Primera Division · Uruguay 🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

Danubio vs Nacional Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Danubio Home 3W 4D 3L last 10 home
VS
Nacional Away 3W 1D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Danubio 32% Draw 29% Nacional 39%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Danubio vs Nacional Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Danubio see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Nacional in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
32% Danubio win 29% Draw 39% Nacional win 49% BTTS 42% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
79% Under 3.5 Goals 68% Over 1.5 Goals

Danubio average 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Nacional average 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded in away fixtures. The form figures are level. Danubio have won 30% of home games, Nacional 30% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Nacional have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of their away fixtures (9/10). Danubio are lower at home (30%, 3/10), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded.

Nacional regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (80%, 8/10). Danubio are lower at home (50%, 5/10). They've conceded in 70% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Nacional are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Danubio are lower at home (40%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

Where Danubio and Nacional sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Nacional A 19 10 1 8 31:26 +5 31
13 Danubio H 18 4 7 7 19:26 -7 19
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Deportivo Maldonado 19 12 3 4 35:20 +15 39
2 Racing 19 10 7 2 25:15 +10 37
3 Peñarol 19 11 3 5 28:18 +10 36
4 Albion 19 9 5 5 29:20 +9 32
5 Nacional A 19 10 1 8 31:26 +5 31
6 Central Español 19 9 4 6 27:25 +2 31
7 Montevideo City Torque 19 8 5 6 29:24 +5 29
8 Wanderers 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
9 Liverpool 19 6 7 6 22:20 +2 25
10 Cerro Largo 19 7 3 9 21:20 +1 24
11 Defensor Sporting 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
12 Boston River 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
13 Danubio H 18 4 7 7 19:26 -7 19
14 Juventud 18 5 3 10 22:29 -7 18
15 Atlético Progreso 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
16 Cerro 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13

Team Form

Danubio (30% home wins) and Nacional (30% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Danubio: last 10 home A Nacional: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while Danubio are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Danubio: last 10 home A Nacional: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 49% · BTTS No 51%

Match Goals

Nacional regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Danubio are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Danubio: last 10 home A Nacional: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Team Goals

Danubio have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Nacional in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Danubio 1.3 scored · 0.9 conceded per home game Nacional 1.6 scored · 2.4 conceded per away game
H Danubio: last 10 home A Nacional: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Danubio 13 scored / 9 conceded at home · Nacional 16 scored / 24 conceded away

Match Corners

Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Danubio are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Danubio: last 10 home A Nacional: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Danubio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Nacional have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

H Danubio: last 10 home A Nacional: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Danubio vs Nacional Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Danubio vs Nacional?

Over 8.5 Corners: Danubio see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Nacional in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Danubio or Nacional?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. Danubio have won 30% of home games, Nacional 30% away in Primera Division. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Danubio and Nacional?

Possibly. Nacional regularly see both teams score away (80%), while Danubio are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Danubio and Nacional?

Possibly. Nacional regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Danubio are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Danubio or Nacional?

Nacional have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Danubio's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Danubio and Nacional?

Possibly. Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Danubio are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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