Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Wednesday 15th July, 01:00 BST

Libertad vs Técnico Universitario Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Libertad Home 4W 3D 3L last 10 home
VS
Técnico Universitario Away 2W 1D 7L last 10 away
Win Probability
Libertad 36% Draw 29% Técnico Universitario 35%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Libertad vs Técnico Universitario Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Libertad see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Técnico Universitario in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
36% Libertad win 29% Draw 35% Técnico Universitario win 49% BTTS 42% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
79% Under 3.5 Goals 68% Over 1.5 Goals

Libertad average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Técnico Universitario average 0.6 scored and 1.1 conceded in away fixtures. Libertad have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Técnico Universitario have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Libertad have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Técnico Universitario in 20% away (2/10). Libertad average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, Técnico Universitario 0.6 and 1.1 on the road.

Libertad frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Técnico Universitario are lower on the road (30%, 3/10). They've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Libertad see 8+ in 70% of home games, Técnico Universitario in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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League Table

Where Libertad and Técnico Universitario sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
9 Técnico Universitario A 16 6 2 8 17:16 +1 20
14 Libertad H 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
View the full Liga Pro 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 16 12 1 3 32:18 +14 37
2 Deportivo Cuenca 16 8 3 5 18:17 +1 27
3 Universidad Católica 16 7 5 4 26:14 +12 26
4 Barcelona Guayaquil 16 7 5 4 18:13 +5 26
5 Aucas 16 7 5 4 19:16 +3 26
6 LDU Quito 15 7 3 5 16:13 +3 24
7 Orense 15 6 4 5 21:19 +2 22
8 Emelec 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 22
9 Técnico Universitario A 16 6 2 8 17:16 +1 20
10 Macará 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
11 Guayaquil City 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
12 Mushuc Runa 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
13 Leones del Norte 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
14 Libertad H 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
15 Delfin 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
16 Manta 16 3 3 10 7:19 -12 12

Team Form

Técnico Universitario have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Libertad have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Libertad: last 10 home A Técnico Universitario: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Libertad frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Técnico Universitario are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Libertad: last 10 home A Técnico Universitario: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 49% · BTTS No 51%

Match Goals

Libertad have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Técnico Universitario in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Libertad: last 10 home A Técnico Universitario: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Team Goals

Libertad have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Técnico Universitario in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Libertad 1.2 scored · 1.2 conceded per home game Técnico Universitario 0.6 scored · 1.1 conceded per away game
H Libertad: last 10 home A Técnico Universitario: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Libertad 12 scored / 12 conceded at home · Técnico Universitario 6 scored / 11 conceded away

Match Corners

Técnico Universitario frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Libertad are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Libertad: last 10 home A Técnico Universitario: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Libertad have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Técnico Universitario have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Libertad: last 10 home A Técnico Universitario: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Libertad vs Técnico Universitario Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Libertad vs Técnico Universitario?

Over 8.5 Corners: Libertad see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Técnico Universitario in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Libertad or Técnico Universitario?

Libertad have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Técnico Universitario on the road (20% wins) in Liga Pro. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Libertad and Técnico Universitario?

Mixed. Libertad have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Técnico Universitario in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Libertad and Técnico Universitario?

Uncertain. Libertad have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Técnico Universitario in 20% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Libertad or Técnico Universitario?

Libertad have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Técnico Universitario's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Libertad and Técnico Universitario?

Possibly. Técnico Universitario frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Libertad are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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