Primera Division · Uruguay 🕒 Sunday 19th July, 17:00 BST

Cerro vs Racing Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Cerro Home 3W 3D 4L last 10 home
VS
Racing Away 5W 3D 2L last 10 away
Win Probability
Cerro 18% Draw 30% Racing 52%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Cerro vs Racing Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Cerro have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Racing in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
18% Cerro win 30% Draw 52% Racing win 40% BTTS 33% Over 2.5 Goals 0-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
85% Under 3.5 Goals

Cerro average 0.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Racing average 1.1 scored and 0.8 conceded in away fixtures. Cerro have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Racing have won 5/10 on the road (50%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Cerro have seen 3+ goals in only 0% of home fixtures; Racing in 30% away. Cerro average 0.6 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Racing 1.1 and 0.8 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Cerro at 30% in home games (3/10), Racing at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Cerro see 8+ in 70% of home games, Racing in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

Where Cerro and Racing sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 Racing A 19 10 7 2 25:15 +10 37
16 Cerro H 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Deportivo Maldonado 19 12 3 4 35:20 +15 39
2 Racing A 19 10 7 2 25:15 +10 37
3 Peñarol 19 11 3 5 28:18 +10 36
4 Albion 19 9 5 5 29:20 +9 32
5 Nacional 19 10 1 8 31:26 +5 31
6 Central Español 19 9 4 6 27:25 +2 31
7 Montevideo City Torque 19 8 5 6 29:24 +5 29
8 Wanderers 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
9 Liverpool 19 6 7 6 22:20 +2 25
10 Cerro Largo 19 7 3 9 21:20 +1 24
11 Defensor Sporting 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
12 Boston River 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
13 Danubio 18 4 7 7 19:26 -7 19
14 Juventud 18 5 3 10 22:29 -7 18
15 Atlético Progreso 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
16 Cerro H 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13

Team Form

Cerro have lost 40% of their home matches this season, while Racing have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H Cerro: last 10 home A Racing: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cerro have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Racing in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Cerro: last 10 home A Racing: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 40% · BTTS No 60%

Match Goals

Cerro (0% Over 2.5 at home) and Racing (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H Cerro: last 10 home A Racing: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Cerro have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Racing in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Cerro 0.6 scored · 0.7 conceded per home game Racing 1.1 scored · 0.8 conceded per away game
H Cerro: last 10 home A Racing: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Cerro 6 scored / 7 conceded at home · Racing 11 scored / 8 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Cerro (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Racing (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Cerro: last 10 home A Racing: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Cerro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Racing win 6+ corners in 60% of away games, generating consistent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Cerro: last 10 home A Racing: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Cerro vs Racing Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cerro vs Racing?

Under 2.5 Goals: Cerro have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Racing in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Cerro or Racing?

Racing hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Cerro at home (30% wins) in Primera Division. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Cerro and Racing?

Mixed. Cerro have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Racing in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cerro and Racing?

Unlikely. Cerro (0% Over 2.5 at home) and Racing (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera Division. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cerro or Racing?

Racing have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Cerro's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cerro and Racing?

Cerro have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Racing in 50% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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