Primera Division · Uruguay 🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

Liverpool vs Cerro Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Liverpool Home 2W 4D 4L last 10 home
VS
Cerro Away 0W 1D 9L last 10 away
Win Probability
Liverpool 56% Draw 26% Cerro 19%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Liverpool vs Cerro Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Liverpool see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Cerro in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
56% Liverpool win 26% Draw 19% Cerro win 45% BTTS 44% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
78% Under 3.5 Goals

Liverpool average 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Cerro average 0.5 scored and 2.6 conceded in away fixtures. Liverpool have won 2/10 home games (20%) this season; Cerro have won 0/10 on the road (0%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Cerro have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Liverpool are lower at home (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Liverpool at 40% in home games (4/10), Cerro at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Liverpool see 8+ in 60% of home games, Cerro in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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League Table

Where Liverpool and Cerro sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
9 Liverpool H 19 6 7 6 22:20 +2 25
16 Cerro A 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Deportivo Maldonado 19 12 3 4 35:20 +15 39
2 Racing 19 10 7 2 25:15 +10 37
3 Peñarol 19 11 3 5 28:18 +10 36
4 Albion 19 9 5 5 29:20 +9 32
5 Nacional 19 10 1 8 31:26 +5 31
6 Central Español 19 9 4 6 27:25 +2 31
7 Montevideo City Torque 19 8 5 6 29:24 +5 29
8 Wanderers 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
9 Liverpool H 19 6 7 6 22:20 +2 25
10 Cerro Largo 19 7 3 9 21:20 +1 24
11 Defensor Sporting 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
12 Boston River 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
13 Danubio 18 4 7 7 19:26 -7 19
14 Juventud 18 5 3 10 22:29 -7 18
15 Atlético Progreso 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
16 Cerro A 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13

Team Form

Cerro have lost 90% of their away matches this season, while Liverpool have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Liverpool: last 10 home A Cerro: last 10 away
Won
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Liverpool have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Cerro in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Liverpool: last 10 home A Cerro: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 45% · BTTS No 55%

Match Goals

Cerro regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Liverpool are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Liverpool: last 10 home A Cerro: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Liverpool have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Cerro in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Liverpool 1.1 scored · 1.2 conceded per home game Cerro 0.5 scored · 2.6 conceded per away game
H Liverpool: last 10 home A Cerro: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Liverpool 11 scored / 12 conceded at home · Cerro 5 scored / 26 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Liverpool (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Cerro (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Liverpool: last 10 home A Cerro: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Liverpool have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Cerro have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Liverpool: last 10 home A Cerro: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Liverpool vs Cerro Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Liverpool vs Cerro?

Over 1.5 Goals: Liverpool see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Cerro in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Liverpool or Cerro?

Liverpool have a slight form edge at home (20% wins) over Cerro on the road (0% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Liverpool and Cerro?

Mixed. Liverpool have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Cerro in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Liverpool and Cerro?

Possibly. Cerro regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Liverpool are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Liverpool or Cerro?

Liverpool have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Cerro's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Liverpool and Cerro?

Liverpool have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Cerro in 60% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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