Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

Emelec vs Barcelona Guayaquil Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Emelec Home 6W 2D 2L last 10 home

VS

Barcelona Guayaquil Away 3W 1D 6L last 10 away

Win Probability

Emelec 48% Draw 28% Barcelona Guayaquil 24%

⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Emelec vs Barcelona Guayaquil Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Emelec see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Barcelona Guayaquil in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says

48% Emelec win 28% Draw 24% Barcelona Guayaquil win 46% BTTS 40% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

80% Under 3.5 Goals

Emelec average 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Barcelona Guayaquil average 1 scored and 1.8 conceded in away fixtures. Emelec have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Barcelona Guayaquil side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals: Emelec in 80% of home games, Barcelona Guayaquil in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Emelec have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Barcelona Guayaquil in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Emelec see 8+ in 60% of home games, Barcelona Guayaquil in 90% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

League Table

Where Emelec and Barcelona Guayaquil sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
4	Barcelona Guayaquil A	16	7	5	4	18:13	+5	26
8	Emelec H	16	6	4	6	13:16	-3	22

View the full Liga Pro 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	16	12	1	3	32:18	+14	37
2	Deportivo Cuenca	16	8	3	5	18:17	+1	27
3	Universidad Católica	16	7	5	4	26:14	+12	26
4	Barcelona Guayaquil A	16	7	5	4	18:13	+5	26
5	Aucas	16	7	5	4	19:16	+3	26
6	LDU Quito	15	7	3	5	16:13	+3	24
7	Orense	15	6	4	5	21:19	+2	22
8	Emelec H	16	6	4	6	13:16	-3	22
9	Técnico Universitario	16	6	2	8	17:16	+1	20
10	Macará	16	5	5	6	15:18	-3	20
11	Guayaquil City	16	5	4	7	14:19	-5	19
12	Mushuc Runa	16	4	6	6	19:21	-2	18
13	Leones del Norte	16	4	5	7	15:18	-3	17
14	Libertad	16	4	5	7	16:22	-6	17
15	Delfin	16	4	4	8	8:15	-7	16
16	Manta	16	3	3	10	7:19	-12	12

Team Form

Emelec hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Barcelona Guayaquil have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Emelec: last 10 home A Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 away

Won

H

6/10 (60%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Drawn

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Lost

H

2/10 (20%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Emelec (40% BTTS at home) and Barcelona Guayaquil (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Emelec: last 10 home A Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Scored Themselves

H

9/10 (90%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Conceded

H

5/10 (50%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 46% · BTTS No 54%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Emelec 80% at home, Barcelona Guayaquil 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H Emelec: last 10 home A Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

8/10 (80%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

10/10 (100%)

A

10/10 (100%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

8/10 (80%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Emelec have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Barcelona Guayaquil in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Emelec 1.6 scored · 0.8 conceded per home game Barcelona Guayaquil 1 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game

H Emelec: last 10 home A Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

9/10 (90%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

5/10 (50%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

2/10 (20%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

1/10 (10%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Emelec 16 scored / 8 conceded at home · Barcelona Guayaquil 10 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Barcelona Guayaquil frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Emelec are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Emelec: last 10 home A Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

5/10 (50%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Emelec have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Barcelona Guayaquil have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Emelec: last 10 home A Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

4/10 (40%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

4/10 (40%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

3/10 (30%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

3/10 (30%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Emelec vs Barcelona Guayaquil Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Emelec vs Barcelona Guayaquil?

Over 1.5 Goals: Emelec see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Barcelona Guayaquil in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Emelec or Barcelona Guayaquil?

Emelec hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Liga Pro this season, while Barcelona Guayaquil have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Emelec and Barcelona Guayaquil?

Unlikely. Emelec (40% BTTS at home) and Barcelona Guayaquil (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Pro. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Emelec and Barcelona Guayaquil?

Uncertain. Emelec have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Barcelona Guayaquil in 50% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Emelec or Barcelona Guayaquil?

Barcelona Guayaquil have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Emelec's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Emelec and Barcelona Guayaquil?

Possibly. Barcelona Guayaquil frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Emelec are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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