Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Wednesday 1st July, 01:00 BST

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Barcelona Guayaquil Home 5W 3D 2L last 10 home
VS
Deportivo Cuenca Away 4W 2D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Barcelona Guayaquil 49% Draw 29% Deportivo Cuenca 22%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Barcelona Guayaquil have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Deportivo Cuenca in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
49% Barcelona Guayaquil win 29% Draw 22% Deportivo Cuenca win 43% BTTS 38% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look

Barcelona Guayaquil average 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Deportivo Cuenca average 0.6 scored and 1 conceded in away fixtures. Barcelona Guayaquil have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Deportivo Cuenca have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Barcelona Guayaquil have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Deportivo Cuenca in 20% away. Barcelona Guayaquil average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Deportivo Cuenca 0.6 and 1 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Barcelona Guayaquil frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Deportivo Cuenca are lower on the road (10%, 1/10). They've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Barcelona Guayaquil see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Deportivo Cuenca in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where Barcelona Guayaquil and Deportivo Cuenca sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 Deportivo Cuenca A 16 8 3 5 18:17 +1 27
4 Barcelona Guayaquil H 16 7 5 4 18:13 +5 26
View the full Liga Pro 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 16 12 1 3 32:18 +14 37
2 Deportivo Cuenca A 16 8 3 5 18:17 +1 27
3 Universidad Católica 16 7 5 4 26:14 +12 26
4 Barcelona Guayaquil H 16 7 5 4 18:13 +5 26
5 Aucas 16 7 5 4 19:16 +3 26
6 LDU Quito 15 7 3 5 16:13 +3 24
7 Orense 15 6 4 5 21:19 +2 22
8 Emelec 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 22
9 Técnico Universitario 16 6 2 8 17:16 +1 20
10 Macará 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
11 Guayaquil City 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
12 Mushuc Runa 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
13 Leones del Norte 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
14 Libertad 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
15 Delfin 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
16 Manta 16 3 3 10 7:19 -12 12

Team Form

Deportivo Cuenca have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Barcelona Guayaquil have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 home A Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Barcelona Guayaquil frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Deportivo Cuenca are less consistent on the road (10%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 home A Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 43% · BTTS No 57%

Match Goals

Barcelona Guayaquil have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Deportivo Cuenca in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 home A Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Barcelona Guayaquil have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Deportivo Cuenca in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Barcelona Guayaquil 1.3 scored · 0.8 conceded per home game Deportivo Cuenca 0.6 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 home A Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Barcelona Guayaquil 13 scored / 8 conceded at home · Deportivo Cuenca 6 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

Barcelona Guayaquil have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Deportivo Cuenca in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 home A Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Barcelona Guayaquil have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Deportivo Cuenca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

H Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 home A Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Barcelona Guayaquil vs Deportivo Cuenca across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Barcelona Guayaquil 1.51 Model: 49%
Value Draw 3.86 Model: 29%
Value Deportivo Cuenca 6.64 Model: 22%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.1 Model: 43%
No 1.66 Model: 57%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.33 Model: 65%
Over 2.5 2.05 Model: 38%
Over 3.5 3.5 Model: 18%
Value Under 1.5 3.25 Model: 35%
Value Under 2.5 1.75 Model: 62%
Value Under 3.5 1.28 Model: 82%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.4 Model: 75%
Over 1.5 3
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Barcelona Guayaquil 2.05 Model: 35%
Draw 2.25 Model: 46%
Value Deportivo Cuenca 6.5 Model: 19%

Double Chance

Barcelona Guayaquil or Draw 1.1 Model: 78%
Barcelona Guayaquil or Deportivo Cuenca 1.25 Model: 71%
Value Draw or Deportivo Cuenca 2.62 Model: 51%

Barcelona Guayaquil Goals

Over 0.5 1.14 Model: 75%
Over 1.5 1.72 Model: 39%

Deportivo Cuenca Goals

Over 0.5 1.83 Model: 55%
Over 1.5 5.5 Model: 20%

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Under 2.5 Goals: Barcelona Guayaquil have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Deportivo Cuenca in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Barcelona Guayaquil or Deportivo Cuenca?

Barcelona Guayaquil have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Deportivo Cuenca on the road (40% wins) in Liga Pro. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Barcelona Guayaquil and Deportivo Cuenca?

Mixed. Barcelona Guayaquil have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Deportivo Cuenca in 10% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Barcelona Guayaquil and Deportivo Cuenca?

Uncertain. Barcelona Guayaquil have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Deportivo Cuenca in 20% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Barcelona Guayaquil or Deportivo Cuenca?

Barcelona Guayaquil have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Deportivo Cuenca's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Barcelona Guayaquil and Deportivo Cuenca?

Barcelona Guayaquil have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Deportivo Cuenca in 40% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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