Serie A · Brazil 🕒 Wednesday 29th July, 01:00 BST

Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Atlético Mineiro Home · 8th 7W 2D 1L last 10 home
VS
Bragantino Away · 5th 3W 3D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Atlético Mineiro 49% Draw 27% Bragantino 24%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Atlético Mineiro have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Bragantino in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
49% Atlético Mineiro win 27% Draw 24% Bragantino win 50% BTTS 46% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
71% Over 1.5 Goals

Atlético Mineiro sit 8th in the table after 20 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Bragantino are 5th after 20 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 1 conceded on the road. Atlético Mineiro have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Bragantino side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals: Atlético Mineiro in 80% of home games, Bragantino in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Atlético Mineiro frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Bragantino are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Atlético Mineiro see 8+ in 70% of home games, Bragantino in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Atlético Mineiro (8th) and Bragantino (5th) sit in the Serie A table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Bragantino A 20 9 4 7 26:20 +6 31
9 Atlético Mineiro H 20 8 4 8 25:25 0 28
View the full Serie A 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 20 13 5 2 34:16 +18 44
2 Flamengo 19 11 5 3 36:17 +19 38
3 Athletico PR 20 11 3 6 28:19 +9 36
4 Fluminense 20 9 6 5 30:25 +5 33
5 Bragantino A 20 9 4 7 26:20 +6 31
6 Bahia 20 8 7 5 29:25 +4 31
7 Botafogo 20 8 5 7 34:32 +2 29
8 Corinthians 20 7 7 6 22:20 +2 28
9 Atlético Mineiro H 20 8 4 8 25:25 0 28
10 Coritiba 20 7 6 7 25:27 -2 27
11 Cruzeiro 20 7 6 7 26:30 -4 27
12 São Paulo 20 7 5 8 25:23 +2 26
13 Vitória 20 7 5 8 22:27 -5 26
14 Santos 20 5 7 8 29:33 -4 22
15 Grêmio 20 5 7 8 22:26 -4 22
16 Internacional 20 5 6 9 22:26 -4 21
17 Vasco da Gama 20 5 6 9 23:31 -8 21
18 Remo 20 5 6 9 23:32 -9 21
19 Mirassol 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
20 Chapecoense 20 1 7 12 19:41 -22 10

Team Form

Atlético Mineiro have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Bragantino's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Atlético Mineiro: last 10 home A Bragantino: last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Mineiro frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Bragantino are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Atlético Mineiro: last 10 home A Bragantino: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 50% · BTTS No 50%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Atlético Mineiro 80% at home, Bragantino 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H Atlético Mineiro: last 10 home A Bragantino: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Atlético Mineiro have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Bragantino in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Atlético Mineiro 1.5 scored · 1 conceded per home game Bragantino 1.5 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H Atlético Mineiro: last 10 home A Bragantino: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Atlético Mineiro 15 scored / 10 conceded at home · Bragantino 15 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

Atlético Mineiro regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Bragantino are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Atlético Mineiro: last 10 home A Bragantino: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Atlético Mineiro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Bragantino have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Atlético Mineiro: last 10 home A Bragantino: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Atlético Mineiro and Bragantino. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

04 Feb 2026
Bragantino
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Nov 2025
Bragantino
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Aug 2025
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Bragantino
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Sep 2024
Atlético Mineiro
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Bragantino
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
12 Jun 2024
Bragantino
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Oct 2023
Bragantino
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Jun 2023
Atlético Mineiro
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Bragantino
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Sep 2022
Atlético Mineiro
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Bragantino
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 May 2022
Bragantino
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Atlético Mineiro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Dec 2021
Atlético Mineiro
4 – 3 HT: 1-1
Bragantino
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Atlético Mineiro 2.1 Model: 49%
Draw 3.3 Model: 27%
Bragantino 3.3 Model: 24%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.95 Model: 50%
No 1.8 Model: 50%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.36 Model: 71%
Over 2.5 2.1 Model: 46%
Over 3.5 4 Model: 23%
Under 1.5 3.2 Model: 29%
Under 2.5 1.7 Model: 54%
Under 3.5 1.25 Model: 77%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 3.25

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.44 Model: 63%
Over 9.5 1.72 Model: 51%
Over 10.5 2.2 Model: 40%
Over 11.5 3 Model: 29%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Atlético Mineiro 2.87 Model: 38%
Draw 2.1 Model: 42%
Bragantino 4 Model: 21%

Double Chance

Atlético Mineiro or Draw 1.33 Model: 76%
Atlético Mineiro or Bragantino 1.33 Model: 73%
Draw or Bragantino 1.7 Model: 50%

Atlético Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 1.25 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 2.25 Model: 44%

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 59%
Over 1.5 3.25 Model: 24%

Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino?

Under 3.5 Goals: Atlético Mineiro have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Bragantino in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Atlético Mineiro or Bragantino?

Atlético Mineiro hold a clear form advantage. They've won 70% of home games in Serie A this season, while Bragantino have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlético Mineiro and Bragantino?

Mixed. Atlético Mineiro have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Bragantino in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Mineiro and Bragantino?

Uncertain. Atlético Mineiro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Bragantino in 50% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlético Mineiro or Bragantino?

Bragantino have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Atlético Mineiro's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlético Mineiro and Bragantino?

Possibly. Atlético Mineiro regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Bragantino are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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