Primera Division · Uruguay 🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

Racing vs Peñarol Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Racing Home 5W 4D 1L last 10 home
VS
Peñarol Away 6W 2D 2L last 10 away
Win Probability
Racing 28% Draw 31% Peñarol 41%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Racing vs Peñarol Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Racing have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Peñarol in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
28% Racing win 31% Draw 41% Peñarol win 42% BTTS 35% Over 2.5 Goals 0-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
84% Under 3.5 Goals

Racing average 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Peñarol average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded in away fixtures. Peñarol carry the better away form into this fixture (6/10, 60%), while Racing have won 5/10 at home (50%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Racing have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Peñarol in 10% away. Racing average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Peñarol 1.3 and 0.7 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Racing at 50% in home games (5/10), Peñarol at 30% away (3/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Racing regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Peñarol are lower on the road (10%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Racing and Peñarol sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 Racing H 19 10 7 2 25:15 +10 37
3 Peñarol A 19 11 3 5 28:18 +10 36
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Deportivo Maldonado 19 12 3 4 35:20 +15 39
2 Racing H 19 10 7 2 25:15 +10 37
3 Peñarol A 19 11 3 5 28:18 +10 36
4 Albion 19 9 5 5 29:20 +9 32
5 Nacional 19 10 1 8 31:26 +5 31
6 Central Español 19 9 4 6 27:25 +2 31
7 Montevideo City Torque 19 8 5 6 29:24 +5 29
8 Wanderers 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
9 Liverpool 19 6 7 6 22:20 +2 25
10 Cerro Largo 19 7 3 9 21:20 +1 24
11 Defensor Sporting 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
12 Boston River 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
13 Danubio 18 4 7 7 19:26 -7 19
14 Juventud 18 5 3 10 22:29 -7 18
15 Atlético Progreso 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
16 Cerro 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13

Team Form

Peñarol have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Racing have been less dominant at home (50%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

H Racing: last 10 home A Peñarol: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Racing have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 30% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Racing: last 10 home A Peñarol: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 42% · BTTS No 58%

Match Goals

Racing (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Peñarol (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H Racing: last 10 home A Peñarol: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Racing have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Peñarol in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Racing 1.4 scored · 0.8 conceded per home game Peñarol 1.3 scored · 0.7 conceded per away game
H Racing: last 10 home A Peñarol: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Racing 14 scored / 8 conceded at home · Peñarol 13 scored / 7 conceded away

Match Corners

Racing regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Peñarol are lower on the road (20%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Racing: last 10 home A Peñarol: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Racing have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Peñarol have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

H Racing: last 10 home A Peñarol: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Racing vs Peñarol Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Racing vs Peñarol?

Under 2.5 Goals: Racing have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Peñarol in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Racing or Peñarol?

Peñarol hold a slight form advantage away (60% wins) over Racing at home (50% wins) in Primera Division. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Racing and Peñarol?

Mixed. Racing have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Racing and Peñarol?

Unlikely. Racing (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Peñarol (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera Division. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Racing or Peñarol?

Peñarol have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Racing's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Racing and Peñarol?

Possibly. Racing regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Peñarol are lower on the road (20%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Juventud vs Montevideo City Torque

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Danubio vs Nacional

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Racing vs Peñarol

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Wanderers vs Atlético Progreso

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Liverpool vs Cerro

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Boston River vs Central Español

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →