Veikkausliiga · Finland 🕒 Monday 20th July, 16:00 BST

TPS vs Ilves Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

TPS Home 6W 1D 3L last 10 home
VS
Ilves Away 1W 3D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
TPS 37% Draw 23% Ilves 40%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

TPS vs Ilves Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

TPS see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Ilves in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
37% TPS win 23% Draw 40% Ilves win 62% BTTS 62% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
83% Over 1.5 Goals

TPS average 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Ilves average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded in away fixtures. TPS have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Ilves side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Ilves have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of their away fixtures (9/10). TPS are lower at home (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded.

Ilves regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (80%, 8/10). TPS are lower at home (40%, 4/10). They've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. TPS see 8+ in 80% of home games, Ilves in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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League Table

Where TPS and Ilves sit in the Veikkausliiga table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
7 TPS H 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
9 Ilves A 15 4 4 7 25:29 -4 16
View the full Veikkausliiga 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 KuPS 15 8 6 1 27:15 +12 30
2 Inter Turku 15 8 6 1 23:12 +11 30
3 Oulu 14 8 2 4 20:15 +5 26
4 VPS 14 6 6 2 21:11 +10 24
5 HJK 14 6 4 4 25:17 +8 22
6 Gnistan 14 5 4 5 19:18 +1 19
7 TPS H 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
8 Lahti 14 4 4 6 16:15 +1 16
9 Ilves A 15 4 4 7 25:29 -4 16
10 SJK 14 3 5 6 18:22 -4 14
11 Jaro 15 2 5 8 15:32 -17 11
12 Mariehamn 14 0 4 10 6:29 -23 4

Team Form

TPS hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Ilves have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H TPS: last 10 home A Ilves: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Ilves regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while TPS are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H TPS: last 10 home A Ilves: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 62% · BTTS No 38%

Match Goals

Ilves regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while TPS are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H TPS: last 10 home A Ilves: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Goals

TPS have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Ilves in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

TPS 1.4 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Ilves 1.7 scored · 2.3 conceded per away game
H TPS: last 10 home A Ilves: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: TPS 14 scored / 11 conceded at home · Ilves 17 scored / 23 conceded away

Match Corners

Ilves frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while TPS are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H TPS: last 10 home A Ilves: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Corners

TPS have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Ilves have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H TPS: last 10 home A Ilves: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

TPS vs Ilves Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for TPS vs Ilves?

Over 8.5 Corners: TPS see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Ilves in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, TPS or Ilves?

TPS hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Veikkausliiga this season, while Ilves have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between TPS and Ilves?

Possibly. Ilves regularly see both teams score away (80%), while TPS are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between TPS and Ilves?

Possibly. Ilves regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while TPS are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: TPS or Ilves?

Ilves have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to TPS's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between TPS and Ilves?

Possibly. Ilves frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while TPS are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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SJK vs KuPS

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Oulu vs Gnistan

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Jaro vs Inter Turku

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"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

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