USL Championship · United States 🕒 Saturday 21st March, 20:00 GMT

Louisville City vs Rhode Island Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Louisville City Home · 1st 6W 1D 3L last 10 home

Rhode Island Away · 14th 2W 2D 6L last 10 away

Win Probability

Louisville City 62% Draw 22% Rhode Island 16%

⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Louisville City vs Rhode Island Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Louisville City see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Rhode Island in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says

62% Louisville City win 22% Draw 16% Rhode Island win 49% BTTS 52% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

76% Over 1.5 Goals 70% Under 3.5 Goals

Louisville City sit 1st in the table, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Rhode Island are 14th, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. Louisville City have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Rhode Island side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Louisville City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Rhode Island in 50% away (5/10). Louisville City average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, Rhode Island 1.2 and 1.4 on the road.

Rhode Island regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Louisville City are lower at home (50%, 5/10). They've conceded in 80% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Louisville City regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Rhode Island are lower on the road (60%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

League Table

Where Louisville City (1st) and Rhode Island (14th) sit in the USL Championship table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
7	Louisville City H	14	6	3	5	24:22	+2	21
18	Rhode Island A	11	4	3	4	21:15	+6	15

View the full USL Championship 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	14	9	4	1	23:8	+15	31
2	Charleston Battery	14	8	2	4	30:19	+11	26
3	Orange County	14	7	5	2	22:15	+7	26
4	San Antonio	14	6	6	2	20:17	+3	24
5	Detroit City	13	6	3	4	19:13	+6	21
6	Oakland Roots	14	5	6	3	23:20	+3	21
7	Louisville City H	14	6	3	5	24:22	+2	21
8	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	12	6	2	4	15:13	+2	20
9	Tulsa Roughnecks	13	5	4	4	17:16	+1	19
10	Indy Eleven	11	5	3	3	16:12	+4	18
11	New Mexico United	12	5	3	4	13:13	0	18
12	Hartford Athletic	12	4	6	2	10:10	0	18
13	Phoenix Rising	14	4	5	5	19:19	0	17
14	Miami FC II	14	4	5	5	17:23	-6	17
15	Sacramento Republic	12	4	4	4	13:12	+1	16
16	El Paso Locomotive	13	4	4	5	23:23	0	16
17	Colorado Springs	13	4	4	5	21:21	0	16
18	Rhode Island A	11	4	3	4	21:15	+6	15
19	Lexington	12	4	3	5	17:15	+2	15
20	Las Vegas Lights	13	4	3	6	20:23	-3	15
21	Monterey Bay	14	4	2	8	14:22	-8	14
22	Birmingham Legion	13	2	7	4	14:16	-2	13
23	Loudoun United	13	1	7	5	15:26	-11	10
24	Brooklyn FC	13	2	3	8	13:24	-11	9
25	Sporting JAX	14	0	3	11	17:39	-22	3

Team Form

Louisville City hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Rhode Island have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Louisville City: last 10 home A Rhode Island: last 10 away

Won

6/10 (60%)

2/10 (20%)

Drawn

1/10 (10%)

2/10 (20%)

Lost

3/10 (30%)

6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Rhode Island regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Louisville City are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Louisville City: last 10 home A Rhode Island: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

5/10 (50%)

6/10 (60%)

Scored Themselves

7/10 (70%)

6/10 (60%)

Conceded

8/10 (80%)

9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 49% · BTTS No 51%

Match Goals

Louisville City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Rhode Island in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Louisville City: last 10 home A Rhode Island: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

9/10 (90%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 2.5 Goals

5/10 (50%)

Over 3.5 Goals

4/10 (40%)

3/10 (30%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

10/10 (100%)

9/10 (90%)

Under 0.5 Goals

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Under 1.5 Goals

1/10 (10%)

4/10 (40%)

Under 2.5 Goals

5/10 (50%)

Under 3.5 Goals

6/10 (60%)

7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Louisville City have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Rhode Island in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Louisville City 1.8 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game Rhode Island 1.2 scored · 1.4 conceded per away game

H Louisville City: last 10 home A Rhode Island: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

6/10 (60%)

3/10 (30%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

5/10 (50%)

3/10 (30%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

7/10 (70%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Scored

6/10 (60%)

3/10 (30%)

Over 2.5 Scored

3/10 (30%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 3.5 Scored

2/10 (20%)

1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

8/10 (80%)

9/10 (90%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

5/10 (50%)

3/10 (30%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Louisville City 18 scored / 13 conceded at home · Rhode Island 12 scored / 14 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Louisville City (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Rhode Island (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Louisville City: last 10 home A Rhode Island: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

9/10 (90%)

7/10 (70%)

Over 9.5 Corners

8/10 (80%)

6/10 (60%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

10/10 (100%)

7/10 (70%)

Over 10.5 Corners

7/10 (70%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 11.5 Corners

7/10 (70%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 12.5 Corners

4/10 (40%)

0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Louisville City win 7+ corners in 80% of home games, regularly creating set-piece pressure from wide areas, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Rhode Island have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Louisville City: last 10 home A Rhode Island: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

9/10 (90%)

4/10 (40%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

1/10 (10%)

3/10 (30%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

9/10 (90%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

9/10 (90%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

9/10 (90%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

8/10 (80%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

7/10 (70%)

1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

2/10 (20%)

5/10 (50%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

1/10 (10%)

3/10 (30%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

1/10 (10%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

0/10 (0%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

0/10 (0%)

2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Louisville City and Rhode Island. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

06 Sep 2025

Rhode Island

0 – 1 HT: 0-1

Louisville City

12 Jun 2025

Louisville City

2 – 1 HT: 1-1

Rhode Island

10 Nov 2024

Louisville City

0 – 3 HT: 0-1

Rhode Island

23 Jun 2024

Louisville City

2 – 5 HT: 0-2

Rhode Island

Show 1 more meeting

25 May 2024

Rhode Island

0 – 0 HT: 0-0

Louisville City

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Louisville City vs Rhode Island across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Louisville City 1.66 Model: 62%

Draw 3.5 Model: 22%

Rhode Island 6 Model: 16%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.88 Model: 49%

No 1.93 Model: 51%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28 Model: 76%

Over 2.5 1.95 Model: 52%

Value Over 3.5 3.65 Model: 30%

Under 1.5 3.8 Model: 24%

Under 2.5 1.94 Model: 48%

Under 3.5 1.36 Model: 70%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.34 Model: 84%

Over 1.5 2.62

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.41 Model: 54%

Over 9.5 1.6 Model: 42%

Over 10.5 2.34 Model: 32%

Over 11.5 3.75 Model: 23%

More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Louisville City 2.13 Model: 42%

Draw 2.19 Model: 39%

Rhode Island 5.58 Model: 19%

Double Chance

Louisville City or Draw 1.09 Model: 84%

Louisville City or Rhode Island 1.2 Model: 78%

Draw or Rhode Island 2.19 Model: 38%

Louisville City Goals

Over 0.5 1.14 Model: 84%

Over 1.5 1.72 Model: 56%

Rhode Island Goals

Over 0.5 1.66 Model: 51%

Over 1.5 4.33 Model: 19%

Louisville City vs Rhode Island Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Rhode Island?

Over 8.5 Corners: Louisville City see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Rhode Island in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Louisville City or Rhode Island?

Louisville City hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in USL Championship this season, while Rhode Island have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Louisville City and Rhode Island?

Mixed. Louisville City have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Rhode Island in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this USL Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Louisville City and Rhode Island?

Uncertain. Louisville City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Rhode Island in 50% of away games in USL Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Louisville City or Rhode Island?

Louisville City have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Rhode Island's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Louisville City and Rhode Island?

Yes. Both Louisville City (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Rhode Island (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in USL Championship. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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