Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Mushuc Runa Home 5W 4D 1L last 10 home

VS

Independiente del Valle Away 8W 1D 1L last 10 away

Win Probability

Mushuc Runa 27% Draw 28% Independiente del Valle 46%

⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Mushuc Runa see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Independiente del Valle in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says

27% Mushuc Runa win 28% Draw 46% Independiente del Valle win 52% BTTS 48% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score

Also worth a look

75% Under 3.5 Goals 73% Over 1.5 Goals

Mushuc Runa average 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Independiente del Valle average 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded in away fixtures. Independiente del Valle carry the better away form into this fixture (8/10, 80%), while Mushuc Runa have won 5/10 at home (50%).

Independiente del Valle have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Mushuc Runa are lower at home (30%, 3/10), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Mushuc Runa at 30% in home games (3/10), Independiente del Valle at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Mushuc Runa regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Independiente del Valle are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

League Table

Where Mushuc Runa and Independiente del Valle sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle A	16	12	1	3	32:18	+14	37
12	Mushuc Runa H	16	4	6	6	19:21	-2	18

View the full Liga Pro 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle A	16	12	1	3	32:18	+14	37
2	Deportivo Cuenca	16	8	3	5	18:17	+1	27
3	Universidad Católica	16	7	5	4	26:14	+12	26
4	Barcelona Guayaquil	16	7	5	4	18:13	+5	26
5	Aucas	16	7	5	4	19:16	+3	26
6	LDU Quito	15	7	3	5	16:13	+3	24
7	Orense	15	6	4	5	21:19	+2	22
8	Emelec	16	6	4	6	13:16	-3	22
9	Técnico Universitario	16	6	2	8	17:16	+1	20
10	Macará	16	5	5	6	15:18	-3	20
11	Guayaquil City	16	5	4	7	14:19	-5	19
12	Mushuc Runa H	16	4	6	6	19:21	-2	18
13	Leones del Norte	16	4	5	7	15:18	-3	17
14	Libertad	16	4	5	7	16:22	-6	17
15	Delfin	16	4	4	8	8:15	-7	16
16	Manta	16	3	3	10	7:19	-12	12

Team Form

Independiente del Valle have shown strong away form this season (80% wins), while Mushuc Runa have been less dominant at home (50%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

H Mushuc Runa: last 10 home A Independiente del Valle: last 10 away

Won

H

5/10 (50%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Drawn

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Lost

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mushuc Runa have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Independiente del Valle in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Mushuc Runa: last 10 home A Independiente del Valle: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

3/10 (30%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Scored Themselves

H

7/10 (70%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Conceded

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 52% · BTTS No 48%

Match Goals

Independiente del Valle regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Mushuc Runa are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Mushuc Runa: last 10 home A Independiente del Valle: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Mushuc Runa have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Independiente del Valle in 60% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Mushuc Runa 1.2 scored · 0.6 conceded per home game Independiente del Valle 2.2 scored · 1.1 conceded per away game

H Mushuc Runa: last 10 home A Independiente del Valle: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

7/10 (70%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

3/10 (30%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

1/10 (10%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

2/10 (20%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

1/10 (10%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Mushuc Runa 12 scored / 6 conceded at home · Independiente del Valle 22 scored / 11 conceded away

Match Corners

Mushuc Runa regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Independiente del Valle are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Mushuc Runa: last 10 home A Independiente del Valle: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

9/10 (90%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

8/10 (80%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

10/10 (100%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

7/10 (70%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Mushuc Runa have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Independiente del Valle have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Mushuc Runa: last 10 home A Independiente del Valle: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

5/10 (50%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

5/10 (50%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

7/10 (70%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

5/10 (50%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

3/10 (30%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

6/10 (60%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

5/10 (50%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

3/10 (30%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

2/10 (20%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle?

Over 8.5 Corners: Mushuc Runa see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Independiente del Valle in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Mushuc Runa or Independiente del Valle?

Independiente del Valle hold a slight form advantage away (80% wins) over Mushuc Runa at home (50% wins) in Liga Pro. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Mushuc Runa and Independiente del Valle?

Mixed. Mushuc Runa have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Independiente del Valle in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mushuc Runa and Independiente del Valle?

Possibly. Independiente del Valle regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Mushuc Runa are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mushuc Runa or Independiente del Valle?

Independiente del Valle have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 60% of away games compared to Mushuc Runa's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mushuc Runa and Independiente del Valle?

Possibly. Mushuc Runa regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Independiente del Valle are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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