Serie A · Brazil 🕒 Wednesday 29th July, 01:00 BST

São Paulo vs Santos Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

São Paulo Home · 12th 5W 3D 2L last 10 home
VS
Santos Away · 14th 2W 4D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
São Paulo 50% Draw 27% Santos 23%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

São Paulo vs Santos Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

São Paulo see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Santos in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
50% São Paulo win 27% Draw 23% Santos win 49% BTTS 45% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Under 3.5 Goals 70% Over 1.5 Goals

São Paulo sit 12th in the table after 20 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Santos are 14th after 20 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded on the road. São Paulo have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Santos have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

São Paulo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games this season (3/10); Santos in 50% away (5/10). São Paulo average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Santos 1.5 and 1.5 on the road.

Santos regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (80%, 8/10). São Paulo are lower at home (50%, 5/10). They've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

São Paulo regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Santos are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where São Paulo (12th) and Santos (14th) sit in the Serie A table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
12 São Paulo H 20 7 5 8 25:23 +2 26
14 Santos A 20 5 7 8 29:33 -4 22
View the full Serie A 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 20 13 5 2 34:16 +18 44
2 Flamengo 19 11 5 3 36:17 +19 38
3 Athletico PR 20 11 3 6 28:19 +9 36
4 Fluminense 20 9 6 5 30:25 +5 33
5 Bragantino 20 9 4 7 26:20 +6 31
6 Bahia 20 8 7 5 29:25 +4 31
7 Botafogo 20 8 5 7 34:32 +2 29
8 Corinthians 20 7 7 6 22:20 +2 28
9 Atlético Mineiro 20 8 4 8 25:25 0 28
10 Coritiba 20 7 6 7 25:27 -2 27
11 Cruzeiro 20 7 6 7 26:30 -4 27
12 São Paulo H 20 7 5 8 25:23 +2 26
13 Vitória 20 7 5 8 22:27 -5 26
14 Santos A 20 5 7 8 29:33 -4 22
15 Grêmio 20 5 7 8 22:26 -4 22
16 Internacional 20 5 6 9 22:26 -4 21
17 Vasco da Gama 20 5 6 9 23:31 -8 21
18 Remo 20 5 6 9 23:32 -9 21
19 Mirassol 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
20 Chapecoense 20 1 7 12 19:41 -22 10

Team Form

Santos have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while São Paulo have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H São Paulo: last 10 home A Santos: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Santos regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while São Paulo are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H São Paulo: last 10 home A Santos: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 49% · BTTS No 51%

Match Goals

São Paulo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Santos in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H São Paulo: last 10 home A Santos: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

São Paulo have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Santos in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

São Paulo 1.5 scored · 0.8 conceded per home game Santos 1.5 scored · 1.5 conceded per away game
H São Paulo: last 10 home A Santos: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: São Paulo 15 scored / 8 conceded at home · Santos 15 scored / 15 conceded away

Match Corners

São Paulo regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Santos are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H São Paulo: last 10 home A Santos: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

São Paulo win 6+ corners in 70% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Santos have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H São Paulo: last 10 home A Santos: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between São Paulo and Santos. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

04 Feb 2026
Santos
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Jan 2026
São Paulo
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Santos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Sep 2025
Santos
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Apr 2025
São Paulo
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Santos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
01 Feb 2025
Santos
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Feb 2024
São Paulo
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Santos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Nov 2023
Santos
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Jul 2023
São Paulo
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Santos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Feb 2023
São Paulo
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Santos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Aug 2022
Santos
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
São Paulo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for São Paulo vs Santos across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

São Paulo 1.97 Model: 50%
Draw 3.35 Model: 27%
Santos 3.9 Model: 23%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.9 Model: 49%
No 1.81 Model: 51%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.37 Model: 70%
Over 2.5 2.16 Model: 45%
Over 3.5 4 Model: 24%
Under 1.5 3 Model: 30%
Under 2.5 1.67 Model: 55%
Under 3.5 1.24 Model: 76%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.45 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 3.1

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.17 Model: 68%
Over 9.5 1.32 Model: 56%
Over 10.5 1.54 Model: 45%
Over 11.5 1.86 Model: 35%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

São Paulo 2.6 Model: 38%
Draw 2.08 Model: 41%
Santos 4.3 Model: 21%

Double Chance

São Paulo or Draw 1.25 Model: 77%
São Paulo or Santos 1.3 Model: 73%
Draw or Santos 1.8 Model: 50%

São Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 1.23 Model: 78%
Over 1.5 2.12 Model: 44%

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 1.5 Model: 57%
Over 1.5 3.4 Model: 23%

São Paulo vs Santos Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for São Paulo vs Santos?

Over 8.5 Corners: São Paulo see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Santos in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, São Paulo or Santos?

São Paulo have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Santos on the road (20% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between São Paulo and Santos?

Possibly. Santos regularly see both teams score away (80%), while São Paulo are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between São Paulo and Santos?

Uncertain. São Paulo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Santos in 50% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: São Paulo or Santos?

Santos have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to São Paulo's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between São Paulo and Santos?

Possibly. São Paulo regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Santos are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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