Primera Division · Uruguay 🕒 Sunday 19th July, 14:00 BST

Central Español vs Cerro Largo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Central Español Home 6W 2D 2L last 10 home
VS
Cerro Largo Away 3W 2D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Central Español 33% Draw 31% Cerro Largo 36%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No See why ↓

Central Español vs Cerro Largo Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Medium confidence

At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Central Español at 80% BTTS in home games and Cerro Largo at 20% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

What the model says
33% Central Español win 31% Draw 36% Cerro Largo win 45% BTTS 37% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
83% Under 3.5 Goals

Central Español average 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Cerro Largo average 0.7 scored and 1.1 conceded in away fixtures. Central Español have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Cerro Largo side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Central Español have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Cerro Largo are lower on the road (30%, 3/10), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home.

Central Español frequently see both teams score at home (80%, 8/10). Cerro Largo are lower on the road (20%, 2/10). They've scored in 40% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Central Español see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Cerro Largo in 60% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

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League Table

Where Central Español and Cerro Largo sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
6 Central Español H 19 9 4 6 27:25 +2 31
10 Cerro Largo A 19 7 3 9 21:20 +1 24
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Deportivo Maldonado 19 12 3 4 35:20 +15 39
2 Racing 19 10 7 2 25:15 +10 37
3 Peñarol 19 11 3 5 28:18 +10 36
4 Albion 19 9 5 5 29:20 +9 32
5 Nacional 19 10 1 8 31:26 +5 31
6 Central Español H 19 9 4 6 27:25 +2 31
7 Montevideo City Torque 19 8 5 6 29:24 +5 29
8 Wanderers 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
9 Liverpool 19 6 7 6 22:20 +2 25
10 Cerro Largo A 19 7 3 9 21:20 +1 24
11 Defensor Sporting 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
12 Boston River 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
13 Danubio 18 4 7 7 19:26 -7 19
14 Juventud 18 5 3 10 22:29 -7 18
15 Atlético Progreso 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
16 Cerro 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13

Team Form

Central Español hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Cerro Largo have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Central Español: last 10 home A Cerro Largo: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Central Español frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Cerro Largo are less consistent on the road (20%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Central Español: last 10 home A Cerro Largo: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 45% · BTTS No 55%

Match Goals

Central Español frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Cerro Largo are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Central Español: last 10 home A Cerro Largo: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Central Español have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Cerro Largo in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Central Español 1.7 scored · 1.2 conceded per home game Cerro Largo 0.7 scored · 1.1 conceded per away game
H Central Español: last 10 home A Cerro Largo: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Central Español 17 scored / 12 conceded at home · Cerro Largo 7 scored / 11 conceded away

Match Corners

Central Español have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Cerro Largo in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Central Español: last 10 home A Cerro Largo: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Central Español have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Cerro Largo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Central Español: last 10 home A Cerro Largo: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Central Español vs Cerro Largo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Central Español vs Cerro Largo?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No: At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Central Español at 80% BTTS in home games and Cerro Largo at 20% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Central Español or Cerro Largo?

Central Español hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Primera Division this season, while Cerro Largo have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Central Español and Cerro Largo?

Possibly. Central Español frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Cerro Largo are lower on the road (20%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Central Español and Cerro Largo?

Possibly. Central Español frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Cerro Largo are lower on the road (30%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Central Español or Cerro Largo?

Cerro Largo have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Central Español's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Central Español and Cerro Largo?

Central Español have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Cerro Largo in 60% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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