Arda 13 scored / 11 conceded away

Match Corners

Septemvri Sofia (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Arda (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

H Septemvri Sofia: last 10 home A Arda: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Septemvri Sofia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Arda have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Septemvri Sofia: last 10 home A Arda: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Septemvri Sofia vs Arda across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Septemvri Sofia 3.5 Model: 33%
Draw 3.2 Model: 30%
Arda 2 Model: 36%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2 Model: 46%
No 1.72 Model: 54%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.42 Model: 65%
Over 2.5 2.22 Model: 39%
Over 3.5 3.95 Model: 20%
Under 1.5 2.75 Model: 35%
Under 2.5 1.62 Model: 61%
Under 3.5 1.2 Model: 80%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.5 Model: 72%
Over 1.5 3.4
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Septemvri Sofia 4.5 Model: 22%
Draw 2.05 Model: 50%
Arda 2.75 Model: 28%

Double Chance

Value Septemvri Sofia or Draw 1.66 Model: 64%
Septemvri Sofia or Arda 1.33 Model: 70%
Draw or Arda 1.25 Model: 67%

Septemvri Sofia Goals

Over 0.5 1.53 Model: 64%
Value Over 1.5 3.75 Model: 29%

Arda Goals

Over 0.5 1.28 Model: 67%
Over 1.5 2.25 Model: 31%

Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Arda?

Under 2.5 Goals: Septemvri Sofia have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Arda in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Septemvri Sofia or Arda?

Arda hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Septemvri Sofia at home (30% wins) in First League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Septemvri Sofia and Arda?

Mixed. Septemvri Sofia have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Arda in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this First League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Septemvri Sofia and Arda?

Uncertain. Septemvri Sofia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Arda in 40% of away games in First League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Septemvri Sofia or Arda?

Arda have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of away games compared to Septemvri Sofia's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Septemvri Sofia and Arda?

Unlikely. Septemvri Sofia (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Arda (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in First League.

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