Serie A · Brazil 🕒 Thursday 30th July, 01:30 BST

Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Fluminense Home · 4th 6W 2D 2L last 10 home
VS
Bahia Away · 6th 3W 2D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Fluminense 61% Draw 22% Bahia 17%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes See why ↓

Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

High confidence

Fluminense see both teams score in 100% of home games, Bahia in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

What the model says
61% Fluminense win 22% Draw 17% Bahia win 51% BTTS 51% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Over 1.5 Goals 72% Under 3.5 Goals

Fluminense sit 4th in the table after 20 games, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Bahia are 6th after 20 games, averaging 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Fluminense have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Bahia side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Fluminense have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of their home fixtures (9/10). Bahia are lower on the road (60%, 6/10), averaging 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: Fluminense in 100% of home games (10/10), Bahia in 70% away (7/10). Fluminense have scored in 100% of home fixtures; Bahia in 80% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Fluminense see 8+ in 60% of home games, Bahia in 90% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Fluminense (4th) and Bahia (6th) sit in the Serie A table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
4 Fluminense H 19 9 5 5 29:24 +5 32
6 Bahia A 19 8 6 5 28:24 +4 30
View the full Serie A 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 19 13 5 1 33:14 +19 44
2 Flamengo 18 11 4 3 35:16 +19 37
3 Athletico PR 20 11 3 6 28:19 +9 36
4 Fluminense H 19 9 5 5 29:24 +5 32
5 Bragantino 19 9 3 7 26:20 +6 30
6 Bahia A 19 8 6 5 28:24 +4 30
7 Corinthians 19 7 6 6 21:19 +2 27
8 Cruzeiro 19 7 6 6 26:29 -3 27
9 Botafogo 19 7 5 7 33:32 +1 26
10 Coritiba 19 7 5 7 25:27 -2 26
11 Vitória 19 7 5 7 22:25 -3 26
12 São Paulo 19 7 4 8 24:22 +2 25
13 Atlético Mineiro 19 7 4 8 23:24 -1 25
14 Santos 20 5 7 8 29:33 -4 22
15 Internacional 20 5 6 9 22:26 -4 21
16 Grêmio 19 5 6 8 21:25 -4 21
17 Vasco da Gama 20 5 6 9 23:31 -8 21
18 Mirassol 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
19 Remo 19 4 6 9 21:32 -11 18
20 Chapecoense 20 1 7 12 19:41 -22 10

Team Form

Fluminense hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Bahia have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Fluminense: last 10 home A Bahia: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Fluminense have seen both teams score in 100% of home games this season, Bahia in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H Fluminense: last 10 home A Bahia: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 51% · BTTS No 49%

Match Goals

Fluminense frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Bahia are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Fluminense: last 10 home A Bahia: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Fluminense have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Bahia in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Fluminense 1.9 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game Bahia 1.4 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Fluminense: last 10 home A Bahia: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Fluminense 19 scored / 13 conceded at home · Bahia 14 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Bahia frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Fluminense are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Fluminense: last 10 home A Bahia: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Fluminense have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Bahia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Fluminense: last 10 home A Bahia: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Fluminense and Bahia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

05 Feb 2026
Bahia
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Fluminense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Dec 2025
Fluminense
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Bahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Sep 2025
Fluminense
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Bahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Aug 2025
Bahia
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Fluminense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
10 Aug 2025
Bahia
3 – 3 HT: 2-1
Fluminense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Aug 2024
Fluminense
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Bahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Apr 2024
Bahia
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Fluminense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Oct 2023
Bahia
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Fluminense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Jun 2023
Fluminense
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Bahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Dec 2021
Bahia
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Fluminense
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Fluminense vs Bahia across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Fluminense 1.8 Model: 61%
Draw 3.6 Model: 22%
Bahia 4.5 Model: 17%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8 Model: 51%
No 1.95 Model: 49%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2 Model: 76%
Over 2.5 1.85 Model: 51%
Over 3.5 2.85 Model: 28%
Under 1.5 3.7 Model: 24%
Under 2.5 2 Model: 49%
Under 3.5 1.33 Model: 72%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.36 Model: 82%
Over 1.5 2.59

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.18 Model: 60%
Over 9.5 1.32 Model: 48%
Over 10.5 1.55 Model: 36%
Over 11.5 1.88 Model: 27%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Fluminense 2.28 Model: 44%
Draw 2.3 Model: 39%
Bahia 4.6 Model: 17%

Double Chance

Fluminense or Draw 1.2 Model: 83%
Fluminense or Bahia 1.25 Model: 78%
Draw or Bahia 2.04 Model: 39%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 1.14 Model: 84%
Over 1.5 1.73 Model: 55%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 52%
Over 1.5 3.15 Model: 19%

Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Bahia?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes: Fluminense see both teams score in 100% of home games, Bahia in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Fluminense or Bahia?

Fluminense hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Serie A this season, while Bahia have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Fluminense and Bahia?

Yes. Both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Fluminense have seen BTTS in 100% of home games, Bahia in 70% of away games in Serie A. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Fluminense and Bahia?

Possibly. Fluminense frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Bahia are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Fluminense or Bahia?

Fluminense have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Bahia's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Fluminense and Bahia?

Possibly. Bahia frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Fluminense are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

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