Serie B · Brazil 🕒 Tuesday 21st July, 01:00 BST

Vila Nova vs Fortaleza Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Vila Nova Home 6W 4D 0L last 10 home
VS
Fortaleza Away 3W 4D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Vila Nova 37% Draw 32% Fortaleza 31%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Vila Nova vs Fortaleza Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Vila Nova see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Fortaleza in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
37% Vila Nova win 32% Draw 31% Fortaleza win 47% BTTS 38% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
82% Under 3.5 Goals

Vila Nova average 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Fortaleza average 0.8 scored and 0.7 conceded in away fixtures. Vila Nova have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Fortaleza side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Vila Nova have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Fortaleza in 30% away (3/10). Vila Nova average 2.1 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Fortaleza 0.8 and 0.7 on the road.

Vila Nova frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Fortaleza are lower on the road (40%, 4/10). They've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Both teams see 9+ corners in the majority of their games: Vila Nova at 70% at home (7/10), Fortaleza at 80% away (8/10). Over 8.5 Corners is well supported by the data.

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League Table

Where Vila Nova and Fortaleza sit in the Serie B table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Vila Nova H 15 8 4 3 23:17 +6 28
4 Fortaleza A 16 8 4 4 20:16 +4 28
View the full Serie B 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 16 8 6 2 27:14 +13 30
2 Criciúma 16 8 6 2 18:11 +7 30
3 Vila Nova H 15 8 4 3 23:17 +6 28
4 Fortaleza A 16 8 4 4 20:16 +4 28
5 Juventude 16 7 5 4 16:8 +8 26
6 São Bernardo 15 7 4 4 20:12 +8 25
7 Sport Recife 16 6 7 3 18:12 +6 25
8 Operário PR 15 7 4 4 19:17 +2 25
9 Goiás 16 7 3 6 16:21 -5 24
10 Cuiabá 16 5 8 3 12:9 +3 23
11 Athletic Club 15 5 7 3 16:15 +1 22
12 Náutico 16 6 3 7 21:19 +2 21
13 Atlético GO 16 5 6 5 18:19 -1 21
14 CRB 16 5 4 7 24:29 -5 19
15 Londrina 16 5 3 8 24:24 0 18
16 Ceará 16 4 5 7 15:20 -5 17
17 Botafogo SP 15 4 4 7 14:14 0 16
18 Avaí 15 3 4 8 15:21 -6 13
19 Ponte Preta 16 2 2 12 10:31 -21 8
20 América Mineiro 16 1 3 12 10:27 -17 6

Team Form

Vila Nova hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Fortaleza have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Vila Nova: last 10 home A Fortaleza: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Vila Nova frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Fortaleza are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Vila Nova: last 10 home A Fortaleza: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 47% · BTTS No 53%

Match Goals

Vila Nova have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Fortaleza in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Vila Nova: last 10 home A Fortaleza: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Team Goals

Vila Nova have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Fortaleza in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Vila Nova 2.1 scored · 0.9 conceded per home game Fortaleza 0.8 scored · 0.7 conceded per away game
H Vila Nova: last 10 home A Fortaleza: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Vila Nova 21 scored / 9 conceded at home · Fortaleza 8 scored / 7 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Vila Nova (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Fortaleza (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Vila Nova: last 10 home A Fortaleza: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Corners

Vila Nova have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Fortaleza have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Vila Nova: last 10 home A Fortaleza: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Vila Nova vs Fortaleza Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Vila Nova vs Fortaleza?

Over 8.5 Corners: Vila Nova see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Fortaleza in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Vila Nova or Fortaleza?

Vila Nova hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Serie B this season, while Fortaleza have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Vila Nova and Fortaleza?

Mixed. Vila Nova have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Fortaleza in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie B fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Vila Nova and Fortaleza?

Uncertain. Vila Nova have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Fortaleza in 30% of away games in Serie B. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Vila Nova or Fortaleza?

Vila Nova have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Fortaleza's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Vila Nova and Fortaleza?

Yes. Both Vila Nova (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Fortaleza (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie B. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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Juventude vs Vila Nova

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Avaí vs Náutico

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São Bernardo vs Cuiabá

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Atlético GO vs Fortaleza

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