Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Wednesday 15th July, 01:00 BST

Aucas vs Independiente del Valle Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Aucas Home 6W 1D 3L last 10 home
VS
Independiente del Valle Away 8W 1D 1L last 10 away
Win Probability
Aucas 36% Draw 29% Independiente del Valle 35%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Aucas vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Aucas see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Independiente del Valle in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
36% Aucas win 29% Draw 35% Independiente del Valle win 53% BTTS 47% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
75% Under 3.5 Goals

Aucas average 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Independiente del Valle average 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded in away fixtures. Aucas have won 6/10 home games (60%) this season; Independiente del Valle have won 8/10 on the road (80%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Independiente del Valle have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Aucas are lower at home (40%, 4/10), averaging 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Aucas at 50% in home games (5/10), Independiente del Valle at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Aucas see 8+ in 70% of home games, Independiente del Valle in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Aucas and Independiente del Valle sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle A 16 12 1 3 32:18 +14 37
5 Aucas H 16 7 5 4 19:16 +3 26
View the full Liga Pro 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle A 16 12 1 3 32:18 +14 37
2 Deportivo Cuenca 16 8 3 5 18:17 +1 27
3 Universidad Católica 16 7 5 4 26:14 +12 26
4 Barcelona Guayaquil 16 7 5 4 18:13 +5 26
5 Aucas H 16 7 5 4 19:16 +3 26
6 LDU Quito 15 7 3 5 16:13 +3 24
7 Orense 15 6 4 5 21:19 +2 22
8 Emelec 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 22
9 Técnico Universitario 16 6 2 8 17:16 +1 20
10 Macará 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
11 Guayaquil City 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
12 Mushuc Runa 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
13 Leones del Norte 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
14 Libertad 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
15 Delfin 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
16 Manta 16 3 3 10 7:19 -12 12

Team Form

Aucas have lost 30% of their home matches this season, while Independiente del Valle have been more resilient on the road (10% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H Aucas: last 10 home A Independiente del Valle: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Aucas have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Independiente del Valle in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Aucas: last 10 home A Independiente del Valle: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 53% · BTTS No 47%

Match Goals

Independiente del Valle regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Aucas are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Aucas: last 10 home A Independiente del Valle: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Aucas have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Independiente del Valle in 60% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Aucas 1.4 scored · 1 conceded per home game Independiente del Valle 2.2 scored · 1.1 conceded per away game
H Aucas: last 10 home A Independiente del Valle: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Aucas 14 scored / 10 conceded at home · Independiente del Valle 22 scored / 11 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Aucas (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Independiente del Valle (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Aucas: last 10 home A Independiente del Valle: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Aucas have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Independiente del Valle have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Aucas: last 10 home A Independiente del Valle: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Aucas vs Independiente del Valle Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Aucas vs Independiente del Valle?

Over 1.5 Goals: Aucas see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Independiente del Valle in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Aucas or Independiente del Valle?

Independiente del Valle hold a slight form advantage away (80% wins) over Aucas at home (60% wins) in Liga Pro. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Aucas and Independiente del Valle?

Mixed. Aucas have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Independiente del Valle in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Aucas and Independiente del Valle?

Possibly. Independiente del Valle regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Aucas are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Aucas or Independiente del Valle?

Independiente del Valle have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 60% of away games compared to Aucas's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Aucas and Independiente del Valle?

Aucas have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Independiente del Valle in 60% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Técnico Universitario vs Macará

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Manta vs Orense

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Guayaquil City vs Delfin

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Deportivo Cuenca vs Aucas

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

LDU Quito vs Libertad

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Emelec vs Barcelona Guayaquil

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Leones del Norte vs Universidad Católica

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →