Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Wednesday 1st July, 01:00 BST

Universidad Católica vs Mushuc Runa Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Universidad Católica Home 5W 2D 3L last 10 home

Mushuc Runa Away 0W 3D 7L last 10 away

Win Probability

Universidad Católica 55% Draw 25% Mushuc Runa 20%

⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Universidad Católica vs Mushuc Runa Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

Universidad Católica have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Mushuc Runa in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says

55% Universidad Católica win 25% Draw 20% Mushuc Runa win 51% BTTS 51% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

75% Over 1.5 Goals 73% Under 3.5 Goals

Universidad Católica average 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Mushuc Runa average 0.8 scored and 1.9 conceded in away fixtures. Universidad Católica have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Mushuc Runa have won 0/10 on the road (0%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Universidad Católica have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Mushuc Runa are lower on the road (60%, 6/10), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home.

Mushuc Runa regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Universidad Católica are lower at home (50%, 5/10). They've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Universidad Católica see 9+ corners in 10% of home games, Mushuc Runa in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

League Table

Where Universidad Católica and Mushuc Runa sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
3	Universidad Católica H	16	7	5	4	26:14	+12	26
12	Mushuc Runa A	16	4	6	6	19:21	-2	18

View the full Liga Pro 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	16	12	1	3	32:18	+14	37
2	Deportivo Cuenca	16	8	3	5	18:17	+1	27
3	Universidad Católica H	16	7	5	4	26:14	+12	26
4	Barcelona Guayaquil	16	7	5	4	18:13	+5	26
5	Aucas	16	7	5	4	19:16	+3	26
6	LDU Quito	15	7	3	5	16:13	+3	24
7	Orense	15	6	4	5	21:19	+2	22
8	Emelec	16	6	4	6	13:16	-3	22
9	Técnico Universitario	16	6	2	8	17:16	+1	20
10	Macará	16	5	5	6	15:18	-3	20
11	Guayaquil City	16	5	4	7	14:19	-5	19
12	Mushuc Runa A	16	4	6	6	19:21	-2	18
13	Leones del Norte	16	4	5	7	15:18	-3	17
14	Libertad	16	4	5	7	16:22	-6	17
15	Delfin	16	4	4	8	8:15	-7	16
16	Manta	16	3	3	10	7:19	-12	12

Team Form

Mushuc Runa have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Universidad Católica have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Universidad Católica: last 10 home A Mushuc Runa: last 10 away

Won

5/10 (50%)

0/10 (0%)

Drawn

2/10 (20%)

3/10 (30%)

Lost

3/10 (30%)

7/10 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mushuc Runa regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Universidad Católica are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Universidad Católica: last 10 home A Mushuc Runa: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

5/10 (50%)

6/10 (60%)

Scored Themselves

9/10 (90%)

6/10 (60%)

Conceded

6/10 (60%)

9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 51% · BTTS No 49%

Match Goals

Universidad Católica frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Mushuc Runa are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Universidad Católica: last 10 home A Mushuc Runa: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

9/10 (90%)

7/10 (70%)

Over 2.5 Goals

7/10 (70%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 3.5 Goals

5/10 (50%)

4/10 (40%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

10/10 (100%)

9/10 (90%)

Under 0.5 Goals

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Under 1.5 Goals

1/10 (10%)

3/10 (30%)

Under 2.5 Goals

3/10 (30%)

4/10 (40%)

Under 3.5 Goals

5/10 (50%)

6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Universidad Católica have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Mushuc Runa in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Universidad Católica 2.2 scored · 1.4 conceded per home game Mushuc Runa 0.8 scored · 1.9 conceded per away game

H Universidad Católica: last 10 home A Mushuc Runa: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

7/10 (70%)

2/10 (20%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

4/10 (40%)

6/10 (60%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

9/10 (90%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Scored

7/10 (70%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 2.5 Scored

4/10 (40%)

0/10 (0%)

Over 3.5 Scored

2/10 (20%)

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

6/10 (60%)

9/10 (90%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

4/10 (40%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

3/10 (30%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

1/10 (10%)

0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Universidad Católica 22 scored / 14 conceded at home · Mushuc Runa 8 scored / 19 conceded away

Match Corners

Universidad Católica have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Mushuc Runa in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Universidad Católica: last 10 home A Mushuc Runa: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

3/10 (30%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 9.5 Corners

1/10 (10%)

3/10 (30%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

7/10 (70%)

5/10 (50%)

Over 10.5 Corners

1/10 (10%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 11.5 Corners

1/10 (10%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 12.5 Corners

1/10 (10%)

0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Universidad Católica have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Mushuc Runa have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Universidad Católica: last 10 home A Mushuc Runa: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

3/10 (30%)

2/10 (20%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

1/10 (10%)

4/10 (40%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

8/10 (80%)

5/10 (50%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

3/10 (30%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

2/10 (20%)

0/10 (0%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

1/10 (10%)

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

1/10 (10%)

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

1/10 (10%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

1/10 (10%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

0/10 (0%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Universidad Católica vs Mushuc Runa across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Universidad Católica 1.56 Model: 55%

Draw 3.99 Model: 25%

Mushuc Runa 5.5 Model: 20%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.72 Model: 51%

No 2 Model: 49%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2 Model: 75%

Over 2.5 1.7 Model: 51%

Over 3.5 2.62 Model: 27%

Under 1.5 4.33 Model: 25%

Under 2.5 2.1 Model: 49%

Value Under 3.5 1.44 Model: 73%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.3 Model: 80%

Over 1.5 2.5

More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Universidad Católica 2.05 Model: 37%

Draw 2.4 Model: 44%

Mushuc Runa 5.5 Model: 19%

Double Chance

Universidad Católica or Draw 1.16 Model: 80%

Universidad Católica or Mushuc Runa 1.25 Model: 75%

Value Draw or Mushuc Runa 2.37 Model: 45%

Universidad Católica Goals

Over 0.5 1.11 Model: 82%

Over 1.5 1.57 Model: 51%

Mushuc Runa Goals

Over 0.5 1.53 Model: 56%

Over 1.5 3.75 Model: 22%

Universidad Católica vs Mushuc Runa Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Universidad Católica vs Mushuc Runa?

Over 2.5 Goals: Universidad Católica have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Mushuc Runa in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Universidad Católica or Mushuc Runa?

Universidad Católica have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Mushuc Runa on the road (0% wins) in Liga Pro. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Universidad Católica and Mushuc Runa?

Mixed. Universidad Católica have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Mushuc Runa in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Universidad Católica and Mushuc Runa?

Possibly. Universidad Católica frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Mushuc Runa are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Universidad Católica or Mushuc Runa?

Universidad Católica have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Mushuc Runa's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Universidad Católica and Mushuc Runa?

Universidad Católica have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Mushuc Runa in 40% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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