Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Wednesday 1st July, 01:00 BST

Macará vs LDU Quito Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Macará Home 3W 4D 3L last 10 home

LDU Quito Away 4W 1D 5L last 10 away

Win Probability

Macará 39% Draw 30% LDU Quito 32%

⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Macará vs LDU Quito Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Macará have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, LDU Quito in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says

39% Macará win 30% Draw 32% LDU Quito win 48% BTTS 42% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score

Also worth a look

68% Over 1.5 Goals

Macará average 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. LDU Quito average 1 scored and 0.9 conceded in away fixtures. Macará have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; LDU Quito have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Macará have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); LDU Quito in 20% away (2/10). Macará average 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, LDU Quito 1 and 0.9 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Macará at 50% in home games (5/10), LDU Quito at 30% away (3/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Macará see 8+ in 90% of home games, LDU Quito in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

League Table

Where Macará and LDU Quito sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
6	LDU Quito A	15	7	3	5	16:13	+3	24
10	Macará H	16	5	5	6	15:18	-3	20

View the full Liga Pro 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	16	12	1	3	32:18	+14	37
2	Deportivo Cuenca	16	8	3	5	18:17	+1	27
3	Universidad Católica	16	7	5	4	26:14	+12	26
4	Barcelona Guayaquil	16	7	5	4	18:13	+5	26
5	Aucas	16	7	5	4	19:16	+3	26
6	LDU Quito A	15	7	3	5	16:13	+3	24
7	Orense	15	6	4	5	21:19	+2	22
8	Emelec	16	6	4	6	13:16	-3	22
9	Técnico Universitario	16	6	2	8	17:16	+1	20
10	Macará H	16	5	5	6	15:18	-3	20
11	Guayaquil City	16	5	4	7	14:19	-5	19
12	Mushuc Runa	16	4	6	6	19:21	-2	18
13	Leones del Norte	16	4	5	7	15:18	-3	17
14	Libertad	16	4	5	7	16:22	-6	17
15	Delfin	16	4	4	8	8:15	-7	16
16	Manta	16	3	3	10	7:19	-12	12

Team Form

LDU Quito have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Macará have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Macará: last 10 home A LDU Quito: last 10 away

Won

3/10 (30%)

4/10 (40%)

Drawn

4/10 (40%)

1/10 (10%)

Lost

3/10 (30%)

5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Macará have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, LDU Quito in 30% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Macará: last 10 home A LDU Quito: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

5/10 (50%)

3/10 (30%)

Scored Themselves

7/10 (70%)

6/10 (60%)

Conceded

7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 48% · BTTS No 52%

Match Goals

Macará have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, LDU Quito in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Macará: last 10 home A LDU Quito: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

7/10 (70%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 2.5 Goals

5/10 (50%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 3.5 Goals

2/10 (20%)

1/10 (10%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

9/10 (90%)

10/10 (100%)

Under 0.5 Goals

1/10 (10%)

0/10 (0%)

Under 1.5 Goals

3/10 (30%)

4/10 (40%)

Under 2.5 Goals

5/10 (50%)

8/10 (80%)

Under 3.5 Goals

8/10 (80%)

9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Macará have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, LDU Quito in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Macará 1.2 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game LDU Quito 1 scored · 0.9 conceded per away game

H Macará: last 10 home A LDU Quito: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

3/10 (30%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

3/10 (30%)

2/10 (20%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

7/10 (70%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Scored

3/10 (30%)

Over 2.5 Scored

2/10 (20%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Scored

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

7/10 (70%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

3/10 (30%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

1/10 (10%)

0/10 (0%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Macará 12 scored / 11 conceded at home · LDU Quito 10 scored / 9 conceded away

Match Corners

LDU Quito frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Macará are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Macará: last 10 home A LDU Quito: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

6/10 (60%)

7/10 (70%)

Over 9.5 Corners

5/10 (50%)

6/10 (60%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

9/10 (90%)

7/10 (70%)

Over 10.5 Corners

3/10 (30%)

5/10 (50%)

Over 11.5 Corners

2/10 (20%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 12.5 Corners

2/10 (20%)

3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Macará have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

LDU Quito have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Macará: last 10 home A LDU Quito: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

5/10 (50%)

3/10 (30%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

2/10 (20%)

5/10 (50%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

6/10 (60%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

5/10 (50%)

3/10 (30%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

5/10 (50%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

2/10 (20%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

4/10 (40%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

2/10 (20%)

5/10 (50%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

2/10 (20%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

0/10 (0%)

3/10 (30%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

0/10 (0%)

2/10 (20%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Macará vs LDU Quito across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Macará 3.61 Model: 39%

Draw 3.32 Model: 30%

LDU Quito 2.03 Model: 32%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.83 Model: 48%

No 1.83 Model: 52%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.35 Model: 68%

Over 2.5 2.07 Model: 42%

Over 3.5 3.75 Model: 20%

Under 1.5 3.25 Model: 32%

Under 2.5 1.72 Model: 58%

Under 3.5 1.25 Model: 80%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 74%

Over 1.5 3

More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Macará 4.33 Model: 29%

Value Draw 2.1 Model: 50%

LDU Quito 2.75 Model: 21%

Double Chance

Value Macará or Draw 1.8 Model: 68%

Macará or LDU Quito 1.33 Model: 70%

Draw or LDU Quito 1.28 Model: 61%

Macará Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.5 Model: 70%

Value Over 1.5 3.4 Model: 34%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5 1.25 Model: 65%

Over 1.5 2.1 Model: 29%

Macará vs LDU Quito Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Macará vs LDU Quito?

Under 3.5 Goals: Macará have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, LDU Quito in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Macará or LDU Quito?

LDU Quito hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Macará at home (30% wins) in Liga Pro. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Macará and LDU Quito?

Mixed. Macará have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, LDU Quito in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Macará and LDU Quito?

Uncertain. Macará have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, LDU Quito in 20% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Macará or LDU Quito?

Macará have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to LDU Quito's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Macará and LDU Quito?

Possibly. LDU Quito frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Macará are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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