Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Wednesday 1st July, 01:00 BST

Delfin vs Emelec Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Delfin Home 4W 1D 5L last 10 home

Emelec Away 2W 3D 5L last 10 away

Win Probability

Delfin 33% Draw 32% Emelec 35%

⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Delfin vs Emelec Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Delfin have stayed under 3 goals in 90% of home games, Emelec in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says

33% Delfin win 32% Draw 35% Emelec win 42% BTTS 33% Over 2.5 Goals 0-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

85% Under 3.5 Goals

Delfin average 0.5 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Emelec average 0.4 scored and 1.3 conceded in away fixtures. Delfin have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Emelec have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Delfin have seen 3+ goals in only 10% of home fixtures; Emelec in 10% away. Delfin average 0.5 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Emelec 0.4 and 1.3 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Delfin have seen BTTS in only 10% of home games (1/10); Emelec in 20% away (2/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Delfin see 8+ in 60% of home games, Emelec in 90% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

League Table

Where Delfin and Emelec sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
8	Emelec A	16	6	4	6	13:16	-3	22
15	Delfin H	16	4	4	8	8:15	-7	16

View the full Liga Pro 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	16	12	1	3	32:18	+14	37
2	Deportivo Cuenca	16	8	3	5	18:17	+1	27
3	Universidad Católica	16	7	5	4	26:14	+12	26
4	Barcelona Guayaquil	16	7	5	4	18:13	+5	26
5	Aucas	16	7	5	4	19:16	+3	26
6	LDU Quito	15	7	3	5	16:13	+3	24
7	Orense	15	6	4	5	21:19	+2	22
8	Emelec A	16	6	4	6	13:16	-3	22
9	Técnico Universitario	16	6	2	8	17:16	+1	20
10	Macará	16	5	5	6	15:18	-3	20
11	Guayaquil City	16	5	4	7	14:19	-5	19
12	Mushuc Runa	16	4	6	6	19:21	-2	18
13	Leones del Norte	16	4	5	7	15:18	-3	17
14	Libertad	16	4	5	7	16:22	-6	17
15	Delfin H	16	4	4	8	8:15	-7	16
16	Manta	16	3	3	10	7:19	-12	12

Team Form

Delfin have won 40% of home games this season, Emelec 20% away. The breakdown below gives the full picture heading into this match.

H Delfin: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away

Won

4/10 (40%)

2/10 (20%)

Drawn

1/10 (10%)

3/10 (30%)

Lost

5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Delfin (10% BTTS at home) and Emelec (20% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Delfin: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

1/10 (10%)

2/10 (20%)

Scored Themselves

5/10 (50%)

4/10 (40%)

Conceded

5/10 (50%)

6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 42% · BTTS No 58%

Match Goals

Delfin (10% Over 2.5 at home) and Emelec (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H Delfin: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

1/10 (10%)

5/10 (50%)

Over 2.5 Goals

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Goals

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

9/10 (90%)

8/10 (80%)

Under 0.5 Goals

1/10 (10%)

2/10 (20%)

Under 1.5 Goals

9/10 (90%)

5/10 (50%)

Under 2.5 Goals

9/10 (90%)

Under 3.5 Goals

10/10 (100%)

9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Delfin have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Emelec in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Delfin 0.5 scored · 0.6 conceded per home game Emelec 0.4 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game

H Delfin: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

0/10 (0%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

1/10 (10%)

4/10 (40%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

5/10 (50%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 1.5 Scored

0/10 (0%)

Over 2.5 Scored

0/10 (0%)

Over 3.5 Scored

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

5/10 (50%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

1/10 (10%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Delfin 5 scored / 6 conceded at home · Emelec 4 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Delfin (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Emelec (90% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Delfin: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

6/10 (60%)

Over 9.5 Corners

3/10 (30%)

2/10 (20%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

6/10 (60%)

9/10 (90%)

Over 10.5 Corners

1/10 (10%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 11.5 Corners

1/10 (10%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 12.5 Corners

1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Delfin have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Emelec have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Delfin: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

3/10 (30%)

4/10 (40%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

3/10 (30%)

4/10 (40%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

3/10 (30%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

3/10 (30%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

2/10 (20%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

1/10 (10%)

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

1/10 (10%)

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

6/10 (60%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

3/10 (30%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

3/10 (30%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

2/10 (20%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

1/10 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Delfin vs Emelec across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Delfin 2.78 Model: 33%

Draw 3.02 Model: 32%

Emelec 2.63 Model: 35%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2 Model: 42%

No 1.72 Model: 58%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.44 Model: 59%

Over 2.5 2.4 Model: 33%

Over 3.5 4.5 Model: 15%

Value Under 1.5 2.62 Model: 41%

Under 2.5 1.53 Model: 67%

Under 3.5 1.18 Model: 85%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.5 Model: 70%

Over 1.5 3.5

More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Delfin 3.5 Model: 26%

Draw 2 Model: 51%

Emelec 3.4 Model: 23%

Double Chance

Delfin or Draw 1.5 Model: 65%

Delfin or Emelec 1.36 Model: 68%

Draw or Emelec 1.44 Model: 67%

Delfin Goals

Over 0.5 1.4 Model: 61%

Over 1.5 3 Model: 25%

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5 1.4 Model: 63%

Over 1.5 3 Model: 27%

Delfin vs Emelec Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Delfin vs Emelec?

Under 2.5 Goals: Delfin have stayed under 3 goals in 90% of home games, Emelec in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Delfin or Emelec?

Delfin have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Emelec on the road (20% wins) in Liga Pro. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Delfin and Emelec?

Unlikely. Delfin (10% BTTS at home) and Emelec (20% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Pro. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Delfin and Emelec?

Unlikely. Delfin (10% Over 2.5 at home) and Emelec (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Liga Pro. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Delfin or Emelec?

Emelec have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Delfin's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Delfin and Emelec?

Delfin have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Emelec in 60% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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