Primera Division · Uruguay 🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Cerro Largo Home 5W 1D 4L last 10 home
VS
Defensor Sporting Away 1W 4D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Cerro Largo 39% Draw 31% Defensor Sporting 30%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Cerro Largo have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
39% Cerro Largo win 31% Draw 30% Defensor Sporting win 45% BTTS 37% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
83% Under 3.5 Goals

Cerro Largo average 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Defensor Sporting average 0.5 scored and 0.9 conceded in away fixtures. Cerro Largo have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Defensor Sporting have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Cerro Largo have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Defensor Sporting in 20% away. Cerro Largo average 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Defensor Sporting 0.5 and 0.9 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Cerro Largo have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Defensor Sporting in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Cerro Largo see 9+ corners in 0% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 60% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

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League Table

Where Cerro Largo and Defensor Sporting sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
10 Cerro Largo H 19 7 3 9 21:20 +1 24
11 Defensor Sporting A 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Deportivo Maldonado 19 12 3 4 35:20 +15 39
2 Racing 19 10 7 2 25:15 +10 37
3 Peñarol 19 11 3 5 28:18 +10 36
4 Albion 19 9 5 5 29:20 +9 32
5 Nacional 19 10 1 8 31:26 +5 31
6 Central Español 19 9 4 6 27:25 +2 31
7 Montevideo City Torque 19 8 5 6 29:24 +5 29
8 Wanderers 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
9 Liverpool 19 6 7 6 22:20 +2 25
10 Cerro Largo H 19 7 3 9 21:20 +1 24
11 Defensor Sporting A 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
12 Boston River 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
13 Danubio 18 4 7 7 19:26 -7 19
14 Juventud 18 5 3 10 22:29 -7 18
15 Atlético Progreso 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
16 Cerro 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13

Team Form

Defensor Sporting have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Cerro Largo have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Cerro Largo: last 10 home A Defensor Sporting: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cerro Largo (40% BTTS at home) and Defensor Sporting (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Cerro Largo: last 10 home A Defensor Sporting: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 45% · BTTS No 55%

Match Goals

Cerro Largo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Cerro Largo: last 10 home A Defensor Sporting: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Team Goals

Cerro Largo have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Defensor Sporting in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Cerro Largo 1.6 scored · 0.9 conceded per home game Defensor Sporting 0.5 scored · 0.9 conceded per away game
H Cerro Largo: last 10 home A Defensor Sporting: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Cerro Largo 16 scored / 9 conceded at home · Defensor Sporting 5 scored / 9 conceded away

Match Corners

Defensor Sporting frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Cerro Largo are lower at home (20%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Cerro Largo: last 10 home A Defensor Sporting: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Cerro Largo have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Defensor Sporting have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Cerro Largo: last 10 home A Defensor Sporting: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?

Under 2.5 Goals: Cerro Largo have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Cerro Largo or Defensor Sporting?

Cerro Largo have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Defensor Sporting on the road (10% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Cerro Largo and Defensor Sporting?

Unlikely. Cerro Largo (40% BTTS at home) and Defensor Sporting (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Primera Division. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cerro Largo and Defensor Sporting?

Uncertain. Cerro Largo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 20% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cerro Largo or Defensor Sporting?

Cerro Largo have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Defensor Sporting's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cerro Largo and Defensor Sporting?

Possibly. Defensor Sporting frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Cerro Largo are lower at home (20%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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